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A quiet week lies ahead for FX markets as the year draws to a close. The spotlight will fall on the Bank of Japan’s summary of opinions, which will add some color around the recent decision to raise the yield ceiling that propelled the yen higher. More broadly, liquidity will be in short supply, making sharp market moves possible without any news.

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Dollar continues to feel the heat of Fed pivot expectations. Nike, FedEx, and consumer sentiment help Wall Street. Oil gains on US inventory drawdown.

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Yen rally eases but maintains momentum as yields approach BoJ cap. JGB yields spike again, hitting BoJ’s new upper cap. Stocks perk up as Wall Street ends losing streak.

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Bank of Japan makes surprise tweak to its YCC policy, insists it’s not tightening. Dollar slumps 3% against yen, Nikkei plunges as markets see move as exit from stimulus. Gold supported as broader market mood remains downbeat.

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Weak PMIs heighten recession fears in the US, dollar slips from highs. But equities attempt to end losing streak as investors pare back rate hike expectations. Chinese stocks struggle amid surging virus cases as authorities pledge to boost growth. Bank of Japan in focus as speculation of a policy shift intensifies.

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ECB signals that more double hikes are on the way. US retail sales slide by more than expected. Dollar ends Thursday higher on haven flows. Wall Street slides on recession fears.

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The central bank torch will pass to the Bank of Japan next week. Even though the consensus is for no policy changes, the prospects for the yen have started to improve heading into a potentially stormy year. 

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Dollar cannot gain ground even as Fed projects rates above 5%. Stocks drift lower, albeit not much, as traders second-guess Fed. The central bank show continues with ECB, BoE, and SNB today.

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Softer US inflation print sinks dollar, propels stock markets higher. Fed decision today - focus on rate projections and Powell’s tone. Decline in yields breathes new life into the yen and gold prices.

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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with Bloomberg anchors Doug Krizner & Rishaad Salamat

Risk Warning: 77.74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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