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Mixed movements in FX but the yen remains on the front foot. Stocks recorded their best weekly performance of 2024. Another assassination attempt against Trump. Bitcoin suffers while gold reaches a new all-time high.
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Soft US PPI and reports of Fed dilemma revive bets of 50bps cut. Dollar plunges as yields fall, pushing gold to new all-time high. Euro climbs as ECB trims rates but does not signal October cut.
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Investors are split between a 25 and 50bps Fed rate cut. BoE expected to stand pat, but resume cuts in November. BoJ to also stay on hold, focus to fall on future hike signals.
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US dollar edges up after CPI report wipes out 50-bps rate cut bets. Euro stuck on the backfoot in wait for ECB decision. Wall Street rebound gathers pace as tech stocks rally.
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Mixed movements in equities as markets prepare for CPI. Strong possibility for a downside surprise in inflation. US presidential debate dominates headlines. Bitcoin suffers while gold and yen rally.
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Equities turn positive, but sentiment is fragile. US presidential debate today could prove market moving. UK labour market data supports the pound. Bitcoin gains as risk sentiment improves, gold is range-bound.
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US jobs report adds to slowdown fears but provides no clarity about Fed
policy. Dollar whipsaws while stocks tumble as ‘September effect’ takes
hold. But risk sentiment improves ahead of US CPI report and ECB
decision.
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ECB is expected to ease again, but will it be another ‘hawkish cut’? US CPI report will be the last inflation update before September FOMC. UK monthly data flurry begins with employment and GDP numbers.
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Dollar slides as data offer little respite to concerned investors. NFP to accelerate somewhat, but PMI surveys pose downside risks. S&P 500 and Dow Jones end in red ahead of the job numbers. Gold rebounds, approaches record high; oil stabilizes.
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Equities remain on the back foot as key US data on the menu today. ADP, jobless claims and ISM Services could prove market moving. Dollar’s mixed performance continues, yen benefits. OPEC+ production rumours fail to push oil prices higher.
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