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Episode 125 - Arsenal, City & Liverpool | What the Stats Are Really Saying
In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the Premier League’s early season and what it tells us about the top teams. We look at Arsenal versus Man City and explore what we’ve learned from this clash of title contenders. Man City’s performance has been strange so far — what does it mean for the rest of the season? Liverpool’s early season numbers aren’t what we expected, so we dig into what’s really going on there. We also touch on Man United versus Chelsea, as well as a roundup of the other Premier League surprises and takeaways.
Plus, Ted discusses how analytics-minded fans can start a career in football and what beginners often miss when getting started in the game.
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YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q
X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow
Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/
TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:46 Ted’s Liverpool Tweet
01:49 Liverpools Performance Metrics
02:24 Mo Salah Playing Poorly
02:39 Defensive Liverpool Fans
03:40 Liverpool Crushing Atletico Madrid
05:00 Numbers are Against Liverpool
07:00 Liverpool Can Still Succeed
08:30 Ted's Liverpool Transfer Grades
9:30 Fans That Don't Get Angry and Takes Criticism
10:37 Transfer Grades and Team Analysis
12:00 Ted and Patrick Saving Easy Money for Man U
12:44 Hayden’s Transfer Grades
13:07 Great Players But Are They The Right Fit?
13:30 Transfer Prices Analysis
15:37 Patricks Transfer Grade List
15:55 Brighton Team Analysis
16:46 Brighton Need New Head Coach
17:52 Crystal Palace Performance
21:57 How Players Were Graded in Consultancies
23:00 Arsenal vs Manchester City Analysis
24:10 Haajland Like Cristiano Ronaldo
24:45 Marmoush Helping Man City
25:00 Half-Time Subs
25:30 Arsenal and City Performance Metrics
26:45 Pep Guardiola Management Analysis
27:40 Bayern and Kompany
28:15 Analysing Tactical Adaptations in Football
30:40 Gary Neville Criticising Arsenal
31:33 Arsenal Rebuilding Squad
32:13 Liverpool Comparison to Arsenal
32:41 Media Talking Heads Problem
36:16 Fulham team analysis
36:50 Ted’s worry for Brentford
38:30 Brentford players risk elements in team
39:20 Fulham, The Good and Bad
40:26 Man U vs. Chelsea
41:50 Man U Better Than We Thought
42:05 Chelsea Boring
42:00 Chelsea Team and Tactic Problems
45:00 Jao Pedro Poor Attacking
45:30 Strikers Poorly Playing Lately
45:49 How We Graded
47:11 Patrick and Ted on United
48:33 Ted's Thoughts On Man U
49:21The Intersection of Data and Tactics in Football
51:09 Understanding Football and the Models
54:34 How Ted Knows He's Measuring the Right Data
58:09 Seeing What's Missing and Doesn't Exist
59:55 How to Get Started and Learn from mistakes
1:02:00 Outro
View all episodes
By Theodore Knutson
4.8
2424 ratings
In this episode, Patrick and Ted break down the Premier League’s early season and what it tells us about the top teams. We look at Arsenal versus Man City and explore what we’ve learned from this clash of title contenders. Man City’s performance has been strange so far — what does it mean for the rest of the season? Liverpool’s early season numbers aren’t what we expected, so we dig into what’s really going on there. We also touch on Man United versus Chelsea, as well as a roundup of the other Premier League surprises and takeaways.
Plus, Ted discusses how analytics-minded fans can start a career in football and what beginners often miss when getting started in the game.
Subscribe to our FREE newsletter: https://www.thetransferflow.com/subscribe
Join Variance Betting: https://www.thetransferflow.com/upgrade
Follow us on our Socials:
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCe1WTKOt7byrELQcGRSzu1Q
X: https://x.com/TheTransferFlow
Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/thetransferflow.bsky.social
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetransferflow/
TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@transferflowpodcast
Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
00:46 Ted’s Liverpool Tweet
01:49 Liverpools Performance Metrics
02:24 Mo Salah Playing Poorly
02:39 Defensive Liverpool Fans
03:40 Liverpool Crushing Atletico Madrid
05:00 Numbers are Against Liverpool
07:00 Liverpool Can Still Succeed
08:30 Ted's Liverpool Transfer Grades
9:30 Fans That Don't Get Angry and Takes Criticism
10:37 Transfer Grades and Team Analysis
12:00 Ted and Patrick Saving Easy Money for Man U
12:44 Hayden’s Transfer Grades
13:07 Great Players But Are They The Right Fit?
13:30 Transfer Prices Analysis
15:37 Patricks Transfer Grade List
15:55 Brighton Team Analysis
16:46 Brighton Need New Head Coach
17:52 Crystal Palace Performance
21:57 How Players Were Graded in Consultancies
23:00 Arsenal vs Manchester City Analysis
24:10 Haajland Like Cristiano Ronaldo
24:45 Marmoush Helping Man City
25:00 Half-Time Subs
25:30 Arsenal and City Performance Metrics
26:45 Pep Guardiola Management Analysis
27:40 Bayern and Kompany
28:15 Analysing Tactical Adaptations in Football
30:40 Gary Neville Criticising Arsenal
31:33 Arsenal Rebuilding Squad
32:13 Liverpool Comparison to Arsenal
32:41 Media Talking Heads Problem
36:16 Fulham team analysis
36:50 Ted’s worry for Brentford
38:30 Brentford players risk elements in team
39:20 Fulham, The Good and Bad
40:26 Man U vs. Chelsea
41:50 Man U Better Than We Thought
42:05 Chelsea Boring
42:00 Chelsea Team and Tactic Problems
45:00 Jao Pedro Poor Attacking
45:30 Strikers Poorly Playing Lately
45:49 How We Graded
47:11 Patrick and Ted on United
48:33 Ted's Thoughts On Man U
49:21The Intersection of Data and Tactics in Football
51:09 Understanding Football and the Models
54:34 How Ted Knows He's Measuring the Right Data
58:09 Seeing What's Missing and Doesn't Exist
59:55 How to Get Started and Learn from mistakes
1:02:00 Outro
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