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Currencies and equities in a more cautious mood Tuesday, as China-led euphoria peters out. Dollar regains its footing but only mildly, aussie drops after Melbourne goes into full lockdown. Risk/reward outlook for ‘risk trades’ seems quite unattractive from here.

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Investors start week in risk-taking mood, despite fading hopes of a V-shaped recovery. Global stocks cruise higher, led by China, as yen and dollar crumble. Positive mood could endure for now, especially if ‘weekend effect’ of lower US cases on Monday holds. Today: ISM non-manufacturing PMI, ahead of RBA meeting overnight.

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US economy adds record 4.8 million jobs in June but virus jitters cap risk appetite.
Stocks pare gains, dollar pulled in opposite directions. Rising caution may shift
attention back to stimulus as US, EU decisions pending.

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Dollar torn between upbeat data and US virus spike; NFP may decide fate. Positive vaccine news helps breathe life into flagging stock market rally. Gold retreats from highs as markets dismiss US-China tensions.

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Gold extends bull run amid growing virus fears and US-China tensions; softer dollar helps too. Stocks mostly positive as global recovery appears on track, but rally showing some signs of fatigue. Markets await US ISM manufacturing and jobs data for direction.

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Stocks rebound as risk aversion eases on positive data from China and the US. But virus worries linger as Australia and the UK impose local lockdowns. Dollar heads higher, eyes Powell testimony and more US data. Pound hammered by Brexit and virus woes.

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Markets start week in risk-off mode as virus surge halts reopening plans in the US. Stocks slip, but less cautious mood in FX markets as dollar and yen pull back. Pound bounces off lows as Brexit talks enter intensive phase.

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Investors ignore a litany of bad news, push stocks higher on deregulation hopes.
But FX retains a more cautious tone, dollar holds onto gains as US cases hit new
record. Texas and Florida “pause” re-opening plans. Rebalancing flows heading
into quarter end could bite markets in coming days.

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Reality bites stock markets as US virus spike accelerates, dollar recovers. Threats of new US tariffs against EU and dire IMF forecasts not helping mood. Daily virus numbers will continue to dictate sentiment, any stimulus news too.

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Dollar retreats after encouraging PMIs turbocharge euro. Gold capitalizes on weaker dollar, reaches heights last seen in 2012. Stocks inch higher led by tech, despite US virus spike and rising bankruptcies. RBNZ expresses discomfort with exchange rate, kiwi obliges.

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