Market Updates

Stocks fell Thursday, giving back some of the gains from the historic rally seen in the previous session after President Donald Trump announced a 90-day reprieve on some of his "reciprocal" tariffs. Investors worried that even with the short pause on some of the duties, economic activity will be slowed by Trump's singling out of China with a much higher rate.
The S&P 500 sold off 3.46% and closed at 5,268.05, while the 

Nasdaq Composite slid 4.31% to end at 16,387.31. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1,014.79 points, or 2.5%, settling at 39,593.66.

Notable decliners included Apple and Tesla, which pulled back 4.2% and 7.3%, respectively. Nvidia lost nearly 6%, while Meta Platforms slipped almost 7%. 

US Dollar Index -  which measures the USD against a basket of currencies, fell 1.8% Thursday. 

SPI down 116 - Gold up 3% - Oil down 

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The ASX best day in five years up 335 points to 7710 although off early opening highs. Remarkably stable after the initial surge and fall back. Waiting for more information perhaps. Resources were the big winners today, BHP up 5.4% and RIO and FMG a similar rise, shorts getting hurt in MIN up 18.1% and S32 rising 9.5% with the gold miners also very positive. In AUD terms bullion fell but NEM up 4.0% and NST rising 5.1%. Lithium stocks recovered as shorts covered positions, LTR up 15.1% and PLS rising 12.7%. BSL rallied 8.0% and even JHX up 12.0%. Oil and gas showed strength as crude rallied, WDS up 4.7% and STO gaining 4.1%. Uranium stocks were back in fashion, no fall out today, PDN up 17.4% and DYL rallying a dizzying 15.9%. Banks were firm too although off early highs, CBA up 3.6% and WBC gaining 4.9% with MQG up 5.5%. Insurers and financials were very positive, GQG up 3.4% and XYZ rising 13.3% with ZIP rallying 20.7%. QBE up 4.4% and MPL rising 3.7%. Healthcare stocks were better, CSL recovered 3.5% and PME gained 8.4%. Across the board gains in industrials, WES up 2.6% and GMG rising 6.6%. Tech in demand, WTC rallied another 8.0% with XRO up 6.2% and the All -Tech Index up 6.8%. Retailers did well, JBH up 6.6% and travel stocks in demand. In corporate news, QUB got ACCC approvals, ABB rose 4.9% after announcing plans to expand its mobile network. Nothing on the economic front locally. Deutsche pulled back its call for an emergency 50bps rate cut and in Asia, China saw more evidence of deflation and a weakening yuan. Asian market burst higher, Japan up 8.3% with HK up 2.6% and China up 1.3%. 10-year yields slid to 4.33%.

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 The S&P 500 skyrocketed 9.52% to settle at 5,456.90 for its biggest one-day gain since 2008. For the broad market index, it was the third-biggest gain in post-WWII history. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 2,962.86 points, or 7.87%, to close at 40,608.45 for its biggest percentage advance since March 2020. The Nasdaq Composite jumped 12.16% to end at 17,124.97, notching its largest one-day jump since January 2001 and second-best day ever. 

SPI up 490 points - Resources rally hard overseas - Gold jumps 3%

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The ASX 200 fell another 135 points to 7375 (-1.8%). At one point the market rallied to a drop of only 75 points as banks found defensive buyers. Resources were the point of pain as commodities fell on global growth and Chinese economic output. BHP fell 3.5% and FMG crashed 4.2% with LYC bucking the trend rising 2.0% as gold miners held relatively steady with bullion pushing higher. MIN fell 12.1% with PLS off 8.4% as NIC fell 14.1%. BSL continues to suffer, down 3.7%. Oil and gas stocks, dropped hard, STO down 5.7% and WDS off 3.7% with uranium under pressure again, PDN down 4.5% and DYL off 7.7%. Coal stocks fell too. Banks held up better, CBA up 0.5% with NAB down 0.7% and the Big Bank Basket down to $237.07 (-0.3%). Healthcare was hit, CSL down 5.0% on pharma taxes to come. COH also falling 2.6% with REITs down too. GMG off 1.6% and VCX falling 1.4%. Industrials were weaker across the board, WES fell 0.6%, WOW and COL eased with QAN down 4.0% and retail trying hard to hold the line. Tech stocks fell back to earth, WTC down 1.8% and XRO off 0.9% and the All-Tech Index down 1.9%.

