Deep Values

"Buffett Indicator (July-2025)," offers a comprehensive analysis of the US equity market's valuation as of late June 2025. It primarily utilizes the Buffett Indicator and Shiller CAPE to suggest extreme over-valuation, historically leading to low long-term real returns. The document further supports this conclusion by examining various other metrics, including Price-to-Sales, Price-to-Book, and a near-zero Equity-Risk Premium, all indicating a stretched market. While some sentiment indicators appear neutral, the inverted yield curve signals potential macro caution, suggesting future normalization through slower growth rather than earnings expansion. Ultimately, the analysis warns investors of lower forward returns and increased risk, advocating for alternative investments like T-bills and quality bonds.

📚 Value Investing Books Recommendation

————————————————————————

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

————————————————————————

Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7

————————————————————————

Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

————————————————————————

Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

————————————————————————

Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

————————————————————————

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing from the episode description!

This episode offers a comparative analysis of the investment philosophies of Howard Marks and Morgan Housel, two prominent figures in modern finance. It explores their individual doctrines on risk management, market cycles, behavioral psychology, and particularly, their perspectives on debt. Marks, an analyst, emphasizes second-level thinking and optimizing leverage in volatile markets, while Housel, a storyteller, prioritizes behavioral endurance, the power of compounding over time, and the pursuit of financial freedom through minimizing debt. The text ultimately synthesizes their views, proposing a unified framework for investors that integrates both the analytical rigor of Marks and the psychological wisdom of Housel.

📚 Value Investing Books Recommendation

————————————————————————

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

————————————————————————

Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7

————————————————————————

Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

————————————————————————

Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

————————————————————————

Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

————————————————————————

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing from the episode description!

This episode provides a comprehensive overview of Seth Klarman, focusing on his investment philosophy and the practical application of his principles through The Baupost Group. It traces Klarman's background, highlighting how his early life influenced his value investing approach, particularly his emphasis on risk aversion and absolute returns. A significant portion explains his seminal book, "Margin of Safety," detailing its core concept of buying assets at a significant discount and advocating for bottom-up analysis and a catalyst-driven investment strategy. Finally, the text examines Baupost's modern portfolio, showcasing how Klarman's firm embodies these long-held principles by analyzing specific Q1 2025 holdings and their underlying investment theses.

📚 Value Investing Books Recommendation

————————————————————————

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

————————————————————————

Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7

————————————————————————

Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

————————————————————————

Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

————————————————————————

Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

————————————————————————

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing from the episode description!

This comprehensive financial and business analysis of Alibaba Group (BABA) examines its operations, risks, and financial performance. The report outlines Alibaba's business model, which is heavily reliant on e-commerce and cloud services, serving over a billion annual active customers. It identifies significant political/regulatory risks, intense market competition, and the impact of a Chinese economic slowdown on growth. Furthermore, the analysis details Alibaba's cost structure, management team, and top shareholders, while also highlighting the company's recent share buyback program as a sign of management confidence. The document concludes with a historical financial overview, including key metrics like revenue, margins, and valuation multiples, and presents a DCF valuation indicating a modest upside under optimistic growth scenarios.

📚 Value Investing Books Recommendation

————————————————————————

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

————————————————————————

Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7

————————————————————————

Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

————————————————————————

Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

————————————————————————

Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

————————————————————————

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing on our main page!

DocuSign (DOCU), offering a detailed analysis for informational purposes rather than investment advice. It summarizes the company's business model, highlighting its primary revenue streams from subscriptions and outlining its customer base. The report then identifies both short-term economic factors like market competition and inflation, and long-term risks such as technological disruption and regulatory changes that could impact the business. Furthermore, it breaks down DocuSign's fixed and variable costs, emphasizing significant expenditures like sales and marketing and research and development, and assesses the management team's history and alignment with shareholder interests. The document also reviews the top shareholders and their typical voting behaviors, discusses the company's share buyback plans, and explains intrinsic value calculation methods, including two detailed Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analyses based on conservative and average growth projections. Finally, it provides a hypothetical summary of a recent earnings report and lists key financial metrics for historical trend analysis.

📚 Value Investing Book List

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

————————————————————————

Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7

————————————————————————

Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

————————————————————————

Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

————————————————————————

Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

————————————————————————

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!

This episode offers an extensive overview of Benjamin Graham's seminal work, "Security Analysis," highlighting its enduring impact on finance since its 1934 publication amidst the Great Depression. It explains key concepts such as Value Investing, which involves purchasing assets below their Intrinsic Value, safeguarded by a Margin of Safety. The allegory of Mr. Market illustrates how to navigate the stock market's irrational behavior, distinguishing between true Investment and Speculation. The text emphasizes Fundamental Analysis, combining both quantitative and qualitative factors, and advocates for a Disciplined and Long-Term Investing approach, principles famously adopted and championed by Warren Buffett.

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: ⁠https://amzn.to/442yKak⁠

Hardcover: ⁠https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg⁠

📚 Value Investing Books Recommendation

————————————————————————

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

————————————————————————

Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7

————————————————————————

Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

————————————————————————

Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

————————————————————————

Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

————————————————————————

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing on our main page!

