Deep Values: Value Investing Deep Dives

This episode provide a comprehensive financial and strategic analysis of JD.com, a prominent Chinese e-commerce and logistics company. They cover its business model, revenue streams, and cost structure, highlighting the significance of its proprietary logistics network and direct sales approach. The analysis also examines JD's management team, governance structure, and major shareholders, including insights into leadership transitions and founder control through a dual-class share structure. Furthermore, the sources review historical financial performance, discuss recent share buyback programs and dividend initiation, and analyze the trading activity of notable value investors. The report concludes with an intrinsic value estimation using methodologies inspired by Warren Buffett and a summary of potential catalysts and risks facing the company.

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2XDn2NMbbfvrJiqk9xAqR9?si=YsWJodQKS7CEMq5Twdh_8Q

Disclaimer: This content only expresses the views of the author(s) as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice. All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Subscribe us on Apple Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!

Annie Duke, a former professional poker player and cognitive psychologist, presenting her as a modern philosopher focused on practical decision-making. They analyze her core principles, such as "thinking in bets" to navigate uncertainty, the error of "resulting" (judging decisions solely by outcomes), identifying and mitigating cognitive biases, learning effectively from experience, and the strategic power of "quitting". The texts detail how her academic background and poker career informed her unique approach, highlighting her books, consulting work, and educational initiatives as key vehicles for disseminating her philosophy and providing practical frameworks and tools for better decision-making in an uncertain world.

This episode presents a comprehensive financial and strategic analysis of PDD Holdings, examining both its domestic platform Pinduoduo and international platform Temu, incorporating recent Q1 2025 earnings data. It details PDD's social commerce business model and diverse revenue streams, primarily from online marketing and transaction services. The analysis identifies significant short-term challenges such as slowing growth, increasing competition, and international trade frictions, alongside long-term risks like market saturation, regulatory pressures, and geopolitical tensions impacting Temu. A thorough examination of the company's cost structure highlights heavy variable spending on marketing and fulfillment, while the section on management and governance describes the co-CEO leadership and influential founder ownership. The report also discusses shareholder activity, noting concentrated insider control and the recent, albeit modest, share buyback program, concluding with intrinsic value estimations using a discounted cash flow model that suggests the stock is potentially undervalued despite near-term headwinds revealed in the Q1 2025 results.

Speak out Disclaimer: This content only expresses the views of the author(s) as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice. All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Subscribe us on Apple, Spotify Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!

This episode present a comprehensive analysis of the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation model, explaining its fundamental principles rooted in the time value of money and its use in determining a company's intrinsic value. They detail the core components of a DCF analysis, including projecting Free Cash Flows (FCF), determining the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) as the discount rate, and calculating a Terminal Value for cash flows beyond the explicit forecast period. The text applies this methodology to the top 20 S&P 500 companies under two scenarios based on historical FCF growth rates, highlighting the significant sensitivity of valuations to growth and discount rate assumptions. Ultimately, the sources emphasize that while DCF is a powerful tool for fundamental analysis and investment decisions, its results are estimates highly dependent on subjective inputs and should be used in conjunction with other methods.

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Disclaimer: This content only expresses the views of the author(s) as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice. All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Subscribe us on Apple Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!

This episode compares and contrast the investment approaches of Warren Buffett, primarily through Berkshire Hathaway, and Sequoia Capital, a venture capital firm. They highlight the fundamental differences in their strategies, with Buffett focusing on value investing in established, public companies and Sequoia concentrating on early-stage, high-growth technology startups. A key clarification is made distinguishing Sequoia Capital from the separate Sequoia Fund, which has historical ties to Buffett. The texts also explore how both entities are navigating the modern investment landscape, including the impact of Artificial Intelligence and macroeconomic conditions, while maintaining their core philosophies.

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Disclaimer: This content only expresses the views of the author(s) as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice. All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Subscribe us on Apple Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!

This episode analyzes Occidental Petroleum (OXY), focusing on its business model across oil & gas, chemicals, and midstream segments, highlighting the dominance of oil & gas revenue. They examine its financial performance, including volatile historical results, recent strong Q1 2025 earnings surpassing expectations, significant debt reduction, and a shift towards shareholder returns via buybacks and dividends. The analysis emphasizes OXY's strategic direction, particularly investments in low-carbon ventures like Direct Air Capture, alongside operational efficiencies and acquisitions like CrownRock, while acknowledging the inherent risks of commodity price swings and the capital-intensive nature of its new initiatives. A value investor perspective, heavily influenced by Berkshire Hathaway's large stake, suggests the stock may be undervalued based on discounted future cash flows.

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Disclaimer: This content only expresses the views of the author(s) as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice. All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Subscribe us on Apple Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!

This episode provides a structured analysis of Walmart Inc. (WMT), offering a business overview, outlining key financial data including sales mix, income streams, costs, and historical performance, and discussing management structure and shareholder information. It also examines capital return strategies and offers a valuation perspective from a value-investing viewpoint, highlighting potential risks and challenges. The information is presented with a financial disclaimer, emphasizing that it's based on publicly available data and not investment advice, and includes details about accompanying charts and a downloadable presentation for further study.

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Disclaimer: This content only expresses the views of the author(s) as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice. All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Subscribe us on Apple Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!

This episode explores Charlie Munger's concept of "worldly wisdom," arguing that intellectual success stems not from innate brilliance but from cultivating specific thinking habits. Central to this is building a multidisciplinary latticework of mental models, frameworks drawn from various fields like psychology, economics, physics, and biology, used to understand reality. Key models discussed include Inversion, Circle of Competence, Second-Order Thinking, and understanding the Psychology of Human Misjudgment. While powerful for decision-making and avoiding errors, the text also notes the limitations of models as simplifications and the importance of practice, humility, and continuous learning to avoid misapplication or overconfidence.

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Disclaimer: This content only expresses the views of the author(s) as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice. All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Subscribe us on Spotify/Apple Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!

This episode discuss Warren Buffett's strong emphasis on analyzing balance sheets when evaluating companies. They explain that Buffett prioritizes balance sheets over income statements because they provide a more reliable view of a company's true financial health and durability, highlighting factors like low debt, ample cash, and growing shareholder equity. This approach, rooted in value-investing principles, informs Berkshire Hathaway's strategy of maintaining a conservative financial structure, often holding significant cash reserves and avoiding excessive leverage, to ensure long-term stability and strategic flexibility. Financial analysts and biographers concur with Buffett's view, citing it as a cornerstone of Berkshire's sustained success.

Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheDeepValue

Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/deep-value-investing/id1811057697

Disclaimer: This content only expresses the views of the author(s) as of the date indicated and such views are subject to change without notice. All analysis is based on publicly available sources and may be subject to revisions or differing interpretations. The content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions. Subscribe us on Spotify/Apple Podcasts or Youtube channel: Deep Value Investing!