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Stocks mostly negative after disappointing US retail sales underline near-term risks. Surge in US virus cases and fresh outbreaks in Japan and Australia unnerve markets. Cautious tone unable to lift dollar as slump in Treasury yields weighs. Kiwi outperforms again, pound is close behind amid hopes of a Brexit breakthrough.
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Vaccine hopes keep risk assets supported even as more US states clamp down. Dow closes in on 30,000 as growth-to-value rotation accelerates. Dollar steadier, euro shrugs off EU budget crisis, pound holds out for Brexit deal. Oil moderates ahead of OPEC+ meeting as bleak short-term outlook curb advances.
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Week gets off to positive start as vaccine, strong recovery and Biden victory drive optimism. Global stocks surge as S&P 500 sets fresh record high, dollar extends slide. Pound holds steady as Brexit talks enter critical phase.
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After the US election and vaccine frenzy, economic data will move to the forefront in the coming week, with inflation and retail sales comprising the bulk of the releases. However, investors might be wrong to assume that the election and virus storms are over as Trump steps up his legal fight to overturn Joe Biden’s projected win and as several states in America head towards new lockdowns. If all that fails to produce enough drama, there is always Brexit waiting in the queue to generate some excitement as the deadline for reaching a trade deal has been pushed back yet again until the end of next week.
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Markets quiet on Friday as latest bout of risk aversion fades. Equities set to end week barely higher, yen and gold much lower. Investors grappling with vaccine hopes versus rising infections. White House reportedly stepping back from fiscal talks.
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Markets in a cautious mood as lockdown reality eclipses vaccine hype. Stocks pull back, dollar climbs, but moves rather small in size. Main event today: Discussion panel featuring Fed, ECB, and BoE chiefs. ECB sticking to its guns about more stimulus, will Fed follow suit?
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RBNZ plays down negative rates, kiwi flies. Sterling leaps after divisive bill suffers crushing defeat in Lords. Markets in a cheerful mood overall, but watch the Fed.
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US stock market hits new records after Pfizer vaccine announcement. Crude oil and commodity currencies soar, yen crumbles alongside gold. However, the party doesn’t last – stocks give up most gains, dollar reverses higher. RBNZ meeting coming up, vaccine and stimulus news remain in focus.
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US election ‘aftershocks’ continue – equities roar higher, dollar slips. Several theories floated to justify this relentless rally, but question is, can it last? Markets may revert to trading covid news and prospect of fiscal package. Crunch time in Brexit talks too, traders seem confident a deal is coming.
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White House race remains too close to call but Biden win becoming more likely. Equity rally cools as markets give Washington gridlock a thumbs up. Dollar steadies with Treasury yields as Fed keeps policy on hold. NFP up next but US election and record virus cases to stay in focus.
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