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Dollar’s NFP-led rebound eases but US inflation still to come. ECB rate talk intensifies as euro eyes Lagarde testimony. Stocks mixed as Amazon boost capped by soaring bond yields.
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The skidding US dollar will be looking to the January inflation readings out of the United States to reverse its decline as financial markets enter a somewhat quieter week. UK GDP growth numbers will be the other highlight as the pound’s rally lost steam after the Bank of England sent some mixed signals on the economy. The kiwi might find some love should the RBNZ’s own survey show inflation expectations are creeping higher in New Zealand. However, with earnings releases also slowing down, markets might nevertheless struggle to find fresh direction in the coming days.
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Nonfarm payrolls likely to disappoint, might even turn negative. ECB opens door for rate hikes and faster taper, euro soars. BoE raises rates, announces balance sheet reduction.
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Bank of England to raise rates, pound will be driven by rate path. European Central Bank could adopt a more optimistic tone. Stock markets edge higher but Facebook shares tank.
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Furious recovery in equity markets continues. Dollar retreats, sterling shines ahead of BoE. Oil awaits OPEC, more earnings and data eyed.
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Euro bounces back as markets price in more ECB tightening. Stock markets power higher- has the storm passed? Aussie unscathed by RBA, earnings season continues.
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Dollar takes a step back, awaits barrage of US economic data. Stocks bounce back, yen retreats as nerves calm down. Three major central bank meetings and tech earnings lie ahead.
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US stocks swing into losses again but Apple pulls Nasdaq futures higher. Fed fears continue to weigh on markets, dollar edges up to fresh highs. Euro, aussie, kiwi lead FX losses, gold breaches $1,800/oz, but oil holds firm.
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A busy week lies ahead. The Bank of England is widely expected to raise rates, the European Central Bank is unlikely to signal anything new, but the Reserve Bank of Australia could try to dampen rate hike bets. Over in America, markets are now pricing in five Fed rate increases for this year, so the latest edition of nonfarm payrolls could be crucial for the dollar’s trajectory.
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Powell makes a further hawkish pivot, signals end of era of highly accommodative policy. Yields and dollar jump, but stocks are battered, upbeat earnings offer some support. Kiwi biggest FX loser even as strong CPI fuels RBNZ rate hike bets.
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