Tensions in the Middle East are entering a new phase following a 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon that began on 16 April. The agreement is intended as a temporary pause to allow negotiations towards a longer term arrangement. However, key issues remain unresolved, particularly the future of Hezbollah and Israel’s continued occupation of southern Lebanon. The situation is further complicated by its connection to uncertainty in peace negotiations between the US and Iran. What would it take for the Lebanon-Israel ceasefire to lead to a lasting resolution?

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