This week in the markets – Cash cattle trade was up a little more than $2 for the week and feeder cattle markets were $2 to $5 higher. October live cattle futures contract closed more than $5 higher, as the October feeder cattle contract. The Choice Box Beef price fell $4 on weakness in all components but ribs. Cash hogs fell nearly $1.50 this week and October lean hog futures are up nearly $5 this week. Pork value was up $2.55 this week, led by hams and bellies.
Cold Storage: All beef was 6 percent below year-ago levels and only up slightly from the previous month. Pork stocks were 4 percent higher relative to a year-ago, but also declined from July. Loins continue to be the concern for the pork industry – especially as levels continue to run above year ago number, with the exception of January 2019. August loin inventories were nearly 39 percent above year-ago levels. The combination of beef, pork, chicken, and turkey for August were 80-million-pounds below year-ago levels.
Hogs and Pigs: Kept for breeding was up 1.6 percent, which was near pre-report estimates. The all hogs and pigs number was 3.4 percent higher, near the upper end of the pre-report. Hogs in the 120 to 179 range and 180 and greater fell outside pre-report estimates and are the primary reason for the all hogs and pigs number at the upper end of its range. Pigs per litter for June through August came in at 11.11, another record high. While June through August farrowings fell by almost 1 percent and were outside the pre-report range and helps to offset the increase in pigs per litter.
Trade: Japan signed a preliminary trade agreement. This could potentially kickstart progress on other trade agreements.
Next week’s reports: Restaurant Performance Index and Jobs report.
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