Compass, episode 14

Our previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/gold-stocks-show-strong-growth-as-markets-pause-7048

Recording date: 6th May 2025

Olive Resource Capital has reported a strong start to 2025, achieving a net portfolio gain of approximately 23–24% through April. The performance is attributed to significant gains in key gold and copper holdings, with standout contributions from Omai Gold Mines and Troilus Gold, both of which have nearly doubled in value. Arizona Sonoran, a copper-focused investment, also added to the momentum with a 30% gain, supported by rising investor interest and developments such as Hudbay’s strategic involvement.

The firm maintains over 50% of its portfolio in precious metals, favoring advanced-stage assets with clear paths to production or acquisition. Their investment strategy distinguishes between two categories: fundamental holdings, like Omai and Arizona Sonoran, which are held based on valuation and long-term potential; and liquid positions, consisting of larger-cap gold equities that can be adjusted in response to market conditions.

A significant portion of the recent episode of Compass, the firm’s investor show hosted by Executive Chair Derek Mcpherson and CEO Sam Pelaez, focused on sector-wide trends—particularly consolidation and capital flows. The duo discussed Gold Fields’ $2.4 billion acquisition of Gold Road Resources. While the transaction’s ~$600/oz valuation appears above historical averages, they noted that the quality of the Gruyere project and the premium jurisdiction of Western Australia may justify the pricing, especially in a potentially rising gold price environment.

Equally notable was the discussion around Southern Cross Consolidated’s C$120M+ equity financing. As a pre-resource exploration company, such a capital raise is rare and considered a strong signal of renewed appetite for high-grade gold systems. Sunday Creek, Southern Cross’s flagship asset in Victoria, has delivered encouraging exploration results and now has the funding runway for aggressive drilling over the next two years. Olive had previously held shares in Mawson Gold, Southern Cross’s predecessor, and exited with a 100% return.

Finally, the team highlighted Australia’s increasingly dominant role in mining market activity. With major takeovers, robust fundraising, and strong equity performance across top producers, the pace of development there contrasts with a slower environment in Canada.

For investors, the message is clear: the resource sector is experiencing renewed momentum. Strategic positioning in advanced-stage projects, particularly in strong jurisdictions, may offer the most resilient upside as capital re-engages with the sector.

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