Lagniappe

Lagniappe

By Stokes Family OfficeBusinessNewsTechnology
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Lagniappe episodes

  • CPI Day! Inflation, EVs, and Masters Picks

    New CPI data is here, and the economy continues to run hotter than the market was expecting. What does that mean for the Fed cuts we’ve been talking so much about? And are we now in a position to be more accommodative if the market does stall? All of that, plus global parenting trends and our hopes for Tiger at Augusta. 


    Key Takeaways

    • [00:17] - CPI Day + Will they or won’t they make cuts?
    • [05:20] - The inflationary impacts of insurance costs
    • [11:24] - Trump’s SPAC & the return of meme/bitcoin
    • [16:45] - EVs + the future of self-driving
    • [19:10] - Why the U.S. economy has yet to break
    • [25:48] - Parenting data + Masters picks

    • Links

      • Stocks hit by Fed-pivot rethink as oil climbs
      • $DJT share price “is back to the level it debuted at on March 26th
      • US sees missile strike on Israel by Iran, proxies as imminent
      • The average price of a used Tesla has declined 21 months in a row
      • Peccatiell: With all the rate hikes, why hasn’t the U.S. economy broken?
      • Parenting has become far more intensive in most developed countries

      • Connect with our hosts

        • Doug Stokes
        • Greg Stokes
        • Stokes Family Office

        • Subscribe and stay in touch

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          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

          • Disclosure

            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

            30 min
          • The Scoreboard Looks Good After the First Quarter

            We’ll react to Jerome Powell’s post-Quarter 1 comments and look at inflation and the economy related to oil/gas, real estate, and commodities prices. We’ll then look at strong financial numbers coming out of Mexico and prognosticate what a bright future could look like with our Southern neighbors as a main manufacturing partner. We’ll finish by joining the national narrative on Caitlin Clark, LSU, and the rise of women’s hoops. 


            Key Takeaways

            • [00:17] - A big picture view after quarter 1
            • [06:35] - Inflation risks as the price of commodities increases
            • [09:51] - The interesting parallel between oil/gas and real estate 
            • [14:32] - Recovery #s for SBF & Madoff clients 
            • [15:50] - Mexico unemployment down, peso up
            • [19:07] - The golden rule of compounding

            • Links

              • Timmer: After falling a modest 2.8% in '23, earnings are expected to grow 9% in '24
              • 1st time since Q3 of 2022 that Tesla has delivered under 400,000 units in a quarter
              • Housel: the % of hedge funds & mutual funds that did worse than investing with Madoff
              • Bilello: never interrupt compounding unnecessarily
              • Women’s Final 4 ticket prices are twice that of the men’s 

              • Connect with our hosts

                • Doug Stokes
                • Greg Stokes
                • Stokes Family Office

                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                  • Apple Podcasts
                  • Spotify
                  • Google Podcasts
                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                  • Disclosure

                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                    25 min
                  • Creating Wealth Through Long-Term Holds

                    We’ll start with the flurry of current event news, from the Baltimore Bridge to Trump’s new SPAC. We’ll then look at the FOMO effect of positive markets and discuss how long-term holds can be a time-tested tool to grow your wealth.


                    Key Takeaways

                    • [00:17] - Trump’s Truth Social SPAC
                    • [03:53] - Baltimore bridge tragedy
                    • [08:00] - Historic data after 5-month wins streaks & the start of bear markets 
                    • [11:23] - Wealth creation through long-term holds
                    • [17:26] - Financial conditions and American energy efficiency are soaring

                    • Links

                      • Trump’s Truth Social starts trading with a market value near $6.8 billion after SPAC deal
                      • Baltimore Key Bridge collapses after ship collision
                      • Cocoa prices hit $10,000 per metric ton for the first time ever
                      • The S&P 500 is about to be up 5 months in a row
                      • Detrick: buying fear is historically a strong idea
                      • Yale School of Mgmt: On the Nature of Long-Term Holds
                      • Scott Grannis: Financial Conditions Look Excellent
                      • Grannis: U.S. energy efficiency has soared

                      • Connect with our hosts

                        • Doug Stokes
                        • Greg Stokes
                        • Stokes Family Office

                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                          • Apple Podcasts
                          • Spotify
                          • Google Podcasts
                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                          • Disclosure

                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                            24 min
                          • The Roaring 20s Minus the Vibes

                            We’re beginning to sound like a broken record as we record each week coming off more market highs. We’ll discuss how Crypto has roared back after making it through multiple speculative cycles. We’ll also review the positivity that comes with broader market participation. We’ll then examine why you can’t have the debt conversation without also looking at assets and end with the effect of inflation on America’s housing market. 


