Since the politically motivated suspension of crude oil production in Libya on August 26, the oil markets have experienced a heightened level of volatility, with price fluctuations depending on almost every new headline.

In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets Podcast, Joel Hanley is joined by reporters Charlie Mitchell and Luke Stuart to delve into the country's long history of production woes and discuss the impact of this latest crisis on local and macro oil markets.

Links: Libyan factions extend talks amid oil shutdown (subscriber link) OPEC+ weighs delay to Oct output hike amid weak oil prices (subscriber link) Oil market braces for volatility as supply glut fears drag Brent to 9-month low Dated Brent - PCAAS00 Es Sider FOB Libya vs BTC Dtd Strip - AAGYH00 Azeri Light CIF Augusta vs BTC Dtd Strip - AAHPM00 Saharan Blend FOB Algeria vs BTC Dtd Strip - AAHPN00

Emerging trends in Asian oil consumption centers, enhancing energy security and the decarbonization strategies Asian countries are pursuing will be some of the themes in focus at the Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference or APPEC 2024, by S&P Global Commodity Insights, which is scheduled to take place from September 9-12 in Singapore.

In a wide-ranging discussion with Asian Energy Editor Sambit Mohanty, three senior market experts, Dave Ernsberger, head of market reporting and trading solutions, Calvin Lee, head of Asia content and  Kang Wu, global head of oil demand research, share their views on what APPEC delegates can expect to hear on those issues as well as on other topics, such as the evolving world of upstream, the supply strategy of OPEC and its allies, and the role of innovation in achieving net zero targets.

Economic growth has slowed in China, cutting into US crude exports and softening spot price differentials for US Gulf Mars crude. The expected supply surplus stemming from reduced Chinese buying has also helped to cushion the bullish impacts of the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas, keeping oil futures in a well-worn range. 

Jeff Mower speaks with US crude reporter Laura Huchzermeyer, crude analyst Ian Stewart and oil futures editor Chris van Moessner about the current arbitrage economics for US crude to Asia and Europe, as well as the timeline and indicators for Chinese demand recovery.

OPEC’s latest and eagerly watched monthly oil market report, which presented a softer near-term demand outlook compared to its July forecasts, has coincided with a dip in oil prices at a time when the group has made clear its intention to gradually reintroduce supply to the market. Can OPEC and its allies remain calm in the face of a sluggish demand picture?

In this episode of the Oil Markets podcast, Joel Hanley is joined by S&P Global Commodity Insights’ Nick Coleman and Payam Hashempour to discuss the geopolitical and oil market fundamentals driving current OPEC+ policy.

Links: Dated Brent - PCAAS00 Dubai Mo01 - PCAAT00 OPEC+ still hopes to unwind oil cuts in October, as ministers keep close eye on the market (subscriber content) 'Call' on OPEC+ crude in 2024, 2025 trimmed again in bearish update S&P Global Commodity Insights Abuja Forum S&P Global Commodity Insights Lagos Forum

The future of Venezuela's oil industry is in the crosshairs of a political battle. Current president Nicolás Maduro is fighting to maintain power following a contested July 28 election, and protests have caused gasoline shortages in the country, where supply is already limited by low refinery run rates. While crude production has held up, Venezuela's exports have fallen, and it is possible the US will impose tougher sanctions on the country if Maduro clings to power, reducing the likelihood of further upstream and downstream investment.

Jeff Mower speaks with oil analyst Nick Blanco and senior refined products editor Maria Jimenez Moya about the implications of Venezuela's post-election turmoil on oil markets.

In July, US diesel exports to Europe surged to multi-year highs, displacing Middle Eastern flows due to inverted arbitrage economics and a bearish near-term outlook for the commodity in Europe.

In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets Podcast, host Joel Hanley is joined by Robert Perkins, Nadia Bliznikova, and Rebeka Foley to explore the latest developments in diesel flows, crack spreads, and the macroeconomic environment influencing supply and demand balances in the Atlantic basin.

Links: Cairo Energy Forum ULSD 10ppmS CIF NWE Cargo - AAVBG00 ULSD 10ppmS CIF Med Cargo - AAWYZ00 US diesel exports to Europe hit record high despite lackluster demand Middle East diesel exports to Europe hit 9-month low in July amid higher US supplies (subscriber content)

Never before India's oil import basket has changed so dramatically as it has changed in the past three years. The sharp rise in the share of Russian barrels have displaced big volumes of Middle Eastern crude. And now, as Indian refiners start to explore the possibility of signing term deals for Russian crude, market players are looking for answers on how this might further change trade flows as well as influence the production strategy of OPEC and its allies.

In a wide-ranging discussion with Sambit Mohanty, Asia energy editor, Rosemary Griffin, OPEC lead at S&P Global Commodity Insights, Pulkit Agarwal, head of India content, and Daniel Colover, head of market engagement for the Middle East, discuss the evolving scenario and the implications it might have on supplies from other regions.

Links:

Register for APPEC 2024

APPEC (Topic page)

The Dangote refinery in Nigeria is poised to disrupt refined product flows in the Atlantic Basin just months after its long-awaited commissioning in early 2024. As the mega-refinery intensifies its search for crude sources beyond Nigeria's borders, significant changes are expected in the market.

In this week's episode of the Oil Markets podcast, host Joel Hanley is joined by reporters Charlie Mitchell, Matthew Tracey-Cook, and Tommy Petrou. Together, they delve into Dangote's quest for alternative feedstocks and the dynamic shifts in gasoline and fuel oil flows in and out of Nigeria.

Links: Dangote refinery eyes Brazilian, African crudes amid feedstock woes (subscriber content) Bonny Light FOB Nigeria London vs WAF Dtd Strip - AAGXL00 West Africa Gasoline FOB Northwest Europe - AAKUV00 FOB Rotterdam Marine Fuel 0.5% Barge - PUMFD00 Straight Run 0.5-0.7%S FOB NWE cargo - PKABA00

Summer flying season has taken over for summer driving season. Jet fuel prices and demand have surged to record levels in June and July, and US officials report record-high numbers of airline passengers. Gasoline and diesel demand have largely been in line with seasonal norms, but US West Coast prices and demand have been dinged by increased adoption of biofuels and electric cars.

Richard Swann, global director for clean refined products, discusses summer demand and more with clean products associate editorial director Matthew Kohlman and Americas middle distillates manager Jordan Daniel.

The European Union’s decision on 24 June to target Russian shipping company Sovcomflot in its latest round of sanctions comes as ship tracking data shows a 5% monthly increase in seaborne crude oil exports through June. With changes to Russian crude and oil product exports in firm view for market participants, S&P Global Commodity Insights’ Francesco Di Salvo is joined by editors Robert Perkins, Elza Turner and Luke Stuart to discuss the latest flows and refinery news, as well as price sentiment for Russia’s flagship Urals export grade.

Links:Russia's seaborne crude exports rise in June despite OPEC+ pledges Urals Primorsk vs Med Dtd Strip - AAWVI00 Urals FOB Novo Suez vs Med Dtd Strip - AAHPH00 Urals DAP West Coast India vs Forward Dated Brent - DWCUB00