Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog

Today we got the ABS Labour Force data for June 2026 and the strong result cements further the likelihood of another RBA rate hike this year. Traders are now pricing in a 36 per cent chance of higher borrowing costs when the RBA meets next month and are now fully priced for one more increase … Continue reading "The Case For More Rate Hikes Builds As Job Markets Remains (Mostly) Strong!"

One of the critical factors in our core market model is a set of linkages between home price momentum and input factors, such as demand, migration, interest rates, Government incentives, inflation and availability of credit. Each has an influence on the others, and on the trajectory of home prices. But the greatest of these is … Continue reading "Home Price Momentum Crushed By Credit Drought!"

Another deep dive into property dynamics with our insider Edwin Almeida. And check out our live show with Edwin tomorrow as he talks about enhancing property search. https://youtube.com/live/7kWk2lQ6ZRQ If you are buying your home in Sydney’s contentious market, you do not need to stand alone. This is the time you need to have Edwin from … Continue reading "It’s Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!"

There a couple of terms which can create fear and panic among those looking to buy and sell property. In a hot market, Gazumping is an underhand technique whereby a seller accepts a higher offer from another buyer before contracts are signed and exchanged. The reverse, in a falling or buyers market is Gazundering which … Continue reading "Gazundering Is Back Baby, As Home Prices Fall Further!"

This is our weekly market update, where we start in the US, cross to Europe and Asia and end in Australia, covering commodities and crypo along the way. Share indexes tumbled around the world on Friday, despite strong results reported from the US banks on heavy trading, as heavyweight chip stocks plunged for a third … Continue reading "Brutal Markets Pivot On AI, Chips And Energy; Despite Earnings Hopes!"

We had more data this week, continuing to build out the picture of falling home prices, reaching more suburbs, and taking a deeper dive. For many this is shocking, after all, the belief in the one-way street of property price rises was deeply entrenched. But perhaps this is now changing. For example, the latest Westpac-Melbourne … Continue reading "Can A Housing Downturn Improve Australia’s Productivity?"

During my recent live stream with Damian Klassen from Nucleus Wealth, we touched on Private Credit and the building risks from this opaque form of lending. It provoked a number of our followers to get in touch about these risks, expressing concerns that the risks in this unregulated area of finance could well pose a … Continue reading "The Private Credit Time Bomb…"

The REINZ released their June 2026 data today, showing national conditions remaining cautious while regional differences continuing to shape the overall picture. The New Zealand housing market has become a series of local markets moving at different speeds. Buyers and sellers in one part of the country are having a very different experience from those … Continue reading "New Zealand Property Still Stuck In Cautious Mode!"

In this live show we examined the latest market dynamics, as AI, Chips and Energy pull in different directions, even as we move into a higher inflation results season. I was joined by Damien Klassen, Head of Investments at Nucleus Wealth and Walk The World Funds. Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/ … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Investing Now: AI, Chips And Energy Puzzles: With Damien Klassen"

This week we explore the panic setting into the property media, and compare it with reality on the ground. Truth is, there is much noise and fury being fired by vested interests, from developers, agents and other parties. Where does truth lay, and what does the data really tell us? Renters are also in the … Continue reading "It’s Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!"