Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog

More than 90 Central Banks have now lifted rates, more than half by at least 75 basis points in one go this year. Last night the UK lifted by 0.5% and we look at their outlook, as more channel Paul Volcker who is widely acknowledged as the premier inflation fighter in Federal Reserve history. When … Continue reading "Rate Hikes To Infinity And Beyond… [Podcast]"

This is an edited edition of live discussion about the current state of the markets with Tony Locatro, Perth based Investment Manager with Alto Capital. We will pick apart the latest movements and consider the implications for wealth protection and growth. Tony specialises in the small cap sector. https://www.altocapital.com.au/ Go to the Walk The World … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay Tony Locantro: Get Real Market Update"

The logic I hear all the time is the RBA won’t let home prices fall too far because of the financial stability risk consequences. But that view might be plain wrong. First the RBA has lifted rates by 2.25 percentage points since May, and markets expect the cash rate to reach 3.3 per cent by … Continue reading "Has The RBA Greenlit Home Price Falls?"

My Monday chat with Edwin, which covers the latest numbers of property listings in Sydney, and our discussion is packed with insights about the market, and potential future trajectory. Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

As foreshadowed, we are now seeing the sharp reversal in asset prices, which were driven through the roof due to ultra-low interest rates, central bank quantitative easing, and government support through COVID plus huge debt growth. Of course, the recent gains were largely spurious, and a correction was always going to come – hopefully some … Continue reading "Here Comes The Wealth Destruction… [Podcast]"

The RBA was interrogated by Parliament today regarding its monetary policy stance and interest rates. But it was all a bit pointless as really the Federal Reserve sets interest rates in the US, but effectively also for the entire world, given the fact that the US dollar behaves as the reserve currency. Persistently high inflation … Continue reading "The Monetary Arms Race Is Here!"

My latest Friday afternoon chat with Journalist Tarric Brooker. We look at the latest data and discuss the implications. His charts are at: https://avidcom.substack.com/p/charts-that-matter-16th-september Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/

The ABS released their latest data on the labour market today, and it was not quite what was expected by the markets. In fact the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate rose to 3.5 per cent in August 2022, according to the ABS. The key reason for the rise in unemployment was the 0.2% lift in the … Continue reading "Is Employment On The Turn? [Podcast]"

A broad sell-off sent U.S. stocks reeling on Tuesday after a hotter-than-expected inflation report dashed hopes that the Federal Reserve could relent and scale back its policy tightening in the coming months. This is the last inflation report before the Fed’s policy meeting next week. Investors had hoped the Fed would have some reason to … Continue reading "On A Recession Doorstep… [Podcast]"

This is an edited version of a live discussion about the current state of the Brisbane property market with Meighan Wells, the Principal of Property Pursuit and co-founder of the Home Buyer Academy and co-presenter of Your First Home Buyer Guide Podcast. In recognition of her expertise and high standards in the fast-growing buyer’s agency … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A Brisbane Property Market Update With Meighan Wells [Podcast]"