Lagniappe

Lagniappe

By Stokes Family OfficeBusinessNewsTechnology
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Lagniappe episodes

  • Fully Charged: A Deep Dive Into the Energy Sector

    As we head into a big, energized sports weekend, we go all in on all things energy. From oil and gas stocks to the demand and performance of EVs, we’ll review where we’ve been and where we’re headed in the world of energy investing. 


    Key Takeaways

    • [02:45] - The current state of the oil market
    • [04:41] - The demand for and price of electric cars 
    • [08:19] - Investing in oil companies and commodities in general over the last decade
    • [12:17] - Will there be a re-rating on energy stocks?
    • [15:07] - How big of a factor does ESG play?
    • [17:23] - Fuel economy, EVs, and self-driving cars
    • [21:18] - Berkshire Hathaway, Fidelity, Robin Hood, and the power of disciplined investing

    • Links

      • WTI is up 25% since Jim Cramer went bearish on oil
      • Tesla Model S and Model X base prices drop once again
      • Vanguard Energy ETF
      • Rockefeller Foundation moved away from fossil fuels in 2021
      • Harvard says it will not invest in fossil fuels
      • Fuel economy for all vehicle classes has improved substantially over past 2 decades
      • Odd Lots podcast: self-driving cars might finally be for real
      • In-ground pool permits declined by -36% in units and -30% in dollars YoY
      • If Berkshire Hathaway stock tanked 99% it would still have outperformed S&P 500
      • Fidelity study: best-performing accounts were of people who forgot they had an account

      • Connect with our hosts

        • Doug Stokes
        • Greg Stokes
        • Stokes Family Office

        • Subscribe and stay in touch

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          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

          • Disclosure

            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

            26 min
          • Jobs, GDP, Frozen Real Estate, & IPO Bubbles

            As we head into Labor Day weekend, we fittingly look at the latest jobs report and the revised GDP numbers. We’ll also think location, location, location as we investigate the areas that are winning and losing the migration/real estate race. Finally, we’ll review some of our favorite COVID-era IPOs and wonder if the euphoria bubble is over for now. 


            Key Takeaways

            • [01:05] - Jobs report and the GDP data revision
            • [06:28] - What does the frozen real estate market mean? 
            • [10:15] - Which US areas are winning? Which are losing?
            • [16:16] - Mark Cuban + the right place, right time nature of venture capitalism
            • [19:09] - Has the IPO euphoria window closed for the time being?

            • Links

              • U.S. GDP grew less vigorously than believed in Q2
              • The labor market is now looser than it was pre-Covid
              • Home price decline from peak in 40 largest US markets
              • Just 1% of U.S. homes have changed hands this year
              • The rental market continues to slow
              • 30 migration winners and losers
              • Mark Cuban has taken a net loss on $20M in Shark Tank investments
              • Traeger: another Pandemic IPO to fall down to earth

              • Connect with our hosts

                • Doug Stokes
                • Greg Stokes
                • Stokes Family Office

                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                  • Apple Podcasts
                  • Spotify
                  • Google Podcasts
                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                  • Disclosure

                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                    26 min
                  • Fed Symposium + Housing Market + Financial Superpowers

                    As the Federal Reserve hosts its annual conference out West in Jackson Hole, we’ll take a look at what Jerome Powell said and what they forecasted that they’ll do next. We also discuss how mortgage rates, cash buyers, and new builds are affecting the real estate market. We finish with Humble Dollar’s seven financial superpowers that can help you make, save, invest, and ultimately enjoy money. 


