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ADP reveals that US private sector lost 32k jobs in November. Dollar slides
as December Fed cut chance remains elevated. Pound rallies on upwardly
revised S&P Global Composite PMI. Stocks rise on Fed cut bets, gold
remains in corrective mode.
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Fragile risk appetite, despite cryptos showing signs of life. Strong Fed cut expectations as key US data in the spotlight today. Dollar weakness lingers, dollar/yen decline stabilizes. Oil and gold in anticipation mode; US-Russia negotiations hit a speed bump.
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ISM mfg slides but prices subindex rebounds. Dollar stabilizes as
December rate cut chance slips somewhat. Yen retreats as JGB auction
draws solid demand. Wall Street pulls back, gold eases after hitting
resistance at $4,270.
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Risk appetite tested as countdown to Fed meeting commences. Cryptos crash, erasing last week’s solid gains. Fed blackout period in place, focus shifts to US data releases. Oil and gold rally, as dollar loses ground across the board.
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Increasing bets of December Fed rate cut weigh on the dollar. Yen traders remain worried about potential intervention. Pound erases some of the Budget-related gains. Oil rebounds as Russia remains skeptical about a peace deal.
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Flurry of US data to test dovish Fed expectations as next meeting looms. ISM PMIs, ADP employment and PCE inflation may yet upset rate cut hopes. Eurozone CPI, Australian GDP, Canadian employment also on tap.
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Low liquidity session ahead due to the US Thanksgiving holiday. History
points to a strong equity rally post-Thanksgiving. Equities post decent gains
this week, also pulling cryptos higher. Gold rally pauses, oil awaits peace
talks progress; dollar/yen stabilizes.
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US PPI and retail sales data push December rate cut odds up
to 76%. Pound traders eagerly awaiting the UK Autumn budget
announcement. Yen on intervention watch; Kiwi rallies as RBNZ signals no
more cuts. Wall Street celebrates dovish Fed bets, oil slides on Ukraine
deal.
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The lack of November data and light Fedspeak could challenge risk appetite. Holiday-shortened week comes into play as liquidity dries up. Muted movement in FX space; dollar-yen rally has paused. Gold
and oil await developments on the Ukraine-Russia front.
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Fed’s Williams indicates rate cut still on the cards in
December. Dollar slightly softer except against yen, which tests
policymakers’ patience. Wall Street stages unconvincing rebound, cryptos
also not out of the woods. Gold lacks direction, oil pressured by US push
for Ukraine peace plan.
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