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BoJ’s Ueda hints at end to negative rates by year-end if wages rise. Dollar
starts week on the backfoot as crucial CPI data awaited. China hopes lift
aussie, equities; easing Apple selloff helps stocks too.
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Apple concerns rock stock markets after China’s iPhone ban. Dollar rally
takes a breather as yields retreat, but outlook intact. Gold creeps higher,
helped by yields and sovereign purchases.
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The European Central Bank is headed for a crunch rate decision next week amid rising recession risks and the job on inflation not yet done. It’s going to be a big week for the US dollar as well, as the CPI and retail sales reports are due before the Fed’s September meeting. There’s a barrage of UK data that will keep the pound on its toes before the next Bank of England decision, while the market mood will also be swayed by some key economic indicators out of China, as fears about the health of the world’s second largest economy persist.
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US service sector unexpectedly gathers momentum. ECB officials keep a hike for next week on the table. BoE Gov. Bailey says they are ‘much nearer’ to rate peak. Wall Street slides as ISM PMI stokes inflation worries.
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Peter McGuire XM.com speaks with The Core anchor Govindraj Ethiraj
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Yen hits 10-month low, triggers intervention warning. Dollar traders turn attention to ISM non-mfg PMI. Equities pull back, but stay in an uptrend mode. BoC expected to stand pat, focus to turn on guidance.
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Dollar shines, yen slides as US bond yields power higher. China optimism melts away after disappointing PMI data. Aussie dollar crumbles, gold tests crucial support zone.
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Dollar climbs despite relatively soft US employment report. China stimulus measures boost oil prices and Asian stocks. Gold trades with resilience, undeterred by dollar and yields.
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Dollar and stocks drift sideways as August payrolls awaited for direction. Asian equities outperform after China boosts support but aussie fails to catch fire. Oil extends rebound amid tightening market, gold holds near highs.
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After a barrage of US data hurt the dollar this week, with investors having second thoughts as to whether another Fed hike may be needed, the US agenda will become lighter next week with the spotlight turning to the ISM non-manufacturing PMI. Elsewhere, the RBA and the BoC are holding their interest rate decisions, kick-starting a round of pivotal meetings by major central banks, which could well impact forthcoming directions of major currency pairs.
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