We have argued for a few years that mega forces, like geopolitical fragmentation, are transforming the world. U.S. trade policy is adding to this transformation. This isn’t a business cycle, but a long-term structural shift. It raises big questions about the trajectory for global markets, making long-term expectations more sensitive to short-term news.
Many different outcomes are feasible. So we navigate near-term policy uncertainty by tracking economic rules that will shape trade policy, as Glenn Purves, Global Head of Macro at the BlackRock Investment Institute, explains in this episode of Market take. We focus on themes that can drive returns over broad asset classes. We see the artificial intelligence mega force driving returns over time, mostly in the U.S.
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