CommSec Market Update

US stocks gave up early gains after Jerome Powell signalled the central bank may not cut rates again this year. U.S. Treasuries slumped after Powell clarified that a December cut isn’t guaranteed. Nvidia became the first company to reach a $5 trillion market value, while Caterpillar hit a record high as strength in its energy business lifted shares. In commodities, copper reached a record high due to supply shortages, and oil prices rose following a sharp decline in US stockpiles. Elsewhere, the Bank of Canada cut interest rates, and back home, Aussie shares are set to open lower on Thursday as rate cut hopes are dashed.

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The ASX200 slipped almost 1% to its worst daily drop since 3 Sept, spurred by September CPI showing headline 3.2% and core at 3%, topping the RBA’s target. Markets now see only a 5% chance of a rate cut at the Melbourne Cup meeting. Energy and gold miners led modest gains, while financials and CSL fell sharply.

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Wall Street hit fresh record highs, with the S&P 500 rising above 6,900 points on AI optimism. Apple reached a $4 trillion market value, while Microsoft gained from its OpenAI partnership. US bond yields edged lower ahead of the Fed’s rate decision, while in Europe, the FTSE 100 touched a new peak, lifted by HSBC. In commodities, oil fell 2% as traders weighed Russian sanctions, gold slipped to a three-week low amid signs of progress in US–China trade talks, and aluminium rose on concerns over Australian smelter output. Back home, Aussie shares are set to open higher ahead of key inflation data.

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The ASX200 fell about 0.5% today, erasing Monday’s gains, but stays up 2% for October and just 1% below a record high. Financials rallied, with the big four banks hitting record levels, while CSL and WiseTech drove the decline, dropping 16% and 15% respectively. Look ahead to tomorrow’s CPI release and the RBA’s likely rate cut on Melbourne Cup Day.

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Wall Street climbed to record highs on renewed US-China trade optimism, with the S&P 500 on track for its first-ever close above 6,800 points. European markets also extended their winning streak, marking a third straight session of record finishes, while Argentine assets rallied following Javier Milei’s election victory. Elsewhere, Qualcomm shares surged after the company unveiled new AI chips aimed at competing with Nvidia. In commodities, copper reached a 17-month high on hopes of a trade deal, while gold slipped below $4,000 per ounce. Back home, Aussie shares are set to fall amid renewed interest rate jitters, after RBA Governor Michele Bullock warned that a 0.9% rise in core CPI would represent a material miss.

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The ASX200 nudged up 0.4 % on Monday, keeping the market within striking distance of last week’s record. Financials powered the rise, with three of the big four banks near all‑time highs and energy and tech also in the green. Gold fell 1.3 % after a sharp profit‑taking rally, dragging miners down. Looking ahead, US‑China trade talks, the “Magnificent Seven” earnings and a key CPI release will drive sentiment, while markets price a 60 % chance of an RBA cut before the Melbourne Cup.

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Wall Street notched record highs after cooler-than-expected US inflation data, with the Dow closing above 47,000 points for the first time. European markets followed suit, also finishing at record levels. Bonds, however, erased their post-CPI gains. Looking ahead, a busy week awaits with a Federal Reserve meeting and mega-cap earnings in focus. In commodities, oil steadied as traders weighed sanctions, while gold ended its nine-week winning streak. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to rise on rate-cut bets in what’s shaping up to be a pivotal week for markets, while the Aussie dollar lifted following the softer US inflation print.

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The Aussie market lost a little ground on Friday, slipping 0.1% after Donald Trump ended trade talks with Canada. Still, the ASX200 managed a small weekly gain and remains firmly higher for October and the year so far. Tech stocks led the way, while healthcare and financials dragged. Pilbara Minerals and Liontown jumped on upbeat quarterly results, Dusk rose on stronger sales, and Mount Gibson tumbled after shutting an ageing WA mine. Energy stocks kept their five-day winning streak going, and all eyes now turn to next week’s major US tech earnings and Australia’s quarterly CPI figures.

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Wall Street is attempting to rebound from Wednesday’s sell-off as the US confirms a meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping aimed at easing trade tensions. US bond yields rose ahead of consumer price index data, while in commodities, oil surged 5% after Washington sanctioned Russian firms and gold gained on renewed geopolitical risk. In company earnings news, Tesla shares reversed earlier losses after results, Honeywell lifted its outlook on aerospace strength, and Las Vegas Sands led the S&P 500 on gains in Singapore. Back home, the ASX is set to edge higher to close out the week, with the Aussie dollar firming against the greenback on Chinese stimulus hopes.

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A mixed day for the Aussie market, with the ASX200 finishing mostly flat, up just 3 points. Energy names were the stars, jumping more than 3% as oil prices surged following new US sanctions on Russian oil giants. Woodside climbed over 4% after announcing a strategic partnership, and Karoon Energy soared almost 10% on its quarterly update. Gold miners found some relief after yesterday’s heavy losses, with Regis Resources up 5%, while Fortescue gained 2.4% after posting record iron ore shipments. Super Retail Group slipped despite higher sales, and ASX shares eased after its AGM. Tonight, investors will be watching US jobs data and corporate results from Intel and Ford, before RBA Governor Michele Bullock speaks in Sydney tomorrow.

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