The S&P 500 has hit two all-time highs in the past two months — and it’s surged 85% since October 2022. That kind of run has many investors wondering: Is a pullback coming soon?

In this week’s Fastest 4 Minutes in Finance, Scott Inman breaks down key historical data showing why a year-end rally is actually the most likely outcome — not a crash. Since 1950, when the S&P 500 was up more than 10% through October, it kept rising in 30 out of 33 years, averaging another 4.8% gain before December closed.

Even more striking — when it was up over 16% by the end of October, it finished higher 19 out of 19 times. That means if the market doesn’t rise from here, it would be unprecedented in history.