In corporate news, RPL fessed up to the FUM loss due to OPT and fell hard, down 11.9%. On the economic front the RBNZ cut rates by 25bps. Asian markets were volatile, Japan whacked again down 4.2% with China positive despite the 104% tariffs. HK down 1.6%.

10-year yields pushing up again. Long-dated yields are surging, whilst short-dated yields are falling. US 30-year now at 4.9%. Dow and NASDAQ futures both down 1.8%.

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Wall Street started the previous sessions strongly, S&P 500 and NASDAQ up over 4%, but all major US indices tumbled into red following the White House announcing a 104% duties tax on Chinese imports. S&P 500 down 1.57%, NASDAQ down 2.15%. Dow started strongly, hitting a high of 1461 points, but closed down 320 points, near low. Every sector down. Energy and Materials worse off given fears of global slow down. Growth sectors struggled, Tech and Cyclicals down. Apple (-5.0%) again hit hardest of big Tech given reliance on Chinese assembly plants – down nearly 9.0% this week. Intel (-7.4%) fell on tariff fears, lowest level since July 2009. Resources down, oil down over a $1 a barrel, four-year low, iron ore down 3.3% as Chinese demand weakens.   

Another volatile session for Wall Street. S&P 500 had a range of 7%, Dow had a points range of 2,300. Vix closed at 52.33, first time ending above 50 since April 2, 2020. Market is sensitive to all tariff news. Will be choppy as news of negotiations continues to unfold.

ASX to fall. SPI futures down 142 points (-1.89%).

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The ASX 200 rose 167 points to 7510 in a Tuesday turnaround. Buoyed by hopes that the tariffs are still negotiable and the US futures showing a good start at least. The market rallied across the board with a special shout out to resources with BHP up 2.3% and FMG gaining 3.5%. Gold miners were also better despite bullion falling as quarterlies beckon. NST ran 5.0% ahead, EVN bounced 5.0% and NEM up 2.7%. Lithium stocks rallied on hopes for more EV stimulus in China, PLS up 5.4% and LTR up 8.1%, short covering helped. In the uranium space, BOE saw shorts in play up 11.0% and WDS rallied 3.3% with STO up 5.4%. Coal stocks also did well, WHC up 8.7%. Banks were solid with the Big Bank Basket up to $237.69 (+2.2%). CBA up 2.8% and MQG bouncing another 3.8%. Financials generally much stronger, GQG up 6.2% and XYZ up 8.6%. ZIP announced a $50m buyback and rallied 6.7%. RETs firmed,  GMG up 0.4%. Industrials were strong across the board, WES up 3.0% with JBH up 3.4% and REA doing well up 4.6%. SGH rallied 4.3% with healthcare stocks also in demand, COH up 1.2% on tariff relief, SIG up 5.3%. Tech also doing well, WTC up another 5.0% with XRO up 4.3% and the All-Tech Index up 4.5%. In corporate news, GYG said it was on track for dividend payment. WPR also better on capex required to convert stores with VEA. In economic news, Consumer sentiment fell, the RBNZ has a temporary governor in Christian Hawkesby. Asian markets recovered along China was muted after talking tough on a fightback. 10 -year yields rallied to 4.23%. 

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Wall Street closed flat to slightly down in a volatile session which saw all three major indices touch their lowest levels in over a year. S&P 500 down 0.23%, Dow down 349 points, recovering from low of 1703, unable to hold on to high of 892, ended in middle of range. NASDAQ better off, up 0.10%. Most sectors down, Tech and Financials bucked the trend. Real Estate worst off, rate sensitive sector, US yields rose. Broadcom (+5.4%) jumped on announcement of $10 billion share buyback program. Apple (-3.7%) hardest hit of the Tech giants, most reliant on China as iPhones assembled there. Resources down, oil slides to near 4-year low, iron ore down as escalating US-China trade war weighs on prices.  

Trading volume broke US records for the second consecutive session. It was choppy. Markets dropped on open, jumped on rumours of a delay to tariffs. The White House denied the rumour, markets fell but not to opening lows. The market is reacting quickly. It wants certainty, how permanent are these tariffs.

