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Re22: Computer Control
Retraice^1
One hypothesis to rule them all.
Air date: Wednesday, 19th Oct. 2022, 12:15 AM Eastern/US.
Revisions:
2022-1021 Fri 14:54 Added citations of Age of AI.
Eleven is a lot
A guess about computing and current history:
"In our time, current history is reducible to computing; everything that is going on is ultimately affected more by computing than any other new thing."
The eleven hypotheses (educated, testable guesses), in noun-phrase cheatsheet form, are: 1. Space; 2. Technology; 3. Death; 4. China; 5. Civil War; 6. Environment; 7. Betterment; 8. Intelligence; 9. Darkness; 10. Wealth; 11. Wildcards.
We'll have to keep calling them hypotheses, because `guesses' doesn't sound as serious.^2
Simplifying and integrating
1. computing is powerful (labor-saving)^3 ;
2. computing is pervasive (because of 1)^4 ;
3. anything that could be `current history' is strongly affected by the powerful, pervasive thing we call computing.
We now have an excuse to simplify and integrate the eleven hypotheses, which we want to do for human reasons (brain capacity), not purely rational ones.
It's like doing algebra (and mathematics generally): much of the work is rearranging and re-expressing.
auto
H12: Computer Control
An attempt to unify H1-H11:
Computers,
which are chain-reaction controllers,
and which make AI handling of information
possible,
and which are inherently vulnerable to hacking,
are causing some humans to know others
better than they know themselves,
and thereby to control them,
though computer-controlled machinery
could take control
if the motivation to control,
which humans have,
were to occur, naturally or by design,
in the chain-reactions.
The authors on this
* Butler (1863); * Dyson (1997), Dyson (2015), Dyson (2019), Dyson (2020); * Re7 (Retraice (2020/10/26)), Re8 (Retraice (2020/10/28)); * Bostrom (2014); * Russell (2019) * Yudkowsky (2013), Yudkowsky (2017). * Kissinger et al. (2021) e.g. p. 18 ff.
... just to name a few.
This is going somewhere
Re1-Re22 will not remain fragmented for long.
_
References
Barlow, H. B. (2004). Guessing and intelligence. (pp. 382-384). In Gregory (2004).
Bostrom, N. (2014). Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies. Oxford. First published in 2014. Citations are from the pbk. edition, 2016. ISBN: 978-0198739838. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-0198739838 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-0198739838 https://lccn.loc.gov/2015956648
Brockman, J. (Ed.) (2015). What to Think About Machines That Think: Today's Leading Thinkers on the Age of Machine Intelligence. Harper Perennial. ISBN: 978-0062425652. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-0062425652 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-0062425652 https://lccn.loc.gov/2016303054
Brockman, J. (Ed.) (2019). Possible Minds: Twenty-Five Ways of Looking at AI. Penguin. ISBN: 978-0525557999. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-0525557999 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-0525557999 https://lccn.loc.gov/2018032888
Butler, S. (1863). Darwin among the machines. The Press (Canterbury, New Zealand). Reprinted in Butler et al. (1923).
Butler, S., Jones, H., & Bartholomew, A. (1923). The Shrewsbury Edition of the Works of Samuel Butler Vol. 1. J. Cape. No ISBN. https://books.google.com/books?id=B-LQAAAAMAAJ Retrieved 27th Oct. 2020.
Dyson, G. (2015). Analog, the revolution that dares not speak its name. (pp. 255-256). In Brockman (2015).
Dyson, G. (2019). The third law. (pp. 31-40). In Brockman (2019).
Dyson, G. (2020). Analogia: The Emergence of Technology Beyond Programmable Control. Farrar, Straus and Giroux. ISBN: 978-0374104863. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=9780374104863 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+9780374104863 https://catalog.loc.gov/vwebv/search?searchArg=9780374104863
Dyson, G. B. (1997). Darwin Among The Machines: The Evolution Of Global Intelligence. Basic Books. ISBN: 978-0465031627. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=978-0465031627 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+978-0465031627 https://lccn.loc.gov/2012943208
Gregory, R. L. (Ed.) (2004). The Oxford Companion to the Mind. Oxford University Press, 2nd ed. ISBN: 0198662246. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=0198662246 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+0198662246 https://lccn.loc.gov/2004275127
Kissinger, H. A., Schmidt, E., & Huttenlocher, D. (2021). The Age of AI. Little, Brown and Company. ISBN: 978-0316273800. Searches: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=9780316273800 https://www.google.com/search?q=isbn+9780316273800 https://lccn.loc.gov/2021943914
Retraice (2020/10/26). Re7: Artifactual Goals. retraice.com. https://www.retraice.com/segments/re7 Retrieved 27th Oct. 2020.
Retraice (2020/10/28). Re8: Strange Machines. retraice.com. https://www.retraice.com/segments/re8 Retrieved 29th Oct. 2020.
Russell, S. (2019). Human Compatible: Artificial Intelligence and the Problem of Control. Viking / Penguin Random House LLC. ISBN: 978-0525558613.
Yudkowsky, E. (2013). Intelligence explosion microeconomics. Machine Intelligence Research Institute. Technical report 2013-1. https://intelligence.org/files/IEM.pdf Retrieved ca. 9th Dec. 2018.
Yudkowsky, E. (2017). There's no fire alarm for artificial general intelligence. Machine Intelligence Research Institute. 13th Oct. 2017. https://intelligence.org/2017/10/13/fire-alarm/ Retrieved 9th Dec. 2018.
Footnotes
^1 https://www.retraice.com/retraice
^2 Cf. Barlow (2004).
^3 Kissinger et al. (2021) p. 14 ff.
^4 Kissinger et al. (2021) p. 14 ff.
