In this episode we answer emails from Justin, Matt and Donald.  We regale in friendships, revisit large cap growth funds with IWY, do a reprise of Episode 238 about the limitations of CAPE ratios with the help of AI podcasters, and discuss the purpose of treasury bonds in a portfolio as recession insurance, and the circumstances of when you might not need it.

Links:

Father McKenna Center Lessons & Carols:  Lessons and Carols - Father McKenna Center

Father McKenna Center Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna Center

Comparison of QQQ, VUG and IWY:  testfol.io/analysis?s=6uPSB8ZpIIR

Episode 238:  Podcast | Risk Parity Radio Episode 238

Pinwheel Portfolio:  Pinwheel Portfolio – Portfolio Charts

Amusing AI-Bot Summary

What if you could navigate the complex world of asset allocation with confidence? Discover the secrets to mastering large-cap growth funds as we share an email from Justin, who pits QQQ, VUG, and IWY against each other, revealing why IWY takes the crown for concentrated growth. As we reminisce about the insightful posts on the Risk Parity Chronicles blog, we also invite you to join us in supporting the Father McKenna Center through our charity event. This episode is a blend of foundational investment principles and community spirit, perfect for both new and seasoned listeners.

Ever wondered how useful the CAPE ratio really is for your retirement plan? We tackle this question head-on, weighing its stability in stock market valuations against its pitfalls in predicting short-term and sector-specific performances. Our conversation highlights the importance of a diversified, flexible portfolio that aligns with your personal values and long-term goals. With insights from the Fama-French model and behavioral economics, we aim to equip you with strategies that mitigate biases and enhance financial decision-making.

Feeling puzzled about the role of long-term treasury bonds in your portfolio? Our discussion, inspired by an email from Donald in the U.S. Navy, examines their necessity as recession insurance and deflation hedges. We trace the evolution of risk parity portfolios, emphasizing the significance of diverse assets in navigating economic uncertainties. Lastly, indulge in a light-hearted reflection on love and technology, as we celebrate connections that transcend the digital realm. Tune in for a heartfelt, humorous, and informative journey with Risk Parity Radio.

Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from James, Van and Michael.   We discuss the new international fund in the federal TSP, the Pinwheel Portfolio and the Portfolio Matrix Tool, and variations in portfolio management with the Golden Butterfly portfolio.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional Links:

Father McKenna Center Lessons & Carols:  Lessons and Carols - Father McKenna Center

Father McKenna Center Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna Center

Article About New TSP International Fund:  What to Know About the New TSP I Fund | Morningstar

Merriman Best In Class ETFs:  Best-in-Class ETF Recommendations | Merriman Financial Education Foundation

Pinwheel Portfolio:  Pinwheel Portfolio – Portfolio Charts

Portfolio Matrix Tool:  Portfolio Matrix – Portfolio Charts

Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

Imagine stepping into a world where personal finance feels as cozy and welcoming as your favorite neighborhood bar. On this episode of Risk Parity Radio, hosted by Frank Vasquez, we tackle James' inquiry about the iFund in the Thrift Savings Plan, delving into its recent shifts, and why you might want to consider the C fund or other diversification paths beyond the TSP. The conversation takes an intriguing turn as we discuss how the mighty US dollar sways international investments, urging you to broaden your horizons for potentially richer outcomes.

Join us for a colorful exploration of investment portfolios like the All-Seasons, Golden Butterfly, Golden Ratio, and Risk Parity Ultimate, each with their own flair and strategy. We navigate through last week's market waves, noting which portfolios are riding high and those that are weathering the storm. Venturing into the more adventurous terrain of leveraged funds, we underscore both the thrill and the risks involved. Frank also shares a touch of personal wisdom from his mother's sayings, reminding us that life's journey is full of unpredictable twists—just like the world of investments. Connect with Frank via email or the Risk Parity Radio website, and remember, while we're here to entertain and inform, your financial decisions deserve tailored advice from your trusted experts.

Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from George, Alexi (a/k/a "the Dude") and Sean.  We discuss a new article about the benefits of managed futures in a portfolio, the Dude's face-off between VUG and QQQ, and considerations for choosing large cap growth funds and international value funds.

