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Get ready for one of the biggest trading weeks of September as markets focus on the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), Eurozone CPI inflation, Bank of Canada (BoC), Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), and US ISM PMI data. In this week's market outlook, we break down how these major economic events could impact the US dollar and its pairs, gold, oil, bitcoin, stocks, and Federal Reserve rate expectations.

Stay ahead of market volatility with XM's weekly analysis and discover the key risks and opportunities traders should watch in the days ahead.

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US data and Nvidia earnings provide mixed signals for markets. Muted risk appetite persists as geopolitical concerns linger. Dollar holds weekly gains ahead of Jackson Hole and Warsh’s speech. Yen remains under pressure as investors await Tokyo CPI.

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Dollar rebounds ahead of key PCE inflation data. Loonie resumes slide as oil prices tumble. Wall Street turns cautious ahead of Nvidia earnings. Bitcoin emerges above 80k but pulls back.

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Middle East tensions and US debt unease keep investors vigilant. Tariffs
return to the spotlight, while AI concerns linger ahead of Nvidia earnings.
Dollar weakness pauses, but sentiment remains bearish. Gold and bitcoin
rally as US data take centre stage.

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Gold rallies even as dollar halts decline amid heightened uncertainties. Iran’s president calls for end to war ahead of new US sanctions, oil slips. US-Canada trade talks break down, loonie tumbles as trade war escalates. Treasuries await Jackson Hole and details on ‘fiscal consolidation’. Stocks struggle under weight of negative newsflow, eye Nvidia earnings.

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September Fed hikes bets lifted by FT report ahead of July jobs report.
Dollar rebounds but gold keeps surging. Doubts linger about Hormuz deal,
oil creeps up again. Wall Street off highs but still headed for strong weekly
gains.

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Markets could see heightened volatility this week as traders focus on key US inflation data amid ongoing Middle East tensions. Additionally, we cover the Bank of Japan’s summary and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision, US CPI, PPI, and retail sales, plus UK GDP, and examine what these events could mean for interest rates, the US dollar, major currencies, and commodities. Gain insight into potential market direction and key levels to watch in this week’s market outlook.

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Iran and Oman reach deal on Hormuz but final details still being worked
out. Oil prices hover around $75.00 as deal hinges on US approval. Dollar
trades sideways ahead of US payrolls report. Gold continues to edge
higher on Middle East optimism, softer dollar.

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US Treasury Secretary adds to hopes of imminent Hormuz deal. Dollar
slips as lower oil prices weigh on hike expectations. Yen retreats as
intervention impact fades. Stocks extend gains, gold rebounds on lower
yields.

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Dollar rebounds amid conflicting signals from the Middle East. Markets
await Friday’s NFP for Fed policy clues. Yen pulls back, but risks for more
intervention remain prominent. Wall Street rallies ahead of SpaceX and
AMD earnings.

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