                    Key Takeaways

                    • [00:20] - Checking in on the Fed’s economic policy symposium
                    • [05:18] - Is there pent-up demand for home purchases?
                    • [10:15] - Unsurprising news out of Russia
                    • [12:16] - Financial Superpowers

                    • Links

                      • Powell: "It is the Fed's job to bring inflation down to our 2 percent goal”
                      • Truflation says we’re currently at 2.56%
                      • Richard Moody: Regions Economic Outlook, August 2023
                      • Spreads between treasuries and mortgages are still extremely high
                      • Downed Russian jet carried Wagner’s hierarchy including Yevgeny Prigozhin
                      • Jonathan Clements’ financial superpowers he says we should all strive to cultivate


                        Connect with our hosts

                        • Doug Stokes
                        • Greg Stokes
                        • Stokes Family Office

                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                          • Apple Podcasts
                          • Spotify
                          • Google Podcasts
                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                          • Disclosure

                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                            25 min
                          • Not Taking the Fear-Mongering Bait

                            After Michael Burry (of Big Short fame) made his crash prediction, we decided to go back through the success rate of his predictions. We then go abroad and take a look at the Chinese economy’s contraction, how Britain and our Mississippi neighbors are similar, and more insane sportswashing from Saudi Arabia. We’ll end with data on young homeowners and how coastal areas could take an even bigger real estate market hit.  


                            Key Takeaways

                            • [00:17] - Fearmongering from Michael Burry + the media
                            • [06:30] - What’s going on with the Chinese market?
                            • [11:33] - Britain = Mississippi and Neymar = rich
                            • [14:41] - The shocking data on how much Americans have saved for retirement
                            • [17:39] - Homeownership rate for young people may be better than narrative says
                            • [20:43] - Factoring in homeowner’s insurance in places like New Orleans

                            • Links

                              • Big Short trader Michael Burry bets $1.6 billion on stock market crash
                              • Michael Burry’s market predictions: Hits, misses, and the reality
                              • Mexico surpassed China as the top U.S. trading partner
                              • China suspends report on youth unemployment, which was at a record high
                              • Is Britain really as poor as Mississippi?
                              • Perks of Neymar’s Saudi Arabia football club deal
                              • Here’s what a $5M retirement looks like in the U.S.
                              • Young homeownership rate actually comparable to the last four decades
                              • Mortgage rates and home prices needed to return to pre-pandemic affordability

                              • Connect with our hosts

                                • Doug Stokes
                                • Greg Stokes
                                • Stokes Family Office

                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                  • Spotify
                                  • Google Podcasts
                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                  • Disclosure

                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                    25 min
                                  • Doom & Gloom vs. Hype + UPS Drivers, Phil Mickelson & a Weekly Inflation Update

                                    We start this week by looking at perma-bear prognosticators and on the flip side, the excitement and danger behind the hype of the “next big industry”. And staying on winners and losers, we’ll examine UPS drivers, the decline in petroleum interest, and Phil Mickelson’s eye-opening bets. We will, of course, finish with our weekly inflation update. 


                                    Key Takeaways

                                    • [00:17] - The doom-and-gloom-ers are back
                                    • [07:49] - The winners and losers of darling tech companies
                                    • [12:50] - It’s a good time to be a UPS driver
                                    • [13:50] - While oil is up, undergrad interest is way down
                                    • [18:31] - Phil Mickelson’s bets
                                    • [21:06] - What’s driving the decline in inflation?

                                    • Links

                                      • John Hussman predicts extreme bubble in stocks will end in tears
                                      • WeWork - from $47 billion to $270 million
                                      • NVDA joins 99 companies with the highest P/S multiple within the 500 largest stocks
                                      • From Apple to Amazon, the staggering cash-on-hand numbers
                                      • Full-time UPS drivers will earn $170,000 a year, on average, in new contract
                                      • Undergrad enrollment in petroleum engineering down 75% over the past 10 years
                                      • Vanguard Energy ETF
                                      • Since 1995, US Airfares have increased 29% on a nominal basis but have actually declined 36% after adjusting for inflation
                                      • New book alleges Phil Mickelson wagered over $1 billion, tried to bet on Ryder Cup
                                      • US CPI has moved down from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022 to 3.2% today
                                      • The demand for mortgages has evaporated

                                      • Connect with our hosts

                                        • Doug Stokes
                                        • Greg Stokes
                                        • Stokes Family Office

                                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                          • Apple Podcasts
                                          • Spotify
                                          • Google Podcasts
                                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                          • Disclosure

                                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                            27 min
                                          • Market Recovery in Review

                                            As potentially positive economic factors pile up, we look at the market’s recovery, what’s factored into disinflation, and where we go from here. We’ll also examine two strategic competitions: oil vs electricity and real estate vs. the S&P 500. 


