Kellogg's Global Politics

Trump and Netanyahu agreed to a Gaza Peace plan. How much should Trump be lauded for the deal and will Hamas sign on? Trump was also busy bailing out his friend, Argentina’s President Javier Milei, announcing a $20 billion bailout of the economy. Was this deal really necessary, and will it be enough to lift Argentina out of its economic woes? Finally, we discuss the growing popularity of far-right policies and the MAGA foreign policy supporting these groups. Plus, Ryan tries once again to convince Anita that aliens have visited Earth.

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• UFO Update (US Congressional UAP Hearing on September 9th)
• Gaza Peace Plan: Trump Done Good?
• Argentina First, America Last?
• Illiberalism on the March in Western Europe

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

UFO Update (US Congressional UAP Hearing on September 9th)

• UAP US Congressional Hearing (Oversight Committee)

Gaza Peace Plan: Trump Done Good?

• Trump's 20-point Gaza peace plan in full (BBC)
• The White House’s plan for Gaza deserves praise (The Economist)
• Tony Blair, Tapped by Trump for Gaza Plan, Brings Peace Expertise and Baggage (NY Times)

Argentina First, America Last?

• Why Is Trump Bailing Out Argentina? (Paul Krugman)
• Argentina’s finances just got even more surreal (The Economist)

Illiberalism on the March in Western Europe

• The European Radical Right in the Age of Trump 2.0 (Carnegie Europe)
• Trump’s Far Right Allies in Germany: Is History Repeating Itself? (The Rest is Politics Podcast)

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Trade has been a major issue for the Trump administration, and Anita recently spoke with William A Reinsch, a senior advisor at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, on all aspects of this topic. They discuss what Americans really think about trade, tariffs and why they might be around to stay, why some of our trading partners are getting extensions, and the need to work with our allies to become less dependent on China.

Another major story in the headlines is the Russia-Ukraine war, particularly Trump’s meeting with both leaders. Ryan and Anita discuss the outcome of these meetings, their unusual nature, and the chances of peace.

We also explore potential U.S. military strikes into Latin America to go after cartels and the current situation in Iran.

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 06:00 - Russia-Ukraine War Peace Efforts
• 20:00 - US Planning Strikes on Latin American Drug Cartels?
• 44:00 - Iran after the 12-day War: Still a Threat?
• 53:00 - Interview with CSIS’s William A. Reinsch on Trump’s Trade policies

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Russia-Ukraine Peace Efforts

• Putin’s “land swap” is really a grab for Ukraine’s fortress belt (The Economist)
• The Pernicious Spectacle of Trump’s Russia-Ukraine Diplomacy (Foreign Affairs)
• Security “guarantees” for Ukraine are dangerously hazy (The Economist)

US Planning Strikes on Latin American Drug Cartels?

• How US military action against drug cartels in Mexico could unfold (The Atlantic Council)
• Five Reasons Why Trump’s Anti-Cartel Military Plan Will Fail (WOLA)

Iran after the 12-day War: Still a Threat?

• Iran’s Dangerous Desperation (Foreign Affairs)
• As the Houthis sink two ships in one week, the world shrugs (The Economist)

Interview with CSIS’s William A. Reinsch on Trump’s Trade policies

• Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
• The Future of Global Trade- Without America (YouTube-Washington Monthly)

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We look at the current state of U.S. trade deals. Who has a deal? How many will get signed by August 1st? Will there be another extension? And what is their economic impact on the U.S.?

We then discuss the border conflict between Thailand and Cambodia, which has recently turned deadly for the first time since 2011. What are they fighting about, and what are the political consequences for both countries?

Finally, we provide an update on the Russia-Ukraine war. We discuss the pressing questions as to: Which side seems to be making progress? How is U.S. policy evolving under Trump? And what does this foretell for the future of the conflict?

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 04:30 - Liberation Day Redux: Trump Tariff Fallout Prediction
• 28:30 - Thailand-Cambodia Border Conflict
• 39:40 - Russia-Ukraine War Update

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Liberation Day Redux: Trump Tariff Fallout Prediction

• Trump Tariffs: What’s the Latest on the Trade War? (NY Times)
• How America’s economy is dodging disaster (The Economist)
• Trump’s latest trade deals don’t make America stronger (WaPo)
• Likely extension for China talks reflect shift in tone, progress in finding a deal (Anita’s quote in TND)

Thailand-Cambodia Border Conflict

• Thailand and Cambodia: The Battle for Preah Vihear (Stanford)
• What to Know About the Conflict Between Thailand and Cambodia (NY Times)
• The fractured friendship behind the fight at the Thailand-Cambodia border (BBC)

Russia-Ukraine War

• Trump’s U-turn on Russia is utterly cynical—and welcome (The Economist)
• Ukrainian drones are killing ever more soldiers (The Economist)
• How Ukraine is Adapting, Enduring, and Striking Back (War on the Rocks)

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In this episode, Anita speaks with Lt. Col. Alex Montgomery and Lt. Col. Shannon Waller about the Autonomous Systems and Robotics Industry and how these technologies are changing how wars are fought. They also share insights about the industry in South Korea and what the U.S. can learn from the Korean experience.

