CommSec Market Update

The ASX200 fell about 0.25% to a two month low after the RBA kept rates steady and signalled only one cut in 2026. Material and tech stocks led losses, while financials rose on Westpac earnings. US government shutdown and a 2% tech slide added pressure. Look out for US earnings from McDonald’s, Snap and Novo-Nordisk, plus NAB and Macquarie results this week.

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Wall Street’s main indexes fell to one-week lows on Tuesday after CEOs of major U.S. banks warned of a potential market sell-off. Tech sentiment took a hit, with Palantir sliding on AI valuation concerns and Uber dropping after missing quarterly profit expectations. Elsewhere, U.S. bond yields declined amid growing fears of a stock market bubble, while European markets also retreated to two-week lows in a broader risk-off mood. In commodities, prices weakened as a stronger U.S. dollar and demand worries weighed on sentiment. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to rebound after touching one-month lows.

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The ASX200 slid 0.9% (81 points) to a five‑week low after the RBA left rates at 3.6%. Hotter‑than‑forecast inflation curbed cut hopes. All sectors except healthcare fell, with Westpac the sole bank up 1.5%. City Chic rose 7.5% after a solid ANZ update, while CSL remains down 40% YTD. Focus now shifts to inflation data on 26 Nov and upcoming employment and earnings releases.

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Wall Street’s main indexes rose overnight, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both higher as Kenvue surged on buyout news. Amazon’s $38 billion deal with OpenAI lifted its shares and boosted Nvidia's as well. U.S. Treasuries were mixed amid uncertainty surrounding the government shutdown, while in Europe, equities edged higher as investors assessed a fresh batch of earnings. In commodities, oil prices held steady despite OPEC+ signalling a pause on output hikes. Gold was little changed ahead of key U.S. private payroll data, and iron ore slipped on weaker steel production in China. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to ease ahead of the RBA’s interest rate decision.

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The ASX200 nudged up about 0.1 % after a soft start to the month, helped by a lift in financials, energy and tech stocks. Caution remains ahead of tomorrow’s RBA decision, with a roughly 3 % chance of a further rate cut after hotter‑than‑expected inflation data. US inflation figures were delayed by the ongoing government shutdown, and upcoming events include bank earnings (NAB, Macquarie) and several ex‑dividend dates.

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Wall Street closed higher on Friday, with the Nasdaq notching its best monthly winning streak since 2018. Amazon shares hit all-time highs after a strong sales forecast, while Apple slipped as CEO Tim Cook flagged supply constraints. U.S. government bond yields moved lower as the government shutdown dragged on. In Europe, equities edged lower following a mixed batch of quarterly results. In commodities, OPEC signalled a pause on production hikes until early 2026, and gold rose 4% for October. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to dip ahead of Westpac’s results.

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The Aussie market ended October on a flat and uninspired note, slipping by around four points on Friday to mark a fourth straight day of losses. That left the ASX 200 down roughly 1.4% for the week — its worst since April — as investors digested hotter-than-expected inflation data and reassessed expectations for future rate cuts. Despite the late-month pullback, the index still managed a 0.4% gain for October overall. Energy and materials helped limit losses, while consumer discretionary and utilities weighed most heavily, with Wesfarmers and Origin Energy both under pressure. Resmed was among the day’s bright spots, lifting after a solid quarterly update. Looking ahead, attention turns to the RBA’s rate decision on Melbourne Cup Day, US inflation data tonight, and next week’s bank earnings from Westpac, NAB, and Macquarie.

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U.S. stocks fell overnight, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq dragged lower by Meta and Microsoft amid renewed Fed rate concerns. Investors rotated out of tech and into bank and healthcare stocks, while rising Treasury yields reflected uncertainty over further Fed cuts. In Europe, the ECB kept rates unchanged amid resilient economic growth. In commodities, oil prices held steady amid optimism over a U.S.–China trade truce, and gold gained after the Fed’s latest trim. Back home, Aussie shares are set to snap a three-day losing streak to end the month on a stronger note.

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The Aussie sharemarket extended losses to a third straight day, weighed down by fading hopes of another RBA rate cut this year after yesterday’s hotter-than-expected inflation data. The ASX200 slipped about half a percent, trimming October’s monthly gain to just 0.5%. Overnight, the US Fed delivered another 25-basis-point rate cut but signalled caution about further easing, while Nvidia hit a record US$5 trillion valuation. Locally, healthcare and energy stocks led modest gains, but sharp falls in consumer discretionary shares — dragged by Wesfarmers — kept the broader market under pressure. Investors also watched a high-stakes meeting between US and Chinese leaders, their first face-to-face since Trump’s re-election, aimed at easing trade tensions.

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US stocks gave up early gains after Jerome Powell signalled the central bank may not cut rates again this year. U.S. Treasuries slumped after Powell clarified that a December cut isn’t guaranteed. Nvidia became the first company to reach a $5 trillion market value, while Caterpillar hit a record high as strength in its energy business lifted shares. In commodities, copper reached a record high due to supply shortages, and oil prices rose following a sharp decline in US stockpiles. Elsewhere, the Bank of Canada cut interest rates, and back home, Aussie shares are set to open lower on Thursday as rate cut hopes are dashed.

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