                                            Key Takeaways

                                            • [03:17] - The tailwinds of deflation
                                            • [07:49] - Is our power grid ready for mass EV usage?
                                            • [12:06] - Oil isn’t going anywhere
                                            • [15:03] - Real estate investment compared to the S&P 500

                                            • Links

                                              • Sam Ro: Everything looked good last week
                                              • Barry Sternlicht on the ‘category 5 hurricane’ hitting office buildings
                                              • 6 things that actually cost less than last year, despite inflation
                                              • Nick Timiraos: Why the drivers of lower inflation matter
                                              • WTI Oil up 15% in July
                                              • Goldman Sachs estimates global oil demand has risen to an all-time high
                                              • Elon Musk’s latest mission: rev up the electricity industry
                                              • Jeff Currie: oil’s not going anywhere
                                              • Nick Maggiulli: The Return on Hassle
                                              • 2010 acres outside Telluride purchased for $130,000 in 40s listed for $67.75M

                                              • Connect with our hosts

                                                • Doug Stokes
                                                • Greg Stokes
                                                • Stokes Family Office

                                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                                  • Spotify
                                                  • Google Podcasts
                                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                  • Disclosure

                                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                    21 min
                                                  • It’s Earnings Season!

                                                    As performance numbers roll in from some of the country’s largest companies, we take a look at how the markets are performing here vs. the World and how America became a global economic leader. We also discuss how the market deals with intra-year volatility and check back in on Taylor Swift and Messi as market impactors.


                                                    Key Takeaways

                                                    • [02:38] - Breaking down the latest earnings numbers 
                                                    • [05:00] - How the markets move intra-year and year over year
                                                    • [07:17] - How the rest of the world is faring in comparison to the U.S.
                                                    • [14:36] - T-Swift makes the Fed’s Beige Book
                                                    • [16:38] - Messi is just like us

                                                    • Links

                                                      • Ro: The stock market has Wall Street on its heels
                                                      • CNN Fear and Greed Index
                                                      • Peter Lynch: “I love volatility”
                                                      • WSJ: Europeans are becoming poorer
                                                      • Annual working hours across the world
                                                      • Federal Reserve credits Taylor Swift with boosting hotel revenues through Eras Tour
                                                      • Lionel Messi at Publix

                                                      • Connect with our hosts

                                                        • Doug Stokes
                                                        • Greg Stokes
                                                        • Stokes Family Office

                                                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                          • Apple Podcasts
                                                          • Spotify
                                                          • Google Podcasts
                                                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                          • Disclosure

                                                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                            22 min
                                                          • The Goldilocks Scenario

                                                            This week, we look at what comes from cooling inflation paired with a resilient economy. With the latest inflation numbers in hand, we’ll examine how shelter impacts the numbers, visualize the staggering amount of empty office space, and try to explain what’s going on at Disney.


                                                            Key Takeaways

                                                            • [00:18] - The latest inflation report and shelter’s role in the numbers
                                                            • [04:21] - What are the “experts” saying?
                                                            • [10:23] - The general economy vs. inflation
                                                            • [11:37] - The empty office conundrum
                                                            • [15:01] - What’s going on with Disney?
                                                            • [20:04] - Tales from our first jobs

                                                            • Links

                                                              • WSJ: Inflation eased to 3% in June, the lowest since early 2021
                                                              • Goldman: Fed tightening is in its final innings
                                                              • Flight Rader 24: Busiest day for commercial aviation that we’ve ever tracked
                                                              • Visualizing 1 billion square feet of empty office space
                                                              • The empty downtown - a new normal
                                                              • Boston offers tax breaks to turn empty offices into housing
                                                              • Disney World hasn’t felt this empty in years

                                                              • Connect with our hosts

                                                                • Doug Stokes
                                                                • Greg Stokes
                                                                • Stokes Family Office

                                                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                                                  • Spotify
                                                                  • Google Podcasts
                                                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                                  • Disclosure

                                                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                                    25 min
                                                                  • Jobs! Jobs! Jobs!

