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Risk aversion eases as diplomatic efforts to end Israel-Gaza war ramped up. Gold off highs, while earnings optimism additionally boosts Wall Street.  Dollar steady as yields resume climb ahead of US retail sales, Fed speakers.

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Gold surges as Israel carries ground operations inside Gaza. Geopolitics and Harker weigh on Fed rate hike expectations. Oil rallies as fears of supply disruptions due to the war heighten. S&P 500 and Nasdaq slip as geopolitics offset strong earnings results.

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Stronger-than-expected US CPI data revives rate hike bets. Dollar re-
energised, heads for weekly gains as yields jumps. Stocks come under
pressure, but selloff limited ahead of Q3 earnings.

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After US CPIs, US retail sales may also impact Fed hike expectations. Will the UK inflation numbers increase the chances for another BoE hike? Aussie and Kiwi traders await Australia jobs report and New Zealand’s CPI. China’s GDP could also impact those commodity-linked currencies.

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Mixed PPI report allows investors to believe the Fed is done. But US CPI data has the potential to change their mind. Wall Street gains on ‘no more hikes’ bets. Oil falls as Saudi Arabia pledges to stabilize the market.

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Fed’s Bostic and Kashkari join the ‘no more hikes needed’ camp. PPIs and Fed minutes on tap ahead of tomorrow’s CPIs. Aussie and kiwi helped by China stimulus reports. Wall Street rebounds as Fed hike probability falls.

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Higher yields prompt a rethink at the Fed as policymakers turn cautious. But less hawkish tone pushes yields lower, boosting equities. Ongoing tension in Middle East further pressure yields, keep gold supported. Oil slips slightly while dollar braces for more Fed speak, CPI data.

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Israel-Hamas war pushes up oil prices amid risk of wider conflict. Dollar,
yen and gold rise too as investors rush to safety. Fed rate hike odds
reverse NFP boost; US CPI, Fed speakers eyed next.

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US CPI report and Fed minutes to take centre stage. Will they fuel or dent the rally in yields and the dollar? Chinese inflation and UK growth data to also be eyed. Otherwise, a quieter week awaits with Monday a holiday in the US.

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ADP reveals lower-than-expected increase in private payrolls. Dollar
retreats as investors lower their implied Fed rate path. Yen gains, but long-
lasting recovery remains questionable. Wall Street bounces off lows, oil
tumbles.

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