CommSec Market Update

The ASX200 barely moved, up only five points, after September quarter GDP showed 0.4 % growth versus the expected 0.7 %. The modest rebound faded as investors eyed US data. November ADP jobs, industrial production and the Fed’s December dot plot. Plus, the RBA’s 2026 rate outlook. Energy and health lagged, while iron ore miners slipped on Vale’s demand downgrade.

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US stocks found their footing on Tuesday, lifted by a bitcoin rally after a sharp sell-off. Treasury markets also found firmer ground as traders evaluated the latest signals from the Federal Reserve. In company news, Boeing flew higher on stronger delivery plans, and MongoDB surged after raising its forecast. Gains were tempered, however, by weakness in paper and packaging companies, which weighed on the materials sector. In commodities, gold retreated on profit-taking, oil prices eased amid uncertainty over Russia-Ukraine peace talks, and iron ore advanced on Chinese infrastructure demand. Looking ahead, Aussie shares are poised to edge higher on Wednesday ahead of economic growth data.

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Steve and Laura report a modest rise in the ASX200, buoyed by energy and mining gains, while other sectors lagged. US markets have been relatively weak, yet commodity prices pushed Australian shares higher, with oil and gold hitting fresh highs. Look out for tomorrow’s Australian Q3 growth figures and a big US earnings cycle that could test the rally.

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Wall Street slipped overnight as rising bond yields and weakness in crypto-exposed stocks weighed on sentiment. US Treasuries also declined, with fresh corporate debt issuance adding pressure after Japan’s bond sell-off last week. Still, Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales helped lift major US retailers. Elsewhere, European markets kicked off December on the back foot, dragged lower by a slide in Airbus. In commodities, oil rose more than a dollar a barrel after OPEC’s latest move, while silver hit a record high as growing rate-cut expectations pressured the US dollar. Back home, Aussie shares are set to open higher, with Collins Foods earnings in focus.

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The ASX200 was down about 0.6% as US futures pointed to a softer start, with the Nasdaq futures dropping around 0.75% and the Dow about 0.5%. Energy shares were the only sector in the green, up roughly 0.5%, while health, financials, tech and real estate all fell. An ASX technical glitch halted 80 stocks, most notably Metcash, which slid 9.2%. Investors will watch the Wednesday update on three‑month Aussie growth, US jobs and inflation data, and the Fed decision due on 10‑11 December.

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Wall Street edged higher on Friday as a CME outage disrupted global trading for several hours. The S&P 500 notched its biggest weekly advance since May while the Nasdaq broke its seven-month winning streak in November. Meanwhile, US government bond yields also lifted on expectations of heavy corporate debt issuance. In commodities, OPEC stuck with plans to halt production increases in the March quarter of 2026, and gold surged more than 5% over the month. Back home, Australia is set for a steady start to trade after its worst November since 2014, while home prices hit fresh record highs.

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The ASX200 closed essentially flat, down only three points, after a volatile November that saw the index fall about three percent for the month but climb 2.4 percent this week, snapping a four‑week losing streak. Rate‑cut hopes were dented by hotter‑than‑expected inflation, while sector performance was mixed. Tech, finance and property fell, but healthcare, consumer staples and WiseTech rose. Upcoming drivers include the OPEC+ meeting, Black Friday sales and Australian economic data on building approvals and September‑quarter growth.

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US financial markets are closed for the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, while European stocks are heading for a muted finish to November. Bitcoin topped 90,000 on shifting sentiment, and China’s ANTA Sports is reportedly weighing a potential bid for Puma. In commodities, gold slipped from two-week highs while iron ore inched higher on a softer US dollar. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to open lower, snapping a four-day winning streak.

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ASX200 was flat after a 0.4% rise early, keeping a 2.3% weekly gain and ending a four week losing streak. Tech stocks outperformed, up about 2%, while energy fell 1.3% on oil price drops ahead of the OPEC meeting. With US markets closed for Thanksgiving, focus shifts to European cues and the upcoming Black Friday Cyber Monday retail surge.

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Technology stocks continued to lift Wall Street, helping the market recover ground lost in last Thursday’s sell-off as falling bond yields supported sentiment. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumped nearly 3%, while Dell Technologies rose 6% on strong data-centre demand. Elsewhere, Robinhood shares surged 10% on acquisition developments, whereas John Deere slipped on a grim agriculture outlook. Back home, futures point to gains ahead of today’s business investment data.

Farewell, Tom! Your market insights and sharp sense of humour will be greatly missed.

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