Links:

Father McKenna Center Lessons And Carols:  Lessons and Carols - Father McKenna Center

New Article About Managed Futures:  2024Q3_QuanticaQuarterlyInsights.pdf

Bloomberg Presentation On Investments In Inflationary Environments:  MH201-SteveHou-Bloomberg.pdf

DBMF "Managed Futures 101" Microsite:  iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | iM Global Partner

The Dude's VUG vs. QQQ Link #1:  Asset Correlations

The Dude's VUG vs. QQQ Link #2:  testfol.io/?s=kMopG7yQ6SO

The Dude's  VUG vs. QQQ Link #3:  testfol.io/?s=2dpHLA3ndmV

The Dude's  VUG vs. QQQ Link #4:  Factor Regression Analysis

Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

Discover the power of trend-following strategies and the impact of charitable giving in the latest episode of Risk Parity Radio. We promise you'll gain insights into the effectiveness of managed futures strategies, particularly in high-interest rate environments, and how they can bolster your risk parity portfolios. We also explore listener George's perspective on CTA strategies and dive into the compelling debate of VUG versus QQQ for large-cap growth ETFs. Plus, you'll hear about the incredible work being done by the Father McKenna Center in Washington, DC, and how you can make a difference through their holiday and Giving Tuesday events.

Join us for a thoughtful conversation filled with humor as we engage with our diverse audience, ranging from finance enthusiasts to seasoned investors. This episode is packed with practical financial wisdom that simplifies portfolio management while offering listeners opportunities to support meaningful causes. As we wrap up, we're grateful for your continued support and donations, and we encourage listener engagement through comments, questions, and reviews. Tune in to be part of this vibrant community and enhance your financial journey.

Support the show

In this episode we answer an email from Tom, Tom the Podcaster's Son (a/k/a "Patrick Star").  We discuss the basics of retirement accounts in honor of the annual benefits enrollment period and some rules of thumb for contributing to them, with a little commentary on HSAs.  We also discuss interesting recent podcasts featuring Bill Bengen, Corey Hoffstein and Cliff Asness.  And our friend Jackie Cummings Koski.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Bill Bengen podcast:  The Father of the 4% Rule Fina - Afford Anything - Apple Podcasts

Corey Hoffstein podcast:  Masters in Business: Corey Hoffstein - Bloomberg

Cliff Asness podcast:  Old Man Yells at the Cloud | TCAF 167

Tax Tables:  2024-2025 Tax Brackets and Federal Income Tax Rates | Bankrate

Jackie podcast #1:  Jackie Cummings Koski: Late St - The Long View - Apple Podcasts

Jackie podcast #2:  From Poverty to Wealth and Ear - Catching Up to FI - Apple Podcasts

Jackie podcast #3 (HSA focused):  All About The Health Savings A - Journey To Launch - Apple Podcasts

Sample Investopedia Article:  401(k) vs. IRA: What’s the Difference?

Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

Unearth the secrets to a financially independent future as we explore groundbreaking strategies and expert insights in this episode. Learn why Bill Bengen's latest research challenges conventional wisdom on withdrawal rates and how a diversified portfolio, including alternative assets like gold, can empower your financial journey. With engaging discussions from finance heavyweights like Corey Hofstein, we promise you a treasure trove of actionable advice to enhance your portfolio management and tax strategies.

This episode is a masterclass for the do-it-yourself investor, guiding you through the maze of retirement account options and tax implications for every stage of life. For young professionals, discover how to maximize your 401k and Roth contributions, while mid-career individuals will learn to optimize savings amidst family and mortgage commitments. If you're nearing retirement and feeling off-track, we offer insights to realign your financial plans and keep your retirement goals within reach.

Join us as we tackle the complexities of retirement account withdrawals and the strategic use of Health Savings Accounts as investment vehicles. With practical advice and a touch of humor, we'll navigate the week's market performances and celebrate the gains in sectors like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and gold. From the power of compounding to the significance of early financial planning, this episode is your guide to mastering the art of financial independence.

Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from Melissa, Neil, Mark and Mike.  We discuss a missing link from Episode 7 and a substitute for it, the podcast distribution, moving from an accumulation portfolio in a taxable account to a retirement portfolio efficiently, and considerations when incorporating international (non-U.S.) funds.

