Kellogg's Global Politics

On this episode, we react to Donald Trump’s historic victory for the U.S. presidency and what it means for the world. Will Trump be able to end the Ukrainian war on day one? How will he pursue this goal? What will be his policy in the Middle East? How will he show strength towards China? And what does this election mean for NATO and other U.S. allies?

But first, is this the end of democracy as we know it in the U.S.?!

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 00:30 US Election and the Post-War World Order
• 36:00 Trump’s Ukraine Peace Plan
• 52:00 Israel-Iran Conflict
• 1:01:00 China: Tariffs and Taiwan
• 1:23:00 Trump’s Foreign Policy Posse

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

US Election

• Welcome to Trump’s world (The Economist)
• The Long Global Trail of Resentment Behind Trump’s Resurrection (NY Times)

Trump’s Ukraine Peace Plan

• Why Volodymyr Zelensky may welcome Donald Trump’s victory (The Economist)
• The right way for Trump to play peacemaker (WaPo)

Israel-Iran Conflict

• Will Donald Trump “stop the wars” in the Middle East? (The Economist)
• Israel strikes hint at push to finish Middle East war before Trump term (The Times of London)

China: Tariffs and Taiwan

• Is the return of Donald Trump China’s dream or nightmare? (The Economist)

Trump’s Foreign Policy Posse

• ‘They Would Never Be Doing This Under Trump’: Two G.O.P. Foreign Policy Experts on What a Second Term Would Mean for the World (NY Times)

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This is a special 50th Episode recorded live with Pyotr Kurzin of the Global Gambit. The discussion was wide-ranging, including China's growing international influence, geopolitics at the UN, The Israel-Iran conflict, and the growing global demand for energy.

You can watch the video stream at: https://www.youtube.com/live/hFWcI2bri80?si=F_fmr_szagNJhwk-

While you are there, check out the Kellogg's Global Politics channel.

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On this episode, we are delving into the foreign policy vision of Project 2025 and to what extent it previews what we can expect from a Trump administration. What will the world look like if we reshape our relations with competitors and allies? We discuss what the report says about our relationships with China, Ukraine, Iran, and Mexico. We also address how the culture wars influence foreign policy and explain their so-called fair trade agenda.

In our news brief, we cover the Ukraine Kursk Offensive into Russian territory and ponder the lack of Iranian retaliation for the Israeli assassinations of key Hamas and Hezbollah figures in Lebanon and Iran.

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 07:30 - Ukraine Kursk Offensive
• 11:45 - Why hasn’t Iran retaliated yet?
• 15:45 - Project 2025: Foreign Policy Breakdown

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Ukraine Kursk Offensive

• What Ukraine’s Kursk incursion means for the war with Russia (WaPo)
• What the fall of Pokrovsk could mean for Ukraine (Euromaiden)

Why hasn’t Iran retaliated yet?

• Iran and Hezbollah vowed revenge against Israel. Why hasn’t it come? (LA Times)
• Why Iran Has Not Yet Retaliated Against Israel for Hamas Leader’s Killing (NY Times)

Project 2025: Foreign Policy Breakdown

• Check out the full plan here

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What a difference a month makes! The Democrats have a new Presidential nominee in Kamala Harris. But what are her views on Foreign Policy? We talk about the potential differences between her policies and those of the Biden Administration.

Also in this episode, Anita had the pleasure of speaking to Angela Stent, a senior non-resident fellow at the Brookings Institution and Senior adviser to the U.S. Institute of Peace. We covered a range of topics, including how the U.S. elections might affect Putin’s execution of the Ukraine war, the current domestic situation in Russia, and Russia’s relationships with the large number of neutral countries that haven’t bought into the West’s story of the Ukraine war as an existential threat to democracy and the global order. We also discussed the far-right’s white nationalist dream of allying with Russia against China.

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• US Election Madness
• 18:00 - Kamala Harris Foreign Policy
• 39:00 - Interview with Angela Stent

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Kamala Harris Foreign Policy

• What a Kamala Harris foreign policy could look like (Politico)
• With Kamala Harris, U.S. Free Trade Skepticism May Continue (NY Times)
• Russia wary of U.S. and France election surprises, especially Kamala Harris (WaPo)
• How to decode Kamala Harris’s foreign policy (The Economist)

Interview with Angela Stent

• Putin’s World: Russia Against the West and with the Rest
• Georgetown University (Center for Eurasian, Russian, and East European Studies)
• Brookings
• X|Twitter

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In this episode, I had the pleasure of speaking to Sameer Lalwani, a senior expert on South Asia at the U.S. Institute of Peace on India’s Foreign Policy. We touched on topics ranging from how India would likely respond to a Chinese invasion of Taiwan to technological and defense cooperation between the U.S. and India. We also discussed the importance of the U.S.-India alliance with respect to strategic competition with China and the problematic nature of India’s relationship with Russia.