But first, Anita and Ryan discuss the latest events between Israel, the U.S., and Iran, in what Trump has dubbed the 12 day war. What did Israel and the U.S. accomplish with their airstrikes, and how will it affect Iran’s future?

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 08:00 - The “12-Day” War (Iran and Israel conflict)
• 30:00 - Interview with Lt Col. Alex Montgomery and Lt. Col. Shannon Waller

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

12-Day War

• ‘The stars aligned’: Why Israel set out for a war against Iran, and what it achieved (The Times of Israel)
• How much did America’s bombs damage Iran’s nuclear programme? (The Economist)
• Did the Attacks on Iran Succeed? (Foreign Affairs)
• Has Donald Trump solved Iran from the air? (The Economist)

Interview with Lt. Col. Alex Montgomery and Lt. Col. Shannon Waller

• Background on NDU’s Industry Studies Program
• Shannon Waller Bio

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In this episode, Anita speaks with Daniel Markey, who is an expert on South Asia. They cover a host of issues, ranging from the India-Pakistan conflict, Pakistan’s relations with the U.S. and China, India as a potential replacement to China as a manufacturing hub, and India’s vision for a multipolar world. They also talk about the U.S. Institute of Peace on its importance to policy, particularly with regards to decreasing conflict, and what it means to be a non-partisan institution of Congress.

Events escalated between India and Pakistan after Anita’s interview with Dr. Markey, and we provide an update on the latest events and continue the discussion on the significance of this conflict.

We then cover Trump’s first overseas trip to the Middle East, where he announced big deals with Qatar and Saudi Arabia, announced the end of sanctions on Syria, and got OPEC to pump more oil. We also look into the current status of an Iran nuclear deal.

Plus Anita talks about her latest video game obsession, Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 from French developer, Sandfall Interactive. 

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 05:00 Interview with Daniel Markey (USIP & Stimson Center)
• 47:00 India and Pakistan Conflict in Kashmir
• 1:00:00 Trump’s Middle East Trip

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Interview with Daniel Markey

• Website
• X: @MarkeyDaniel
• Lessons Learned from Pakistan’s Use of Chinese Provided Weapons (War on the Rocks)

India-Pakistan Conflict in Kashmir

• China’s J-10C Fighter: Separating Myth From Reality (TWZ)
• A Timeline of Tensions Between India and Pakistan Over Kashmir (NY Times)
• Just how bad can the India-Pakistan crisis get? (Vox)

Trump’s Middle East Trip

• Trump resets America’s Middle East policy in surprising ways (The Economist)
• U.S., Iran Aim for Framework to Guide Talks Toward Nuclear Deal (WSJ)
• Trump’s decision to lift sanctions is a triumph for Syria’s president (The Economist)
• Why OPEC Plus Is Increasing Oil Supplies Despite Falling Prices (NY Times)

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In this episode, I spoke with Dr. Robert E. Kelly, who is a professor at the Pusan National University in South Korea. We talked about the recent impeachment of South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, changes that we might see to the U.S. - South Korea alliance under Trump, and whether South Korea should develop its own nuclear weapons.

But first, Ryan and I talk about April 2nd's liberation day with its unprecedented increase of tariffs on all countries and its impact on both the U.S. and global economy.

We also discuss the U.S.’s apparent move to walk away from the Ukraine Peace deal and what that potentially means for the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine.

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 09:00 - The Fallout from Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’
• 34:00 - US walking away from Ukraine Peace Deal?
• 49:00 - Interview with Prof. Robert E. Kelly (Pusan University)

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

The Fallout from Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’

• Xi Jinping’s Trump-sized puzzle (The Economist)
• Why Trump is losing his trade war with China (Vox)
• A flight from the dollar could wreck America’s finances (The Economist)

US walking away from Ukraine Peace Deal?

• Ukrainian Peace Plan Hints at Concessions, but Major Obstacles Remain (NY Times)
• Has Trump found a path to peace in Ukraine? (WaPo)
• Why Ukraine would rather fight on than give Crimea to Russia (The Time of London)

Interview with Prof. Robert E. Kelly (Pusan University)

• Website
• X: @Robert_E_Kelly
• Why South Korea Should Go Nuclear (Foreign Affairs)

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Ukraine has agreed to a U.S. cease-fire deal that resumed American aid and intelligence. How will the Trump administration get Russia on board with this proposal? Moving on to China, which recently held its annual National People’s Congress meeting, we discuss how the country is growing its global leadership by taking advantage of the U.S. withdrawal from the liberal international order. Finally, we look at the backlash to MAGA amongst U.S. allies and its effect on their domestic politics.

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 04:30 - Anita’s new article in The Hill
• 07:45 - Russia-Ukraine: Is Trump a Betrayer of Ukraine or a Realist?
• 30:45 - China: Defender of the Post-War World Order?
• 1:00:00 - MAGA’s Toxic Brand Abroad: Domestic Politics of Canada and EU

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Anita’s article in The Hill:

• US aid cuts are expanding Chinese influence (The Hill)

Russia-Ukraine: Is Trump a Betrayer of Ukraine or a Realist Stud?