Links:

Three Ingredients Article:  Three Secret Ingredients of the Most Efficient Portfolios – Portfolio Charts

Merriman ETF Recommendations:  Best-in-Class ETF Recommendations | Merriman Financial Education Foundation


Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

Unlock the secrets of do-it-yourself investing with Risk Parity Radio, where listener queries drive our exploration of effective financial strategies. Ever wondered how to craft a risk parity portfolio as you approach retirement? We tackle this and more, including navigating the world of taxable accounts, minimizing taxes, and managing significant expenses like a house down payment. Melissa's email about a broken Ray Dalio link becomes an opportunity to explore alternative resources, while Mark's playback issues on Apple Podcasts spark our gratitude for community feedback. You'll also discover the nuances of transitioning to a risk parity portfolio without opening new accounts, and the surprising overlaps between VTI and VUG.

Ready to rethink international diversification? While some portfolios skip international funds, they still provide global exposure through assets like global value-tilted funds and Chinese A shares. We discuss why this approach might suffice, as international funds often mirror US stocks, especially in large caps. Instead, our focus shifts to balancing value, growth, and size using small-cap value funds from Avantis or DFA. With flexible templates and key diversification metrics, you'll learn to construct a robust portfolio without getting lost in geographic diversifications. Tune in, and reshape your investing toolkit with practical insights and empowering strategies.

Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from Jenny, Arun and Jeff.  We discuss setting up a risk parity style portfolio for an elder relative, what to do with 529 money and college funds when you are getting close, and the use of risk parity style portfolios for intermediate goals or accumulation.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional links:

Yours Truly On The Earn & Invest Podcast:  Why Risk Matters w/ Frank Vasq - Earn & Invest - Apple Podcasts

Value Stock Geek's Weird Portfolio:  Weird Portfolio – Portfolio Charts

Jared Dillian And The Awesome Portfolio:  Show Us Your Portfolio: Jared Dillian

Father McKenna Center Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna Center

Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:  

What if you could unlock the secrets of risk parity and transform your investment strategy? Join us on Risk Parity Radio as we explore how strategic gold allocation and portfolio diversification can revolutionize your financial journey. Dive into the humor-laden world of market fluctuations and portfolio reviews, and learn from our recent discussion on the Earn and Invest podcast with Jordan Grumet about integrating risk parity into modern portfolio theory. We also respond to a thoughtful email from Jenny, a dedicated Patreon supporter, who's crafting a risk parity portfolio for her mother-in-law. Get insights on asset allocation, the timing of gold investments, and how to utilize current market conditions to make savvy decisions.

In this episode, we delve into diversifying investment strategies during the accumulation phase, particularly for DIY investors like Jeff, a mid-40s Gen Xer contemplating a 401k rollover. Explore a variety of strategies, including Tyler's Golden Butterfly, the Weird Portfolio by Value Stock Geek, and Jared Dillian's Awesome Portfolio. Discover how these can complement ventures in real estate or business, and draw inspiration from Bruce Lee's philosophy to tailor an approach uniquely your own. Whether you're a novice or a seasoned investor, expect to walk away with practical advice and fresh perspectives to enhance your financial strategy.

Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from James, MyContactInfo and Cy.  We discuss using silver in addition to gold in a portfolio, review again why many "options strategy funds" and other complex ETFs are generally a waste of space in a portfolio and talk about a recent Andrew Tobias interview and the history of DIY investing.

Links:

Eric Balchunas Interview:  Eric Balchunas on The Hidden Gems of the ETF World You Need to Know! (youtube.com)

Andrew Tobias Interview:  The Only Investment Guide You'll Ever Need with Andrew Tobias | White Coat Investor


Amusing AI-Bot Summary:

Discover why silver might be the wild card you didn't expect in your investment portfolio. With its industrial uses and lack of central bank holdings, silver might ramp up your portfolio's volatility without offering much in terms of diversification. We explore the intriguing story of the Hunt brothers and their infamous attempt to corner the silver market in the late 1970s, shedding light on the lessons learned from this historical market manipulation. Managed futures, we argue, could be a more strategic play for those looking to ride silver's unpredictable trends.