First, however, we react to last night’s televised Presidential Debate between President Biden and Former President Trump. Focusing on foreign policy topics, we cover what each side said and their potential impact on Americans and U.S. global standing.

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 01:00 - US Presidential Debate Fallout
• 18:00 - Debating Foreign Policy
• 47:00 - Interview with Sameer Lalwani

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

US Presidential Debate Fallout

• Key Foreign-Policy Moments From the Trump-Biden Debate (FP)
• Joe Biden’s horrific debate performance casts his entire candidacy into doubt (The Economist)

Interview with Sameer Lalwani

• US Institute of Peace
• Personal Website
• X|Twitter

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The past few weeks have seen several important elections in India, the EU, and Mexico. We discuss the impact in their respective regions and to the larger international environment.

We also discuss the latest in the EV battery wars. Is there a path forward for the U.S. to decrease dependence on China, and does it come at the cost of meeting U.S. environmental climate goals?

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• Ryan takes on Heritage’s Project 2025 Energy Policy
• 05:20 - Democracy Tested in India, the EU, and Mexico
• 50:30 - Winning the Battery War with China

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Ryan’s op-ed article in the Pittsburgh Post Gazette

• The 'Trump Policy Bible' for America's energy future will undermine that future (Ryan Kellogg & David Brunnert)

Democracy Tested in India, the EU, and Mexico

• India Steps Back From the Brink (Foreign Affairs)
• Have European Voters Hamstrung the EU? (Foreign Affairs)
• In Calling Elections in France, Macron Makes a Huge Gamble (NY Times)
• Morena’s landslide win threatens to take Mexico down a dangerous path (The Economist)
• Mexico’s president says he won’t fight drug cartels on US orders, calls it a ‘Mexico First’ policy (AP)

Winning the Battery War with China

• How America Can Win the Coming Battery War (Foreign Affairs)
• Friendshoring the Lithium-Ion Battery Supply Chain: Final Assembly and End Uses (CSIS)
• How worrying is the rapid rise of Chinese science? (The Economist)

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Anita has been traveling all month, and there are a lot of big stories that have happened in the meantime. We begin with China and the surprising passage of a ban on TikTok. We also discuss a provocative article arguing that we need to change our policy to win the war with China.

In the also surprising, but welcome category, an aide to Ukraine bill finally passed. What was behind Speaker Johnson’s change in position, and how will the aid change the situation on the ground?

Israel and Iran traded military hostilities and the war in Gaza still rages. What is the significance of the recent events? And what is happening on US campuses, where waves of protests and arrests have been occurring?

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• Anita’s Trip to Norway and Sweden
• 07:15 - TikTok Bill and the New Cold War with China
• 48:30 - Ukraine Aide Bill Passes, but What Next?
• 1:06:00 Israel-Iran Exchange Blows and Protests on US Campuses

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

TikTok Bill and New Cold War with China

• TikTok and the U.S. government dig in for a legal war over potential ban (WaPo)
• No Substitute for Victory (Foreign Affairs-Matt Pottinger & Mike Gallagher)

Ukraine Aide Bill Passes, but What Next?

• How Mike Johnson Got to ‘Yes’ on Aid to Ukraine (NY Times)
• America’s $61bn aid package buys Ukraine time (The Economist)
• Draft-dodging plagues Ukraine as Kyiv faces acute soldier shortage (Politico)

Israel-Iran Exchange Blows and Protests on US Campuses

• How Iran covered up the damage from Israel’s strikes (The Economist)
• How today’s antiwar protests stack up against major student movements in history (Vox)

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On this episode, we begin with some short updates on the situation in Ukraine and Israel. We also discuss the US House vote on TikTok and whether the social media platform is a propaganda tool of the CCP. 

We then take a deep dive into life in the UK after Brexit. Were promises kept and who is better off? 

Finally, we look at the extraordinary story of Poland’s democratic revival and examine its battle back from its recent flirtation with authoritarianism. What lessons can Western nations learn from as they fight their own right-wing populism?

