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Geopolitics in the spotlight, gold fails to materially benefit. Friday’s US data keeps the chances for a December Fed rate cut alive. Dollar loses ground, but stocks in buoyant mode. China data disappoints; RBA meets tomorrow.

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Key US data in the spotlight; volatility could get a boost. Fed speakers on
the wires ahead of the usual blackout period. The dollar remains on the
back foot; stocks are feeling the pressure. Gold trades sideways, as bitcoin
retreats from its new all-time high.

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Last policy decisions of 2024 to shape market mood. RBA, BoC, SNB and ECB are on the agenda. US CPI report to be crucial too as Fed undecided.

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2:02 Fundamental economic events  
6:50 Interest rate cuts and the stock market  
12:51 Reasons for rate cuts  
17:47 Sell-off or sector rotation? 
21:19 The yield curve  
25:58 Gold vs. stock markets  
31:32 Bank of Japan and JPY 
36:53 Will JPY become a ‘safe haven’ currency?  
41:42 The Trump trade 

Host: Gil Paz, Trading Expert at XM Live Education.

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Dollar retreats, but Powell keeps Fed pause chance elevated. Today, initial
jobless claims may attract attention ahead of NFP. Euro traders ‘buy the
fact’ after French no-confidence vote. Bitcoin breaks $100,000, Wall Street
tests uncharted territory.

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Fed officials support further interest rate reductions. Probability of a 25bps rate cut in December increases. Euro traders keep their gaze locked on French politics. South Korean won slides on martial law, aussie falls on GDP.

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Dollar rebounds on more tariff threads and better US PMIs. JOLTs job openings in focus ahead of Friday’s NFP report. Euro feels the heat of France’s budget turmoil. S&P 500 and Nasdaq climb to fresh record highs.

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Key data week commences, US economic prints in focus. Political
developments cast a shadow over the euro. Dollar in a good mood,
particularly against the euro. Gold and bitcoin in retreat; seasonality favours
gold.

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US markets are in a festive mode, dollar is on the back foot. Thin liquidity could exacerbate market moves today. Loonie craves a strong GDP print; euro CPI could surprise on the downside. Tokyo CPI boosts the yen; the BoJ rate hike gains momentum.

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Will the NFP data corroborate bets of a Fed pause? Loonie traders await employment numbers as well. Australia’s GDP to verify whether bets of May RBA cut are realistic. Euro could take directions from ECB President Lagarde.

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