                            Key Takeaways

                            • [00:17] - One of history’s longest bull runs continues
                            • [02:53] - Crypto, and conversations about Crypto, are back
                            • [07:48] - The increasing breadth of the S&P 500
                            • [11:03] - Is this the Roaring 20s minus the vibes?
                            • [14:10] - Space launches, AI productivity, and optimism for the future 
                            • [15:55] - Looking at assets along with debt
                            • [22:42] - Inflation’s effect on new real estate coming online

                            • Links

                              • Detrick: Returns mostly driven by earnings over longer periods
                              • Today's Cryptocurrency Prices by Market Cap
                              • All-Star Charts: the broadening of market participation
                              • Carlson: comparing today with the Roaring 20s
                              • Carlson: Households are growing their assets faster than liabilities
                              • Ten Global Trends Every Smart Person Should Know
                              • US Dollar Index

                              • Connect with our hosts

                                • Doug Stokes
                                • Greg Stokes
                                • Stokes Family Office

                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                  • Spotify
                                  • Google Podcasts
                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                  • Disclosure

                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                    31 min
                                  • The Historic Rally Continues

                                    With the markets at all-time highs and earnings rising in tandem, we’ll look at why and how the narrative changed so drastically over the last 6 months. Plus, we’ll discuss recession risks being taken off the table with commercial real estate rebounding and the Fed having lots of room to make cuts.  


                                    Key Takeaways

                                    • [00:17] - One of the greatest 19-week rallies ever
                                    • [02:12] - The recession narrative has changed over the last 6 months
                                    • [06:27] - Earnings growth of the S&P 500
                                    • [12:30] - Rebounding CRE prices and more positive economic signs
                                    • [18:10] - More troubles for the airline industry 

                                    • Links

                                      • Detrick: We're in the middle of one of the greatest 19-week rallies ever
                                      • Inverted yield curve no longer reliable recession flag, strategists say
                                      • Roche: Inflation is still in a downtrend
                                      • APOLLO: commercial real estate prices are starting to recover
                                      • Scary moments on recent Boeing flight
                                      • Statistical summary of commercial jet airplane accidents

                                      • Connect with our hosts

                                        • Doug Stokes
                                        • Greg Stokes
                                        • Stokes Family Office

                                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                          • Apple Podcasts
                                          • Spotify
                                          • Google Podcasts
                                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                          • Disclosure

                                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                            25 min
                                          • Is the Market in Need of a Breather?

                                            This week, we’ll start with the latest jobs report and examine NVIDIA’s wild ride over the last two weeks. We’ll then discuss troubles with Apple and the airline industry and address concerns that the Fed will lower rates too late. We’ll wrap up with a look at this bull market cycle and how a healthy correction could take place.


                                            Key Takeaways

                                            • [00:17] - Jobs and NVIDIA’s last 15 days
                                            • [04:10] - Apple’s woes and Google's comparison
                                            • [10:11] - Troubles in the Airline Industry
                                            • [11:50] - Costco and the pricing power trend
                                            • [12:58] - Truflation vs what the Fed is saying
                                            • [19:21] - Is the market in need of a breather?

                                            • Links

                                              • NVIDIA added an entire Tesla AND Starbucks in market cap in the last two weeks
                                              • Citi lowers Apple stock-price target. Blame iPhone sales in China
                                              • Tire falls off of United Flight
                                              • Costco has a money-saving plan that beats inflation
                                              • Powell reinforces position that the Fed is not ready to start cutting interest rates
                                              • Truflation today is 1.63%
                                              • Bitcoin crossed above $70,000 for the first time
                                              • US gasoline prices are at the highest now since November
                                              • Carlson: What does a healthy correction look like?

                                              • Connect with our hosts

                                                • Doug Stokes
                                                • Greg Stokes
                                                • Stokes Family Office

                                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                                  • Spotify
                                                  • Google Podcasts
                                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                  • Disclosure

                                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                    28 min
                                                  • Why the Risk Appetite Has Returned

                                                    We’re coming off of another good market month. Sentiment is bullish, and we’ll look into why that’s the case. We’ll then discuss how/why we should hedge that optimism with historical data and end with updates on the electric vehicle and bond markets.


                                                    Key Takeaways

                                                    • [00:16] - The risk appetite has returned
                                                    • [04:52] - Why are the vibes the way they are right now?
                                                    • [09:09] - Hedging optimism
                                                    • [13:15] - Mania in the EV sector 
                                                    • [18:42] - Bond market update

                                                    • Links

                                                      • Detrick: what happens historically when the S&P 500 is higher in both Jan and Feb
                                                      • Carlson: A long time horizon is the ultimate equalizer in the stock market
                                                      • Apollo’s Torsten Slok Says Fed Will Not Cut Rates in 2024
                                                      • Detrick: stocks are up because we are looking at a major jump in productivity and EPS over the coming years
                                                      • Galloway: Corporate Ozempic
                                                      • Rivian and EV mania

                                                      • Connect with our hosts

                                                        • Doug Stokes
                                                        • Greg Stokes
                                                        • Stokes Family Office

                                                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                          • Apple Podcasts
                                                          • Spotify
                                                          • Google Podcasts
                                                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                          • Disclosure

                                                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                            23 min
                                                          • Price Matters: AI Mania and Investing in Market Highs

                                                            NVIDIA is the story of the week. We’ll look at their rising market cap and why price matters more than hype when it comes to new hot sectors like AI. We’ll also discuss practical AI uses, from big banks to our personal relationships. We end with our suggested advice on how to handle thinking about peaks vs. cliffs during market highs. 


