CommSec Market Update

 Join Tom and Ryan as they discuss the week ahead in Aussie and global markets.

US stocks hit fresh record highs despite the government shutdown, as investors increasingly bet on near-term rate cuts following the biggest fall in private payrolls since 2023. Healthcare stocks led gains, lifted by eased pricing fears after the Trump deal, while Nike surprised with stronger sales. In commodities, gold surged past $3,800 while oil slid to a sixteen-week low ahead of the OPEC meeting. Back home, Aussie shares are set to open higher on Thursday ahead of the RBA’s financial stability review.

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The ASX200 slipped only a few points, staying near flat after a 1.4 % September loss and an 8 % YTD gain. Drivers were the first US government shutdown in seven years and mixed sector moves – utilities and industrials led, while consumer discretionary lagged. DroneShield exploded 600 % YTD, while lithium miners fell. Look ahead to US payroll data, the RBA stability report and Chinese holidays.

The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

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 Join Tom and Ryan as they discuss the week ahead in Aussie and global markets.

US markets closed the quarter with modest gains despite concerns over a looming government shutdown. The S&P 500 recorded its biggest third-quarter advance since 2020, while the Nasdaq notched its strongest September quarter since 2012. The Dow Jones also closed at a record high, shrugging off political uncertainty, as US treasuries finished mixed. In economic data, weak hiring highlighted ongoing stagnation in the US labour market, while gold hovered near record highs. Back home, Australian home prices rose at their fastest pace in a year, though local shares are expected to open lower on Wednesday.

The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The ASX200 slipped about 0.2 % in the final September session, erasing most of the month’s 1.3 % fall. Materials led, with gold miners supplying the top‑ten performers and DroneShield up 37 %. Energy fell roughly 10 % as oil prices dropped. The RBA held the cash rate at 3.6 %, cutting market odds of a November cut to about 40 %. Upcoming: Oct 29 inflation report and jobs data.

The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

 Join Tom and Ryan as they discuss the week ahead in Aussie and global markets.

Tech stocks led Wall Street higher as investors weighed the risk of a potential government shutdown, with US bond yields easing on the uncertainty. Robinhood shares climbed on strong prediction market volumes, while Barrick and Newmont announced leadership changes as gold surged to a fresh record high amid growing bets on rate cuts. Meanwhile, oil prices fell more than 3% as OPEC signalled plans to hike output. Back home, Aussie shares are set to open higher for a fourth straight session ahead of the RBA’s interest rate decision, where policymakers are expected to hold rates and await critical data.

The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The ASX200 jumped about 0.85% on Monday, extending a three‑day winning streak driven by strong gains in the big four banks and a surge in gold miners, while energy and tech lagged. DroneShield spiked 19% to a fresh record. Market focus shifts to tomorrow’s RBA interest‑rate decision, upcoming US jobs data, a hefty $8.5 billion dividend payout week and the October 16 Australian jobs report.

The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

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Wall Street ended a three-day losing streak after the latest inflation report, with the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation coming in line with economists’ expectations. This relief saw buyers push most sectors higher. Pharma stocks jumped on tariff news and game maker Electronic Arts surged on reports of a potential $50 billion buyout. Energy shares also led weekly gains ahead of the OPEC meeting. Still, concerns over a possible government shutdown weighed on sentiment heading into the week. Back home, futures point to a modest gain for the ASX 200 on Monday ahead of the RBA’s two-day meeting.

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The ASX200 closed modestly higher on Friday, up about 0.08% and breaking a three‑week losing streak, while September remains down roughly 2%. Stronger‑than‑expected August inflation trimmed market expectations for a November RBA rate cut to about 50%. US President Trump’s 100% tariff on pharma imports dragged healthcare stocks such as CSL, Pro Medicus and Mesoblast lower, whereas miners (+0.7%) and financials (+0.5%) buoyed the index, led by BHP’s 1.3% gain. Looking ahead, investors will watch the RBA’s October decision, US inflation figures and upcoming US jobs data, plus the rollout of pharma tariffs on October 1.

The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

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Wall Street retreated for a third straight session as stronger growth figures cast doubt on the likelihood of a November rate cut. The US economy recorded its fastest pace of growth in two years, while Treasuries gained as the data clouded the Fed’s policy outlook. In company news, CoreWeave expanded its deals with OpenAI, while Oracle extended its slide on AI concerns, marking a third day of losses. In commodities, oil pulled back from a seven-week high as investors reassessed the Fed’s rate path. Back home, Aussie shares are expected to open flat on Friday ahead of the AFL Grand Final.

The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

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The ASX200 ended Thursday more or less flat after a choppy session, with mining and energy stocks leading gains on stronger oil and copper prices. Woodside and Santos rose with crude oil at seven-week highs, while copper miners like Sandfire and BHP climbed after supply disruptions in Indonesia. Billions in dividends were paid out by BHP, Rio Tinto, Telstra and others, and Premier Investments delivered a mixed result as Peter Alexander sales grew but Smiggle weakened. Rate cut expectations remain uncertain after hotter August inflation kept investors cautious.

The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.