The Higher Standard

Numbers Are Ugly, Saied Takes Charge and Oklahoma Rocks


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The seemingly inexorable march deeper into recession continues this week with more bad economic news from all sides. Bloomberg is reporting that, approximately 38% of workers have looked for a second job, while an additional 14% have plans to do so, according to a survey of more than 1,000 full-time US employees by Qualtrics. The combination of stubbornly high inflation and the approach of salary increase season will likely see this number increase.

In today's episode of The Higher Standard, Chris and Saied dive into this news along with many other topics in order to help you make sense of the immense amount of information (and disinformation) found out there.


They discuss a report from The Street indicating that 30-year fixed mortgage rates hit 7.22%, the highest in 20 years. However, that number has since jumped again to an average of 7.646%, making the prediction of rates rising to up to eight and a half percent all the more likely unless something changes.


Chris and Saied look at recent comments by JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, who said that investors should expect more blowups after a crash in U.K. government bonds last month nearly caused the collapse of hundreds of that country’s pension funds. He went on to suggest that markets will continue to be volatile so long as the Federal Reserve is boosting rates and shrinking its massive balance sheet.


They look at the IRS' announcement of higher federal tax brackets for 2023 to adjust for inflation. The standard deduction is increasing to $27,700 for married couples filing together and $13,850 for single taxpayers. There are also changes to the alternative minimum tax, estate tax exemption, earned income tax credit and flexible spending account limits.


Chris and Saied also discuss recent comments from Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, who has become the latest corporate leader to warn about the state of the economy, cautioning that rougher times are likely ahead, and why his comments feel like a weather forecast delivered two days late.


Join Chris and Saied for this fascinating conversation.


Enjoy!



What You’ll Learn in this Show:

  • What's happening to 30-year fixed mortgage rates, as well as the likelihood we could see 8.5%.
  • Jamie Dimon's warning of more blowups ahead following the UK's government bond crash.
  • The IRS' new tax bracket adjustments for 2023, and how that could affect you.
  • Why Jeff Bezos' warning of economic troubles ahead is not really news (though it's being presented as such.)
  • And so much more...


Resources:

"Inflation is Forcing Over Half of Americans to Consider Second Jobs" (Bloomberg Business via Instagram)

"US bank earnings revealed ominous clues about the future of the housing market" (article from CNBC Business)

"Why job openings data might not mean what we think it means" (article from Marketplace)

"IRS: Here are the new income tax brackets for 2023" (article from CNBC)

"Mortgage demand drops to a 25-year low, as interest rates climb" (article from CNBC)

"Jeff Bezos is the latest to warn on the economy, saying it’s time to ‘batten down the hatches’" (article from CNBC)

"Jamie Dimon says expect ‘other surprises’ from choppy markets after U.K. pensions nearly imploded" (article from CNBC)



...more
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The Higher StandardBy Chris Naghibi & Saied Omar

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