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 20:00 - Ukraine and Israel update
• 40:00 - Post-Brexit UK: Looking back after 7 years
• 56:30 - Poland: How to fix a democracy?

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Ukraine and Israel Updates

• Trump will not give a penny to Ukraine - Hungary PM Orban (BBC)
• Schumer Urges New Leadership in Israel, Calling Netanyahu an Obstacle to Peace (NY Times)
• Pentagon to give Ukraine $300 million in weapons (NPR)

Post-Brexit UK: Looking back after 7 years

• Brexit Britain has ‘significantly underperformed’ other advanced economies, Goldman Sachs says (CNBC)
• How Brexit and Boris Broke Britain (Foreign Affairs)
• Brexit has completely failed for UK, say clear majority of Britons – poll (The Guardian)
• Sir Keir Starmer: bureaucrat first, politician second (The Economist)

Poland: How to fix a democracy?

• Poland’s Post-Populist Rehab (Foreign Affairs)
• Donald Tusk tries to restore Poland’s rule of law (The Economist)
• Poland is a test case for reviving a corrupted democracy (The Washington Post)

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On this episode, we are talking about several big wins for Putin over the past week, including Navalyny’s demise, the opportunity to spread his propaganda to Western audiences through Tucker Carlson, and Russia’s solid economic growth. 

Another big win for Putin is Trump’s threats to withdraw from NATO by not respecting our treaty commitments were he to become the US’s next president. 

The news keeps getting better for Putin with Ukraine’s struggles on the battlefield, while future military assistance continues to be blocked in the US Congress. 

Finally, we look at the continuing conflict in Gaza, frustrating the White House and its hopes for a ceasefire that would see the release of the remaining hostages. 

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 10:00 - Putin’s very good week
• 38:50 - Ukraine's battlefield struggles
• 1:01:25 - Israel-Hamas Update

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

Putin’s Very Good Week

• Carlson, like the populist right, dislikes what makes America great (WaPo)
• What Tucker Carlson Saw in Moscow (The Atlantic)
• Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny’s death, explained (Vox)
• U.S. Fears Russia Might Put a Nuclear Weapon in Space (NY Times)
• Trump reiterates to NATO allies: If you don’t pay up, ‘I’m not going to protect you’ (Politico)

Ukraine Battlefield Struggles

• Avdiivka, Longtime Stronghold for Ukraine, Falls to Russians (NY Times)
• How Ukraine sank the Caesar Kunikov—and is beating Russia at sea (The Economist)
• Ukraine backers in House explore bypassing Johnson to secure more aid (WaPo)
• Top House Dems gauge support for forcing foreign aid vote (Politico)

Israel-Hamas update

• If Israel invades, hell looms in Rafah (The Economist)
• A Biden Doctrine for the Middle East Is Forming. And It’s Big. (Friedman, NY Times)

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Welcome to a New Year and a new season of Kellogg’s Global Politics!

As funding for Ukraine has been held up by negotiations on the US Border Crisis, we take a deep dive into the recent history and the current status of immigration to the United States through its Southern border.. 

We then turn to the Middle East and concerns over the increase in military violence throughout the region and the implications of the escalating threat of war with Iran. 

Finally, we discuss the latest in East Asia and whether there might be an increased chance of war with North Korea. We also look at the implications of the recent Taiwanese presidential elections.

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• 06:00 - US Border Crisis
• 32:30 - Middle East Spiraling Out of Control?
• 44:30 - North Korea Preparing for War?
• 54:30 - Taiwan’s Election

Articles and Resources Mentioned in Episode

US Border Crisis

• With Deal Close on Border and Ukraine, Republican Rifts Threaten to Kill Both (NY Times)
• New York City’s not-so-sudden migrant surge, explained (Vox)
• Key findings about U.S. immigrants (Pew Research Center)

Middle East Spiraling Out of Control?

• Attacks in Syria and Iraq Ratchet Tensions in a Region Already on Edge (NY Times)
• The US and UK hit Houthi targets in Yemen. It probably won’t stop Red Sea attacks (Vox)
• The Middle East faces economic chaos (The Economist)

North Korea Preparing for War?

• As if We Didn’t Have Enough to Frighten Us … (NY Times)
• Is Kim Jong Un Preparing for War? (38 North)
• A Fundamental Shift or More of the Same? A Rebuttal (38 North)

Taiwan’s Election

• How China’s public views Taiwan’s elections (The Economist)
• Taiwan’s 2024 Elections: Results and Implications (CSIS)

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