Market recap (changes on week):
- September corn down $.01 at $5.96
- December corn up $.06 at $6.00
- August soybeans up $.23 at $15.01
- November soybeans up $.14 at $13.74
- August soybean oil down 3.28 cents at 58.62 cents/lb
- August soybean meal up $22.30 at $455.60/short ton
- September wheat down $.21 at $7.89
Highlights:
- US weekly ethanol production increased 29,000 barrels per day last week.
- Export sales on the week were 1.3 million bushels for corn down from 2.3 million the week before, up for soybeans at 7.5 million compared to three straight weeks of more cancelations than net sales, up for sorghum and down for wheat at 18.8 million bushels compared to 37.4 million the week before. As we head into the last 6 weeks of the marketing year corn export sales are 1% higher than the pace needed, wheat 2% higher, sorghum 8% higher and beans right on.
- Managed money accounts sold off from their net long positions for corn and soybeans while buying back some net short positions of Chicago wheat. Managed money in corn and soybean has fallen to more normal levels of position holdings.
- Export inspections were down for corn, grain sorghum and soybeans week over week but up for wheat. All were within pre-report trading ranges. With 5 weeks left in the corn and soybean marketing year- soybeans are right on the seasonal pace needed while corn lags the pace needed by 4%.
- Ukraine, Russia, and the United Nations with the assistance of Turkey inked an agreement Friday to allow exports of Ukrainian grain out of the country. That agreement didn’t even make it 24 hours before Russia bombed Ukraine’s main grain exporting port of Odesa. Russia claims it was only military equipment harmed but it is hard to know where this leaves the agreement. There is an estimated 20 million metric tons of Ukraine Grain at the ports awaiting export.
- Both corn and beans exceeded their expected rating declines this week at -3% and -2% good/excellent scores respectively, putting soy at 59% good to excellent- a point below this same time last year and 4% below average- mostly matching 2021 and 2017. Neither of those years were record, but both came in safely above trend. For corn the western corn belt and especially the southern states saw conditions deteriorate quickly.
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