NonProphets

Episode 68 of the NonProphets podcast, in which Atief, Robert, and Scott look back at their 2018 forecasts and forward to 2019 (2:23); the significance of US Secretary of Defense James Mattis' resignation for the US' relationship with its allies (8:57); iterated tit-for-tat games (18:00); the normalization of authoritarian politics (22:47); the US government shutdown and the Wall (26:45); our predictions for 2019 and whether Trump will be impeached (38:34); Hungary’s “slave law” (47:32), and whether the UK will leave the EU in 2019 (56:40). As always, you can reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or at [email protected]. (recorded 12/23/2018)

Episode 67 of the NonProphets podcast, in which Atief, Robert, and Scott perform their annual ritual of predicting the next Pantone color of the year (00:21), and then discuss their predictions for Time’s 2018 Person of the Year (20:07), both of which are now public. Overtaken by events! But, still fun. As always, you can reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or at [email protected]. (recorded 12/10/2018)

Episode 66 of the NonProphets podcast, in which Atief, Robert, and Scott discuss what happened in US midterm elections and what will happen next. We talk about why Claire McCaskill lost in Missouri (01:27); the Green New Deal and whether the Democrats should make Nancy Pelosi Speaker of the House again (13:27); voter suppression in the election (25:30); what's going to happen in US politics over the next two years (30:45); whether President Trump will win a second term in 2020 (35:55); who the Democrats will nominate for President (37:41); whether someone will challenge President Trump in the Republican primaries (41:56); and what will happen next with the Mueller investigation (45:30). As always, you can reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or at [email protected]. (recorded 11/16/2018)

Episode 65 of the NonProphets podcast, in which Atief, Robert, and Scott discuss Predictit (0:15); US midterm elections (7:39); why most conspiracy theories are false (23:04); how no one likes to be laughed at (27:46); the Missouri Senate race (33:02); the possibility of post-election violence (35:47); Trump's claim that he can effectively amend the 14thAmendment (42:38); and Draymond Green and the #fergieremixchallenge (48:58). As always you can reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or [email protected]. (recorded 11/01/2018)

Episode 64 of the NonProphets podcast, in which Atief, Robert, and Scott discuss whether we should care about nukes (1:15), the difficulty of tackling big problems (4:02), The Invention of Peace, pseudo-events, cruelty, and what we care about (10:16), and national identity and immigration (16:05). They then discuss the midterms, including which issues matter (26:57), the Missouri senate race (29:19), midterm enthusiasm (44:14), the impressiveness of young people (47:08), and calibrating forecasts (49:36). They close with a discussion of the Senate race in Texas (57:38). As always, you can reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or at [email protected]. (recorded 10/22/2018)