ASX to rise. SPI futures up 55 points (+0.75%).

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The ASX 200 dropped as expected 325 points to 7343 (4.2%). US futures pointing to another realignment of valuation with a big drop in store. Asian markets are playing some catch-up as China comes back from a holiday. Our market bounced off its low this morning of 7169 with the banks recovering some ground. The Big Bank Basket down 5.7% to $232.68, CBA down 6.2% and WBC off 5.6% with MQG turning positive after an 8% fall to close down 0.8%. Financials were squashed, GQG down 1.9% and PPT does 7.3%. QBE were hit hard as bond yields fall down 6.8%. Some winners in finance though with CGF up 8.3% on a strategic stake acquired and ASK also doing well up % on a NBIO. REITS stumbled lower, GMG down 4.3% and SCG off 3.8% despite rate falls. Industrials too under pressure, WES down 4.9% and CPU off 4.4% with QAN falling 3.7%. ALL came up lemons dropping 6.2% and retail in trouble, JBH down 5.9% and LOV off 8.3%. Travel stocks fell, and tech stocks did better than expected, with WTC actually firmer by 2.2%. The All-Tech Index down 3.1%. Resources struggled as global growth expectations were adjusted, BHP down 6.1% with FMG losing only 3.6%. Gold miners saw profit taking but off early lows, NEM down 3.5% after being down twice that.  Oil and gas stocks declined as crude fell, WDS off 5.8% despite selling a US LNG business. Uranium under pressure again, PDN down 9.6% and BOE off 8.7%. In corporate news, ASK got a NBIO from Ki Corp at 147c, CGF saw a Japanese buyer take a 15% stake. Nothing on the economic front. Asian markets played catch up, China down 7.1%, HK off 12.2% and Japan down 6.7%.

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Wall St had a second major sell-off overnight as portfolio liquidations increased and China responded to US tariffs. A significant escalation in the trade war. Dow Jones down 2231 points, closing on the low again. S&P 500 down 6% and the Nasdaq down 5.8%. Retaliatory measures from China included 34% of additional tariffs, rare earth export controls and adding 11 US companies to a ‘unreliable entity’ list. Concerns that other countries will follow this precedent soured market sentiment further. All sectors lower, Energy and Financials the worst.

• For the week, Dow Jones down 3269 points. S&P 500 down 9.1% and the Nasdaq down 10%. Biggest falls since Covid for all three major indices. The ASX 200 was down 3.9% for the week.
• The non-farm payroll release was lost in the tariff dominated headlines. 228k jobs added beat estimates of a 135k increase. It’s still a pre-tariff economic number and recession fears outweighed any positive impact.

SPI down 331 - US Futures in Sunday trading down another 5% - Trump administration doubles down

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The ASX 200 tried hard but ultimately failed falling 192 points to 7668 (2.4%) for a 4.0% loss for the week. It feels like a lot more. After the drubbing of the iron ore stocks yesterday, all held up better than the market, BHP down only 0.5% and FMG off 0.6%. Elsewhere copper and base metal stocks were slashed, S32 down 5.4% with NIC off 8.0% and MIN falling 9.9%. Lithium once again under pressure, PLS down 4.9% and LTR off 3.1%. Oil and gas stocks were under serious pressure on OPEC+ moves, WDS fell 9.1% and STO down 9.4%. Uranium stocks found little support, BOE up 2.7% and PDN down only 0.7%. Some big moves in JHX down 7.8% and DNL (IPL in old money) dropping 8.2% Gold miners were mixed. GOR up 2.4% and RMS gaining 2.1% but NEM down 2.5%. Banks gave up the unequal struggle with the Big Bank Basket down to $246.87(-1.9%) and ANZ down 3.7%. MQG fell a huge 9.0% with financials under pressure. A report of hacking of some superfund managers did not help. MPL rose 1.1%. At least it wasn’t them this time. WOW and COL rose on defensive aspects, retail stumbled and REITs falling, GMG down 5.0%, WES fell 2.5% and SGH off 5.3%. Healthcare stocks eased. In corporate news, ANN bounced 3.0% after saying it would fully offset tariff rises. Nothing on the economic front. NFP in the US tonight. Asian markets muted, China and HK closed for a holiday, Japan down 3.6%

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