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US-China talks resume; chances of an agreement increase. Mixed US stocks performance, but S&P 500 just shy of all-time high. Another set of soft UK data weighs on the British Pound. Gold trades sideways, as silver tries to keep its bullish momentum alive.
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US inflation may edge up in May but unlikely to dent Fed rate cut bets. Focus also on trade negotiations and US appeals court tariff decision. Chinese trade data eyed amid tariff war. UK employment and GDP also on the agenda.
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Trump-Musk public spat overshadows developments elsewhere. Trump-Xi call restarts US-China negotiations but outlook clouded. Key US data at 12:30 GMT; all eyes on nonfarm payrolls. Gold trades sideways, as silver jumps to a new high.
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Dollar slides as ADP and ISM data miss estimates. Still, investors see
55bps Fed cuts in 2025 ahead of NFPs. BoC stands pad, signals that one
more cut may be possible. ECB could deliver dovish rate cut; euro could
pull back.
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Dollar rebounds on hopes of Trump-Xi call. Data points to labor market weakness ahead of Friday’s NFP. Eurozone CPI slows ahead of ECB, BoC set to stand pat. Stocks gain, gold retreats, oil advances on geopolitical tensions.
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Dollar under pressure as Trump hardens trade stance. US administration
demands trade offers from key partners. Weak start to data releases; focus
today on Fedspeak. Both gold and oil surrender a small part of Monday’s
gains.
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Trump accuses China of violating deal. Threatens to increase tariff on steel and aluminum. Dollar slides, stock futures point to a lower Wall Street open. Gold attracts safe-haven flows, oil gains on OPEC’s decision.
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US appeals court reinstates Trump’s tariffs, adding to the market confusion. Dollar whipsaws, while Nvidia comes to Wall Street’s rescue. PCE inflation awaited as soft US data boost Fed rate cut bets. Gold can’t catch a bid amid some trade optimism, set to end week lower.
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ISM PMIs and NFP data to shape Fed interest rate bets. ECB set to cut rates, focus to fall on forward guidance. BoC to stand pat amid inflation concerns.
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A US federal court blocks Trump’s tariff decisions. Dollar and US stocks jump on court decision, but rally already fading. Risk of Trump dropping his recent congenial stance. Gold attempts to climb higher; oil trades above $63 again.
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