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Dollar edges up as US tech losses deepen, jobs recovery slows. Brexit threatens
pound rally as Johnson raises his game in EU talks. Chinese exports surge barely
keeps risk sentiment afloat as US tensions weigh.

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Policy meetings by the European Central Bank and the Bank of Canada will heat up the September central banks schedule in the coming days, adding some excitement to an otherwise uneventful week. The ECB, in particular, will be one to watch as deflation worries are mounting and a stronger euro could jeopardise an already weakening recovery. The latest trade data out of China will also be on investors’ radar, while a new round of Brexit talks and July growth figures are bound to bring some volatility for the pound.

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Stock markets tank as investors dump their tech darlings. Yet, there is no sense of
panic in the market, especially among currencies. US jobs report today might
decide if this correction still has some mileage in it.

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Euro/dollar extends correction lower after ECB officials raise the FX alarm. Wall Street goes on a rampage as US government hypes a vaccine breakthrough. Today: ISM non-manufacturing PMI, jobless claims, and central bank speakers.

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Encouraging ISM data bring dollar back to life, Wall Street sets new records. Europe enters deflation, ECB chief economist throws first jab at the euro. Today: ADP jobs report and lots of central bank speakers.

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Dollar breaks down across multiple charts, without a clear trigger. Other major currencies climb alongside gold, Nasdaq hits new records. Today: European inflation, US manufacturing PMI, and Fed’s Brainard.

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Dollar steadies after Powell’s torpedo, support regions hold on most charts. Equities sail higher as investors look for a hedge against future inflation. Coming up: speech by Fed Vice Chairman and RBA policy decision.

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It’s a relatively quiet week, with the main highlights being the Eurozone’s preliminary PMIs and the minutes of the latest FOMC meeting. In the political arena, American and Chinese negotiators will meet over the weekend to review the ‘phase one’ trade deal. For markets though, the most crucial drivers will be whether US lawmakers can break the deadlock in the stimulus negotiations, and whether enthusiasm around a vaccine will keep pushing global yields higher, crushing the yen.

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Hopes fade for a quick stimulus deal in the US as Congress leaves town. Weaker-than-expected Chinese data adds to recovery worries. Dollar pulled from lows as subdued tone weighs on stocks.

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US Treasury yields fall back as Washington no closer to reaching stimulus deal. Dollar retreats, helping gold recover some losses; stocks subdued. US data, China trade talks on markets’ radar for the next few days.

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