Kellogg's Global Politics

In this episode, we talk about European energy insecurity with Russia and the escalating crisis in Ukraine. We also look at slowing growth in China and the need to rebalance its economy. Finally, we discuss the growing attacks on Muslims in India and the dangers of illiberalism to the global order.

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• Root causes of EU Energy Crisis - 05:00
• Russia-Ukraine: Imminent War? - 19:40
• Slowing Chinese Economy and Trade Imbalances - 38:20
• Rising Indian intolerance and Global Illiberalism - 52:40

Articles Mentioned in Episode

Root causes of EU Energy Crisis

• Gas shortages: what is driving Europe’s energy crisis? (FT)
• Moscow has the EU over a barrel on energy (FT)

Russia-Ukraine: Imminent War?

• As war looms larger, what are Russia’s military options in Ukraine? (Economist)
• Putin has many options short of a multi-front invasion of Ukraine (WaPo)
• Why would Putin invade Ukraine? (WaPo Monkey Cage)
• The Day After Russia Attacks (Vindman; Foreign Affairs)

Slowing Chinese Economy and Trade Imbalances

• China’s record trade gap a symptom of its struggle to rebalance its economy (FT)
• China needs a new growth model, but that requires serious reform (FT)

Rising Indian intolerance and Global Illiberalism

• Hindu bigots are openly urging Indians to murder Muslims (Economist)
• The democratic threat to democracy (Brookings)
• India’s Democracy Is the World’s Problem (The Atlantic)
• India’s journey to illiberal democracy (FT)
• The Real Crisis of Global Order: Illiberalism on the Rise (Foreign Affairs)

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In this episode, we discuss what the Chinese-led Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), the largest regional trade pact to date, means for the future of trade and the U.S.’s seeming withdrawal from leading on future international economic cooperation. Next, we discuss the crisis that no one is talking about — the diminishing opportunity for talks over Iran’s nuclear weapon development. Will Israel accept Iran as a de facto nuclear state, or could another Middle East war be on the horizon? We provide another update on Russia-Ukraine and the negations between Russia and NATO. Finally, we look at two recent articles by Francis Fukuyama (see notes below) on the democratic decline in the United States and its impact on U.S. global leadership.

Topics and Timestamps

• 10:15 - Listener Feedback
• 18:15 - RCEP: New Asian trade pact led by China goes into effect
• 31:45 Reviving the Iran Nuclear deal: Mission Impossible?
• 47:30 Russia-Ukraine: Russia and NATO get ready to negotiate
• 50:00 January 6th Capitol insurrection and the Global implications

Articles Mentioned in Episode

New Asian Trade Pact: RCEP

• In Asia, China fills an economic void the United States left (WaPo)
• RCEP kicks in as China seeks to lead regional economic integration (Nikkei Asia)

Reviving the Iran Nuclear deal: Mission Impossible?

• Iran-US: faltering nuclear talks enter dangerous phase (FT)
• The Looming Threat of a Nuclear Crisis with Iran (The New Yorker)

Russia-Ukraine Crisis

• Biden says he warned Putin of ‘severe sanctions’ if Russia invades Ukraine again (WaPo)
• U.S. Details Costs of a Russian Invasion of Ukraine (NY Times)

January 6th Anniversary

• One Single Day. That’s All It Took for the World to Look Away From Us. (Francis Fukuyama; NY Times)
• January 6 and Geopolitics (Francis Fukuyama; American Purpose)
• The American polity is cracked, and might collapse. Canada must prepare (The Globe and Mail)
• January 6 Didn’t Happen Just to America (The Atlantic)

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In this episode, we look back at two of the more consequential foreign policy issues facing the US today: the global pandemic and the emerging strategy to deal with a rising China. In addition, we give an update on the Russia-Ukraine crisis and the recent buzz about a nuclear energy renaissance. 

Topics and Timestamps:

• 3:40 - Russia-Ukraine
• 13:00 - Nuclear and LNG
• 26:30 Global Coronavirus Vaccine Distribution
• 40:30 Great Power Politics and U.S. China Strategy

Articles Mentioned in Episode:

Russia Ukraine crisis

• Russia Issues Lists of Demands (The Guardian)
• Nato open to dialogue with Russia on European security demands (FT)

Energy in Focus: Nuclear power renewal and Surging LNG Demand

• Is Nuclear Energy Green? (WaPo)
• US-China gas deals defy tensions between world powers (FT)

