Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) Blog

We are at an interesting inflection point in the Australian property market, with housing affordability perhaps easing just a tad, even as more supply is coming, at a time when interest rates are expected to still go higher. Demand remains quite strong, supported by still strong migration, but the data is still sending conflicting signals … Continue reading "Will “Cheaper” Property Attract More Buyers, Or Will Prices Fall Some More?"

This is our weekly market update, where we start in the US, cross to Europe and Asia and end in Australia, covering commodities and crypto along the way. Another crazy week on markets as the latest headlines from Iran briefly rippled through oil, Treasury yields and currency markets, reviving all too familiar questions about inflation, … Continue reading "The Markets’ Big Questions On AI, Chips And Energy!"

Once again Australians have been hit by a serious telecommunications outage which started Wednesday morning, at 4:20am triggered Telstra says by a “software issue” when a human was working on their system. Rather opaquely they said that a particular node restarted as work was happening on it, and as it restarted a software glitch was … Continue reading "What Happens When The Digital Prison Faulters?"

Earlier in the week I highlighted that rental stress across Australia reach a eye-watering 75.5% of those who are currently renting, according to my rolling surveys. This means that more than 2.35 million households who are renting have a cash flow problem. It is a national disgrace, and is probably the most symbolic aspect of … Continue reading "The Sheer Pain Of Renting In Australia!"

Specifically, recent energy cost increases could still flow through to consumer prices, Non-tradable inflation remains high, with the risk that administered (i.e. government-set) price inflation could remain strong, Firms could become more sensitive to cost increases against a backdrop of elevated inflation and lift prices in response; Firms might also be inclined to slip through … Continue reading "Kiwis Get Another Rate Hike, Despite Oil Price Falls!"

In this live show we examined the latest from our survey and modelling, as we looked at household finances across post codes to end June 2026. Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/ Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/ Find more at https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/ where you can subscribe to our … Continue reading "DFA Live Q&A HD Replay: Australia’s Perfect Housing Storm: Let’s Talk Postcodes"

Property Insider Edwin Almeida and I kick around the latest data on property, and pull back the curtain to reveal what is really going on. Truth is there are many agendas out there, pulling in different directions. From migration, to demand, and from building construction to supply, these factors are part of a bigger puzzle. … Continue reading "It’s Edwin’s Monday Evening Property Rant!"

In the second show in the current series, we examine the DFA mortgage and rental stress results to the end of June 2026, as pressure on households intensifies. But not all post codes are behaving the same. See the first part on our scenarios here: https://youtu.be/gmK6CiQRIv8 The third part will be our live show on … Continue reading "Australia’s Perfect Housing Storm: Let’s Talk Stress Results"

Markets were once again all over the place through the week, as Wall Street on Thursday put in a mixed finish, as a slide in Tesla and chip stocks countered a soft June jobs report that dented Federal Reserve rate hike expectations. Yet despite the conflicted trading, U.S. stocks ended the holiday-shortened week with gains … Continue reading "Another Topsy-Turvy Week For Markets As Risks Abound"

Today we examine the latest housing price falls data, and with the help of our modelling, look at our price scenarios over the next three years. Further falls are expected, but how deep will they be, and where will they be most significant? This show is the first in a series as we reveal the … Continue reading "Australia’s Perfect Housing Storm: Let’s Talk Scenarios"