                                                            Key Takeaways

                                                            • [00:16] - AI is becoming the new hot topic
                                                            • [03:57] - NVIDIA’s exploding market cap
                                                            • [07:22] - NVIDIA’s dependence on the Magnificent 7
                                                            • [08:01] - After 34 years, Japan’s market hits record close
                                                            • [13:25] - Growing, practical use cases for AI 
                                                            • [17:50] - What should the investment mindset be with markets at all-time highs?
                                                            • [22:13] - Stocks and bonds correlation

                                                            • Links

                                                              • Lex Fridman podcast with Bill Ackman 
                                                              • Nvidia's market cap is over $200B higher than all of the companies in the S&P 500 Energy sector...combined
                                                              • Japan’s Nikkei, after 34 Years, briefly tops record close in intraday trading
                                                              • Timmer: The macro narrative is unfolding as expected
                                                              • Sora, Open AI’s text-to-video technology
                                                              • Why a stock peak isn’t a cliff

                                                              • Connect with our hosts

                                                                • Doug Stokes
                                                                • Greg Stokes
                                                                • Stokes Family Office

                                                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                                                  • Spotify
                                                                  • Google Podcasts
                                                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                                  • Disclosure

                                                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                                    27 min
                                                                  • A Real Estate Market Update With Seth Johnson of 388 Ventures

                                                                    During the Mardi Gras break, we welcome on Seth Johnson, a partner at 388 Ventures. With his wealth of real estate experience and insight, he’ll tell us about the impact of COVID and how it got us to this point. We’ll discuss the challenges that developers and project sponsors are facing, the emergence of a new, alternative lending market, and the banks’ current decision tree. Seth also gives his outlook for multi-family and the real estate market as a whole and what we should be looking forward to during and after this high-interest rate cycle.


                                                                    Key Takeaways

                                                                    • [00:15] - Meet Seth Johnson, partner at 388 Ventures 
                                                                    • [01:51] - What happened during COVID and what’s happening now 
                                                                    • [04:20] - Bid ask challenges for developers/project sponsors after optimistic underwriting
                                                                    • [07:22] - What do banks want to do now? And what options do borrowers have?
                                                                    • [11:57] - The short and intermediate-term forecast for real estate
                                                                    • [17:39] - The long-term outlook for multi-family
                                                                    • [20:20] - Capitalizing a deal in today's environment

                                                                    • Links

                                                                      • Seth Johnson
                                                                      • 388 Ventures
                                                                      • The bill Is coming due on a record amount of commercial real estate debt
                                                                      • The price gap between renting and buying has hit the widest point since 2000

                                                                      • Connect with our hosts

                                                                        • Doug Stokes
                                                                        • Greg Stokes
                                                                        • Stokes Family Office

                                                                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                                          • Apple Podcasts
                                                                          • Spotify
                                                                          • Google Podcasts
                                                                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                                          • Disclosure

                                                                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                                            33 min
                                                                          • The Bears Are Coming Out With a Vengeance

                                                                            Happy early Mardi Gras from New Orleans!

                                                                            Before we head into a weekend of floats and football, we question why we’re hearing so many economic bears coming out of the woodwork. In that vein, we’ll look at potential bearish indicators like tech bubble rumblings and the country’s unsustainable fiscal path. We’ll then examine tech’s impact on the economy and society as a whole, why some are calling this a recession of the poor, and make the bear case for Nvidia. We finish by giving our "expert" opinions on the big game on Sunday. 


                                                                            Key Takeaways

                                                                            • [00:16] - Why are the bears getting louder? 
                                                                            • [03:07] - Tech’s effect on the economy and our social lives 
                                                                            • [07:55] - Consumer net worth and consumer debt are both up 
                                                                            • [13:30] - The Magnificent 7 globally and the bear case for Nvidia
                                                                            • [17:54] - Our expert Super Bowl preview

                                                                            • Links

                                                                              • Putting the tech rally in perspective
                                                                              • Forget barhopping or even dinner out—more young professionals prefer turning in early
                                                                              • The introverts have taken over the economy
                                                                              • Consumer balance sheets are the Derrick Henry/Mark Ingram meme
                                                                              • Credit card delinquency rates now and pre-Covid
                                                                              • Truflation's real-time US inflation gauge has moved to 1.35% from 6.24% a year ago

                                                                              • Connect with our hosts

                                                                                • Doug Stokes
                                                                                • Greg Stokes
                                                                                • Stokes Family Office

                                                                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                                                                  • Spotify
                                                                                  • Google Podcasts
                                                                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                                                  • Disclosure

                                                                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                                                    23 min

                                                                                  About Lagniappe

                                                                                  From the publisher's feed

                                                                                  Lagniappe is a weekly podcast from Stokes Family Office. Join Doug and Greg each week for an entertaining look at current news, personal finance, brotherly banter, and whatever else is on our minds!

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