Joe Quinlan, MD and Chief Market Strategist at US Trust-Bank of America Private Wealth Management in New York, discusses the following questions:
- Ben Bernanke’s semi-annual monetary policy testimony before the House (Weds) and Senate (Thurs). What do you expect he will say?
- Will he reiterate the Fed’s desire to begin tapering asset purchases sometime this year – as he announced back in June? Or could he make some more overtly dovish comments like those at the NBER conference last week?
- Whether a better sense of when asset purchases are likely to end?
- The recovery in the price of gold over the past week indicates a market that is pricing in a tapering that will occur later rather than sooner ..
- China's highly anticipated second-quarter GDP data of 7.5% did allay fears over a sharp growth deceleration -- yet the reaction of most Asian markets were lukewarm. How should we interpret this reaction?
- And French President Francois Hollande, said to be "in denial over the state of the French economy" when he said that Europe's No. 2 economy was recovering despite Fitch stripping France of its last AAA rating last Friday. Denial? Or a fair reflection of French economic conditions which have been described by Daiwa Capital Markets and Capital Economics as still being "clearly far superior to those in Portugal, Italy and Spain"?
- Given the recent strength of the USD, are you still recommending investors buy US equities, despite an estimated 34% of revenue from S&P500 companies now comes from offshore, according to Goldman Sachs’ research?
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