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After another sizzling-hot inflation report out of the United States, the European Central Bank and Bank of Japan will meet against the worrisome setting of their currencies plunging. The former is expected to launch its tightening cycle, but the latter may make a surprise policy move even though it has not signaled any action. It’s looking to be an eventful week on
the data front as well, as the flash PMI estimates for July and inflation numbers are due in several countries.

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US inflation comes in hotter than expected, putting 100bp Fed hike into play. Yen resumes its downtrend ahead of next week’s Bank of Japan meeting. Euro/dollar holds parity, BoC delivers king-sized hike, earnings season begins.

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Euro/dollar stabilizes around parity, awaits US inflation data for fuel.
Another round of selling hits stock markets and commodity prices. RBNZ
raises rates but markets barely react, Bank of Canada next.

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Euro tests parity against US dollar, similar moves across FX arena. Stocks and oil prices edge lower in the shadow of China lockdowns. Gold cannot shine either despite cautious mood, extends selloff.

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Solid jobs report cements case for Fed hikes, keeps dollar in the lead. Yen slides to fresh two-decade lows after Japan’s upper house election. Wall Street futures flash red ahead of earnings season, busy week ahead.

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Dollar keeps climbing as Fed officials talk rate hikes ahead of June payrolls data. Stocks, bond yields and commodities move in tandem, inch lower after rebound. Shooting of ex-PM Abe in Japan adds to risk-off vibe, yen firms.

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The summer calm will have to wait a little longer as the coming week is filled with crucial events. Canada and New Zealand are geared to raise interest rates, although their currencies are ultimately at the mercy of global recession risks. In China, it’s a close call whether the economy contracted in Q2. Most importantly, US inflation might finally be losing its punch.

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Stocks in recovery mode despite hawkish Fed minutes, which spur yields higher. Lower commodity prices might be aiding sentiment as WTI falls below $100. Pound catches a bid on speculation PM Johnson is about to resign.

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Euro languishes near two-decade low, dollar stands tall amid heightened recession angst. Stocks show sign of life, oil edges higher but copper slips to new lows. Fresh political storm adds to pound’s woes as Johnson’s future in doubt. 2Y/10Y yield curve inverts ahead of Fed minutes.

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Dollar surges to fresh two-decade high as euro crumbles on recession jitters. Aussie plunges too after RBA rate decision, stock rebound falters. But some optimism as Biden mulls easing Chinese import duties, Asian PMIs jump.

Risk Warning: 74.89% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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