• Why John Mearsheimer Thinks Donald Trump is Right on Ukraine (The New Yorker)
• Ukraine Supports 30-Day Cease-Fire as U.S. Says It Will Resume Military Aid (NY Times)
• Ukraine Peace Is Not at Hand (WSJ)

China: Defender of the Post-War World Order?

• Five takeaways from Beijing’s largest annual political meetings (The Atlantic Council)
• The United States’ Illiberal Turn Recasts a Potential Deal with China (CSIS)

MAGA’s Toxic Brand Abroad: Domestic Politics of Canada and EU

• Canada is so furious at the US right now (Vox)
• The Global Populist Right Has a MAGA Problem (The Atlantic)
• Donald Trump has pushed Europe back into “whatever it takes” mode (The Economist)
• Meet the biggest threat Hungary’s Viktor Orban has faced in 15 years (The Times of London)

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Trump’s plan to end the Russia - Ukraine war heated up with Wednesday’s call to Putin. With Ukraine and Europe sidelined from negotiations, can this administration bring about a lasting peace that both sides agree to? Also hot are Trump’s trade wars, which include a directive to impose reciprocal tariffs on all countries. How practical is this plan, and what will it achieve? Finally, most U.S. foreign aid is frozen, and the agency that distributes much of that aid, USAID, is being dismantled. How will it affect U.S. national security?

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 09: 00 - Russia-Ukraine: Trump’s Perfect Phone Call Part II and the Munich Conference
• 24:00 - Looming Trade Wars 
• 43:00 - US Soft Power Collapse: End of USAID and Foreign Aide

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Russia-Ukraine: Trump’s Perfect Phone Call Part II and the Munich Conference

• Trump’s call with Putin alarms Europe and shocks Ukraine (WaPo)
• The Day the Ukraine War Ended (The Atlantic)
• Ukraine’s fears are becoming reality, after Trump talks to Putin (The Economist)

Trade Wars Incoming

• Trump Says He’ll Rework Global Trading Relations With ‘Reciprocal’ Tariffs (NY Times)
• ‘The W.T.O. Is Toast.’ What Happens to Global Trade Now. (NY Times)
• Donald Trump’s Super Bowl tariffs are an act of self-harm (The Economist)

US Soft Power Collapse: End of USAID and Freezing of all Foreign Aide

• Visualizing the international reach of U.S. funding cut by Trump (WaPo)
• Falsehoods Fuel the Right-Wing Crusade Against U.S.A.I.D. (NY Times)
• As USAID retreats, China pounces (Politico)

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President-elect Donald Trump recently made his own challenge to the liberal rules-based global order by articulating an expansionist U.S. foreign policy focused on regaining control of the Panama Canal, owning Greenland, and referring to Canada as the 51st state. We discuss the likelihood of such a foreign policy agenda and how seriously we should address Trump’s tendency towards blustering remarks. Then we review and grade the last four years of Biden’s foreign policy. Is the U.S. better or worse off than when he took office?

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 05:00 - Trump’s Imperial Grab Bag: Panama Canal and Greenland
• 30:00 - Biden’s Foreign Policy Report Card

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Trump’s Imperial Grab Bag: Panama Canal and Greenland

• An American purchase of Greenland could be the deal of the century (The Economist)
• We Went to Greenland to Ask About a Trump Takeover (Politico)
• Why Does Trump Want the Panama Canal? Here’s What to Know. (NY Times)

Biden’s Foreign Policy Report Card

• The Interview: Antony Blinken Insists He and Biden Made the Right Calls (NY Times)
• Biden’s Legacy on China (The Diplomat)
• The Strange Triumph of a Broken America (Foreign Affairs)

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It has been an eventful week with the declaration of martial law in South Korea and the sudden collapse of the Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria. We analyze both events and their impact on the United States. Additionally, we look at Donald Trump’s picks for key foreign policy positions and what they bode for the future.

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 09:20 South Korea’s Wild Week
• 29:00 Syria’s Assad Regime Collapses
• 52:00 Trump’s Foreign Policy Nominees

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

South Korea’s Wild Week

• Martial law in South Korea—and then not. What comes next? (The Economist)
• South Korean Leader’s Deal to Avoid Impeachment Risks Bigger Turmoil (NY Times)
• Political Turmoil Adds to South Korea’s Economic Woes (NY Times)

Syria’s Assad Regime Collapses

• Rebel advance in Syria threatens to unravel Putin’s previous triumph (NY Times)
• Who Are the Rebels Leading the Offensive in Syria? (NY Times)
• 10 days in Syria that shook the Middle East (Politico)

Trump’s Foreign Policy Nominees

• ‘The Evolution of Marco Rubio (NY Times)
• Mike Waltz wants America to focus on the threat from China (The Economist)
• Trump’s pick for China ambassador could be bad news for Beijing (Politico)
• Pete Hegseth’s Crusade to Turn the Military into a Christian Weapon (Politico)
• Military leaders are rattled by a list of ‘woke’ officers that a group urges Hegseth to fire (Politico)

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