Commercial Real Estate Investing From A-Z

How to Find & Analyze a Real Estate Market


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Learn how to find, analyze and learn more about micro markets for your real estate investments. Victor Menasce has been investing in real estate for the last nine years in both Canada and the United States, and has done all kinds of commercial projects.


You can read this entire episode here: https://montecarlorei.com/how-to-find-and-analyze-a-market-for-your-real-estate-investments/

What are some market conditions that people should be looking for in real estate?
I’m not actually a real estate person per se. I really think of myself more as a business person. When you talk to real estate people, they tend to get wrapped around the axle talking about things like comparable sales and things like that. And that’s useful, but it’s not the whole picture. I’m a much bigger believer in the fundamentals of the very simple law of supply and demand. If you’ve an excess of supply and a shortage of demand, you can predict what’s going to happen. Prices are going to fall if you have a shortage of supply and an excess of demand. And those conditions are going to persist. You have a really robust market from the point of view of an investor or developer, because there’s going to always be upward pressure on prices, upward pressure on rent, upward pressure on valuations. And that’s what I look for. I want to find markets, and when I say markets, I really mean micro markets. Micro markets where those conditions persist, they exist. They’re not artificial. They’re going to be there for a long time for some good reason.

How do you come across these locations, typically? Is it someone that just mentions it to you, or you come across an article?
It’s almost always through a conversation where someone will say something and we’ll say, that’s intriguing, and then look into it a little bit deeper and see if there’s really something there. Not only to see if those market conditions are there, but who else is in the market? Is it a market where it’s a closed market and there’s only two or three players? Or is it one that is open to other folks coming into the market and adding some capacity. We talk to a lot of investors every day, and I think most listeners of your show would agree that today, there’s more money chasing deals than there are in fact opportunities, at least at a decent price. And because there’s so much money chasing deals, prices are getting bid up into the stratosphere. Prices are getting bid up to levels that frankly don’t make sense. And my calculator works the same this year as it did two years ago, as it did four years ago. And it’s funny how for some investors the math changes, and it shouldn’t.

When you are assessing a particular property, how do you approach it from it being a fit for the monetary goals of the project?
Our focus is on things that are recession resistant, recession proof. I don’t want to be subject to the vagaries of a market cycle. For that reason, I won’t go into retail, for example, if I have a vacancy in a retail strip mall, that location could be vacant for a year or two if I’m waiting for that perfect tenant who’s looking for exactly that square footage. And then of course, you’ve got to do tenant improvements, you’ve got to do a build out. So you really are looking for that needle in a haystack type of perfect fit. One way is to find them. The second way is to manufacture them out of thin air, to create them.

Victor Menasce
victorjm.com
Magnetic Capital – How To Raise All The Money You Need For ANY Worthy Venture

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