This episode provides an overview of Robert Cialdini's seminal work, Influence: The Psychology of Persuasion, and its endorsement and practical application by investor Charlie Munger. It explores Cialdini's six universal principles of persuasion—Reciprocity, Commitment and Consistency, Social Proof, Authority, Liking, and Scarcity—which explain how cognitive shortcuts influence human decision-making. The text further highlights Munger's insights on how these biasescontribute to human misjudgment, often in compounding ways known as the "lollapalooza effect." Ultimately, it emphasizes the importance of understanding these principles not only for ethical persuasion but also for self-defenseagainst manipulation and for fostering rational decision-making.

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: ⁠https://amzn.to/4619DqL⁠

Hardcover: ⁠https://amzn.to/40a8TMi⁠

Paperback: ⁠https://amzn.to/40gtwq7⁠

📚 Value Investing Books Recommendation

————————————————————————

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

————————————————————————

Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7

————————————————————————

Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

————————————————————————

Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

————————————————————————

Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

————————————————————————

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing on our main page!

This episode centers on Warren Buffett's enduring investment philosophy, particularly as outlined in his 1999 Fortune article, "Mr. Buffett on the Stock Market." It explores his prescient warnings about unsustainable public expectations for stock returns, emphasizing the critical influence of interest rates and after-tax corporate profits as a percentage of GDP. The text then applies Buffett's timeless insights to the June 2025 market environment, analyzing current economic indicators, corporate profitability, investor sentiment, and valuation levels to identify parallels and divergences from the late 1990s. Ultimately, the sources highlight the continued relevance of patience, discipline, and a focus on intrinsic value for navigating dynamic market conditions and seizing opportunities.

📚 Value Investing Books Recommendation

————————————————————————

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

————————————————————————

Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7

————————————————————————

Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

————————————————————————

Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

————————————————————————

Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

————————————————————————

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing on our main page!

This episode offer a comprehensive overview of Morgan Housel's influential book, The Psychology of Money, which has sold millions of copies worldwide. They highlight Housel's unique approach to finance, emphasizing that behavior and psychological temperament are more critical to financial success than traditional knowledge or intelligence. The book, summarized through its 20 chapters, distills complex behavioral economics into relatable stories and parables, making profound concepts accessible to a broad audience. Ultimately, the sources illustrate that Housel advocates for a financial philosophy built on survival, independence, patience, and humility, prioritizing "reasonable" decisions over purely "rational" ones to foster enduring wealth and peace of mind.

📚 Value Investing Books Recommendation

————————————————————————

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

————————————————————————

Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

Influence, New and Expanded: The Psychology of Persuasion

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4619DqL

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/40a8TMi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/40gtwq7

————————————————————————

Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

————————————————————————

Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

————————————————————————

Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

————————————————————————

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing on our main page!

This episode provides an in-depth financial and background analysis of Qualcomm, a major technology company, utilizing its latest quarterly report and SEC filings. It outlines Qualcomm's business model, primarily driven by its chipset (QCT) and patent licensing (QTL) segments, and identifies key industry and company risks such as competition and geopolitical factors. The analysis also covers Qualcomm's cost structure, management and governance, and shareholder information, including extensive share buybacks. Finally, it presents an intrinsic value estimation for the company, evaluates its latest quarterly results, and summarizes 10-year financial trends to conclude that Qualcomm is a fundamentally sound company with healthy financials, though its stock appears approximately fairly valued.

📚 Value Investing Books Recommendation

————————————————————————

Warren Buffett

The Snowball: Warren Buffett and the Business of Life

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FVasqy

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3HIfeZ2

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4kBjUOZ

Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements (by Marry Buffett)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/43Vr5dD

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4n6yNus

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45XBBDL

————————————————————————

Charlie Munger

Poor Charlie’s Almanack

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Zsw9VB

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4jMExq7

Collector's Edition: https://amzn.to/3SRgsn7

Tao of Charlie Munger

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4nk0akT

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/44eq8OR

————————————————————————

Howard Marks

The Most Important Thing (Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor)

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3Tqb4Yg

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3SRyy8A

Paperback: https://amzn.to/45ohdM0

Mastering The Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXPmby

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/45X6AQq

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44oPGYP

————————————————————————

Money Philosophies

The Psychology of Money: Timeless lessons on wealth, greed, and happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3FDbO9u

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kL3TGi

Paperback: https://amzn.to/44fpkcC

Limited Gift Version: https://amzn.to/4jYomGp

Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Kindle: https://amzn.to/3HXBJcp

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l7vPno

Paperback: https://amzn.to/4k2ZHRe

The Almanack of Naval Ravikant: A Guide to Wealth and Happiness

Kindle: https://amzn.to/4lx2a7F

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4kGX5tf

Paperback: https://amzn.to/3ZEMXsC

————————————————————————

Classic Principles

The Intelligent Investor

Kindle: https://amzn.to/45T9OEv

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/4l4f7W3

Paperback: https://amzn.to/43ZNyXb

Security Analysis, Seventh Edition: Principles and Techniques

Kindle: https://amzn.to/442yKak

Hardcover: https://amzn.to/3TmEEhg

Margin of Safety: Risk-Averse Value Investing Strategies for the Thoughtful Investor

Collector Edition: https://amzn.to/4lrgWNd

————————————————————————

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Like and Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing! Don’t forget to take the book list of value investing on our main page!