                                                                    As we wrap up the week, we take a look at the June jobs report and how it may affect the calls for recession and the Fed’s actions moving forward. We’ll also dissect movement in the electric vehicle, T-Bill, and housing markets and end with our takes on the great American summer blockbusters.


                                                                    Key Takeaways

                                                                    • [00:27] - Looking at the newest jobs report
                                                                    • [7:15] - T-Bill yields are at their highest in over two decades
                                                                    • [10:34] - The implications of interest rates
                                                                    • [11:06] - Teslas and the electric car market overall
                                                                    • [16:22] - Could we see sub-3% mortgage rates again?
                                                                    • [20:30] - We put on our film critic hats to say what American movies need to do

                                                                    • Links

                                                                      • Ryan Detrick: Takeaways from the new jobs numbers
                                                                      • Mark Zandi: “The June employment report was close to perfect”
                                                                      • Current Truflation number
                                                                      • T-Bills are at their highest rate in over 20 years
                                                                      • CNBC: Least affordable car market in modern history
                                                                      • The top-selling EVs in the first half of 2023 in the US
                                                                      • WSJ: Rising EV inventory on dealership lots will offer test of future demand
                                                                      • Antonelli: the sub 3% 30 year fixed rate mortgage will be the greatest gift ever bestowed on US homeowners.

                                                                      • Connect with our hosts

                                                                        • Doug Stokes
                                                                        • Greg Stokes
                                                                        • Stokes Family Office

                                                                        • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                                          • Apple Podcasts
                                                                          • Spotify
                                                                          • Google Podcasts
                                                                          • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                                          • Disclosure

                                                                            The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                                            24 min
                                                                          • Heading Into Halftime of 2023

                                                                            As we trot into the locker room at the halfway point of this year, we examine the competing ideology of calls for a recession vs. declining inflation leading to a bull market. We’ll also look at the economy’s resiliency, how America is viewed across the world, and the unprecedented play of Shohei Ohtani. 


                                                                            Key Takeaways

                                                                            • [00:17] - Recapping the markets in the first half of this year
                                                                            • [11:04] - Positive milestones in the rental markets
                                                                            • [13:46] - The historical probability of market returns
                                                                            • [14:55] - Shohei Ohtani is a stud
                                                                            • [17:00] - How the U.S. is viewed globally
                                                                            • [20:26] - Will Mexico be the next big growth market?
                                                                            • [24:21] - America’s aging population

                                                                            • Links

                                                                              • Barry Ritholtz: What Recession?
                                                                              • Major milestones in the rental market
                                                                              • History says there’s a higher probability of the stock market finishing up 20% than down for the year
                                                                              • Ohtani’s 2 HR, 10K night
                                                                              • International public opinion of the U.S. remains positive
                                                                              • The US population is older than it has ever been

                                                                              • Connect with our hosts

                                                                                • Doug Stokes
                                                                                • Greg Stokes
                                                                                • Stokes Family Office

                                                                                • Subscribe and stay in touch

                                                                                  • Apple Podcasts
                                                                                  • Spotify
                                                                                  • Google Podcasts
                                                                                  • lagniappe.stokesfamilyoffice.com

                                                                                  • Disclosure

                                                                                    The information in this podcast is educational and general in nature and does not take into consideration the listener's personal circumstances. Therefore, it is not intended to be a substitute for specific, individualized financial, legal, or tax advice. To determine which strategies or investments may be suitable for you, consult the appropriate, qualified professional prior to making a final decision.

                                                                                    29 min

                                                                                  About Lagniappe

                                                                                  From the publisher's feed

                                                                                  Lagniappe is a weekly podcast from Stokes Family Office. Join Doug and Greg each week for an entertaining look at current news, personal finance, brotherly banter, and whatever else is on our minds!

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