Covid and Vaccine Diplomacy

• Vaccine Diplomacy sees Nicaragua cut ties with Taiwan for Covid shots (The Brazilian Report)
• Doubts over efficacy of Chinese vaccines stoke anxiety at home and abroad (FT)
• How the faltering global vaccination effort paved the way for alarming variants (Vox)
• Moderna's missteps undermine US vaccine diplomacy (The Hill)

China Grand Strategy

• The Inevitable Rivalry (John Mearsheimer; Foreign Affairs)
• Jiakun Jack Zhang (University of Kansas)  “Assessing the Trade War’s Impact on Foreign Invested Enterprises in China” Conference Paper International Studies Association Annual Conference 2021

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Welcome to the official launch of our podcast on global affairs. In this episode, we discuss recent international news stories, beginning with the decision to increase the oil supply and its impact on inflation. We also cover Biden’s Democracy Summit and the diplomatic boycott of the 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics by the United States. We then turn to a more in-depth conversation on the implications of the build-up of 175,000 Russian troops along the Ukraine-Russia border. Additionally, Anita discusses her new role as a Brzezinski Postdoctoral Fellow in Foreign Policy and National Security at John Hopkins (SAIS)’s Foreign Policy Institute in Washington DC.

Timestamps:

• 5:30 Inflation and OPEC+ decision on production quotas
• 12:00 Biden’s Democracy Summit
• 20:30 2022 Beijing Winter Olympics and the Diplomatic Boycott
• 32:00 Russian troop build-up at the Ukrainian Border

Articles Mentioned in Episode

OPEC+ Decision on Production Quotas

• OPEC+ output hike gamble pays off as oil prices recover (Reuters)

Democracy Summit

• Global Views of Biden’s Democracy Summit (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace)
• Ahead of Biden’s Democracy Summit, China Says: We’re Also a Democracy (NY Times)
• Why China Is Freaking Out Over Biden’s Democracy Summit (Foreign Policy)

2022 Beijing Winter Olympics and the Diplomatic Boycott

• Do boycotts of sports events, such as the Beijing winter Olympics, work? (The Economist)
• What the US’s diplomatic boycott of the 2022 Beijing Olympics does — and doesn’t — mean (Vox)

Russia-Ukraine Crisis

• Wait, is Russia going to invade Ukraine? (Vox)
• How the United States Can Break Putin’s Hold on Ukraine (Alexander Vindman; NY Times)
• How might allies respond if Russia invades Ukraine? (Defense News)
• The US can't deter a Russian invasion of Ukraine — and shouldn't even try (The Hill)
• Ukraine: Putin’s Unfinished Business (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace)

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In this episode, we conclude our discussion about the legacy of Trump’s foreign policy with a focus on China and the Middle East. Did Trump provide a valuable reset to the US’s China policy, or was it a series of missed opportunities? Could you characterize his Middle East policy as a success? Plus, listen to Anita and Ryan offer their take on the January 6th insurrection at the Capitol and its implications abroad.   

This episode was recorded on January 17, 2021

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• The January 6th insurrection at the Capitol
• Trump and China: Missed Opportunities or an Invaluable Reset?
• The Middle East: Trump’s one clear success?
• Final thoughts on the Trump FP legacy

Articles Mentioned in Episode

• Trump’s Foreign-Policy Adventures Haven’t All Flopped (Foreign Policy)
• US election: Trump's China policy is here to stay, no matter who wins (Nikkei Asia)
• Officials Push U.S.-China Relations Toward Point of No Return (NY Times)
• Will Trump's major foreign policy legacy be Israel and Palestine? (The Guardian)
• EU - China trade and investment
  • China - Trade - Europen Commission
  • China edges past US as Europe’s top trade partner

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Welcome to Kellogg’s Global Politics, a podcast on US foreign policy in a post-Trump world. In this inaugural episode co-hosts, Anita and Ryan, look back on the last 4 years and highlight the key events of the Trumpist foreign policy and its lasting impact on the world. 

This episode was recorded on January 4, 2021 

Topics Discussed in this Episode

• Overall thoughts on Trump administration’s foreign policy and key themes
• Populism and the backlash against globalization
• Trump's worldview and personal economics
• Lasting harm of Trump's Foreign Policy

Articles Mentioned in Episode

• Americans' Views on Trade in the Trump Era (Gallup)
• Status threat, not economic hardship, explains the 2016 presidential vote (PNAS Article)
• Present at the Disruption (Richard Haas, Foreign Affairs)
• Global trade is booming — just without the U.S. (Fareed Zakaria, WaPo)

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