CommSec Market Update

Wall Street was boosted overnight by upbeat bank earnings, with Morgan Stanley and Bank of America both smashing expectations, but gains faded as investors remained cautious amid US-China trade tensions. Tech stocks also added some spark, helping the Nasdaq close around 0.8% higher. European markets found their footing too, with France’s CAC up 2% after signs of political stability returned. Here at home, futures are pointing to a softer start after the ASX200’s strongest session in two weeks. Jobs data out later today is expected to show steady unemployment at 4.2%, and we’ll also hear from a number of big names including Santos, Challenger, Treasury Wines and Stockland.

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The ASX200 was up about 0.9 % in afternoon trade, close to the 9 000‑point psychological barrier, driven chiefly by a 1.2 % rise in the financials sector as major banks posted stronger earnings and dividend upgrades. Materials also added strength after softer Chinese inflation data, while energy fell on lower oil prices. Looking ahead, market focus will shift to US bank results, the US Fed’s upcoming rate decision, and Australia’s jobs report due tomorrow, which could steer the RBA’s policy path.

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US stocks recovered from early losses as investors were reassured by Jerome Powell’s comments, keeping alive hopes for future rate cuts. Treasury yields hovered near recent lows, while the Dow Jones lifted 400 points in a remarkable turnaround as traders shrugged off renewed US-China trade tensions. The Dow and S&P 500 also gained on the back of strong US bank results. In commodities, oil fell 1% on supply glut worries, while iron ore slipped on profit-taking. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to lift around 1% as gold hits a fresh record high, though the Aussie dollar remains below 65 US cents.

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The ASX200 edged up about 0.2% today, ending a two‑day losing streak as miners, energy and materials rallied on higher commodity prices and fresh record highs for gold and silver. Health care and tech added modest gains, while banks slipped. RBA minutes reaffirmed steady rates, and investors await Thursday’s jobs data, November inflation figures and Powell’s Fed outlook.

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Wall Street staged a miraculous turnaround as Donald Trump reassured markets by talking down trade concerns with China. Broadcom soared, adding $150 billion in value on news of its OpenAI agreement, while quantum stocks rallied after JPMorgan’s latest tech investment push. Bank stocks also climbed ahead of an earnings bonanza, and Tesla gained on stronger China EV sales. In commodities, oil prices rose as the US and China moved to de-escalate trade tensions, while gold broke through $4,100 to a record high. Back home, the ASX is expected to rebound on Tuesday after recording its biggest single-day drop since September 2024.

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Today the ASX200 fell about 0.8%, its biggest slide in weeks, as all 11 sectors traded red. Tech led the losses while gold miners rose two to three percent on a jump in metal price. ANZ outperformed with a 3.3% gain after its strategy update, whereas Treasury Wines plunged 15% after pulling guidance. Investors watch US inflation, Australian jobs data and the Qantas breach fallout.

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US stocks suffered their steepest drop in five months as tensions between Beijing and the White House escalated. The Trump administration’s threat of an additional 100% tariff on Chinese imports sent markets into a tailspin, with the Magnificent Seven slumping nearly 4% and tech heavyweights Nvidia, Tesla, and Amazon each falling about 2%. Elsewhere, safe-haven assets gained favour as bond yields fell and gold prices climbed, while energy producers were in focus after oil prices tumbled 4%. Back home, Aussie shares are set to open lower on Monday as tariff anxiety ripples through global markets.

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Despite more green shoots than red across the market, the ASX 200 couldn’t keep its momentum, slipping for a fourth time in five sessions. A 2% fall in materials proved too heavy to shake off, wiping out Thursday’s gains as gold and iron ore prices cooled. Tech and retail names kept things interesting — JB Hi-Fi, Flight Centre and Temple & Webster all in the winner’s circle — while Lynas Rare Earths, Guzman y Gomez and the gold miners weighed on trade.

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Wall Street pulled back from record highs with the S&P 500 facing another heat check as the rally faltered. Albemarle shares rose after a broker upgrade on cash flow prospects, while rare earth stocks surged after China tightened its grip on global supplies. Delta Airlines reported robust demand heading into 2026, and PepsiCo announced a portfolio overhaul under activist pressure. In Europe, Ferrari suffered its worst single-day drop on record, overshadowing the launch of its new EV technology. In commodities, oil eased 1.5% following a Gaza ceasefire, copper climbed to a 16-month high, and gold slipped below $4,000 an ounce. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to end the week on the back foot, with the local dollar weakening against a stronger Greenback.

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The Aussie market managed its first lift of the week, though momentum was modest and buyer enthusiasm remained subdued. The ASX200 edged higher despite weakness across financials and tech stocks, with materials the clear standout, hitting a record high thanks to gains from gold and rare earth miners. Lynas Rare Earth surged to a 14-year peak while BHP, Rio Tinto and Fortescue also advanced. Meanwhile, Guzman y Gomez shares swung wildly after announcing a $100 million buyback, Liontown rose following changes to its Ford contract, and Netwealth delivered strong quarterly inflows. With few catalysts ahead of next week’s key events and RBA remarks due tomorrow, trade remained light as investors treaded cautiously near record highs.

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