As we journey through the evolution of DIY investing, we take a critical look at the rise and fall of heavily marketed investment funds, like buy-write and options strategy funds. Through the wisdom of Andrew Tobias, we trace the shift from active fund management in the 1980s to today's preference for indexing and strategic asset allocation. From the so-called "Bronze Age" to our current "Golden Age" of investing, the importance of asset allocation remains a steadfast guide. So whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting out, these reflections aim to illuminate a path toward more informed and successful investment decisions.

Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from Alyson, Martijn and Russel.  We discuss the drawbacks to using a total world fund, common misconceptions about it and misguided worship of the Simplicity Principle, a levered sample portfolio comparison and basic ideas for accumulation.

And THEN we our go through our weekly portfolio reviews of the eight sample portfolios you can find at Portfolios | Risk Parity Radio.

Additional link:

Levered Sample Portfolio Comparison:  testfol.io/?s=8JtI7Xd2q7l

Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

Can achieving higher safe withdrawal rates in retirement really be as simple as investing in a single ETF? Discover the complexities of using VT, a total world fund, during your accumulation phase and why it might not be the one-size-fits-all solution it's cracked up to be. We'll challenge conventional wisdom on cap-weighted funds and explain why diversifying across different asset classes is crucial for your portfolio's long-term success. Get ready to expand your horizons as we question the effectiveness of simplicity and share strategies for effective rebalancing.

Join us for a lively exploration of portfolio diversification with listener Q&A, where we break down the dynamics of levered portfolios and strategize about blending small-cap value with large-cap growth. Whether you're just starting your investment journey or refining your approach, we'll guide you through the pros and cons of various strategies, helping you navigate the path to financial freedom. Plus, we review an exciting week in the markets, highlighting stellar performances and acknowledging the unpredictable nature of trends. Dive into the details with us and equip yourself with the knowledge to make informed investment decisions.

Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from Anderson, Camille, and Chris.  We discuss and HSA vs. a Roth IRA for a lower-taxed earner, the tax, brokerage account, and portfolio considerations for a globe-trotting Canadian, and the gestalt of this podcast.

Links:

Father McKenna Center Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna Center

Portfolio Charts Portfolio Matrix:  Portfolio Matrix – Portfolio Charts

Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

Imagine navigating the world of international investment with the finesse of a seasoned traveler—all while balancing the priorities of a large family. Join me on Risk Parity Radio, where we explore Anderson's financial journey. With six kids and a modest income, Anderson seeks guidance on whether to prioritize his HSA or Roth IRA. We dissect the advantages and pitfalls of each option, examining long-term growth and inheritance implications, and offering a balanced approach to alleviate his concerns. Spoiler: a Roth IRA might just be his golden ticket.

As you contemplate international retirement, consider the intricate dance of managing a portfolio across borders. We discuss the indispensable role of a savvy accountant to navigate tax complexities and the potential necessity of relocating assets to sidestep onerous US regulations. Discover how Interactive Brokers can be your go-to platform for seamless international transactions and learn from real-world investment scenarios, like the unpredictable journey with MGK and real estate ventures. Our strategic planning insights will steer you clear of unreliable assets, paving a path to financial independence.

Trading stock charts for crystal balls, we venture into forecasting with a twist—relying on historical data instead of mere speculation. By leveraging portfolio matrices, we guide you through the labyrinth of investment possibilities beyond traditional stocks and bonds. Balance simplicity with complexity as you craft a robust portfolio that withstands market volatility. And as always, we cap off with a dose of humor—a nod to Monty Python’s "silly place"—reminding you that while we’re serious about finance, we’re equally serious about having a good laugh.

Support the show

In this episode we answer emails from Frank and Dan.  We discuss investment considerations in the 32% marginal bracket, reallocating a cash holding to bonds and alternatives and common withdrawal mechanisms for taking monthly distributions.

Link:

Father McKenna Center Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna Center

Amusing Unedited AI-Bot Summary:

Ever pondered how to perfectly balance your portfolio in a high tax bracket? We promise you'll gain actionable insights from Frank, a generous donor and semi-retired investor navigating his complex asset allocation strategy. At 60 years old, Frank seeks our advice on his bond investments, with options like EDV, VGLT, and VGIT on the table. His financial journey becomes a fascinating case study as we unravel the best strategies for optimizing his diverse portfolio of stocks, gold, municipal bonds, and cash. Plus, we emphasize the importance of giving back, spotlighting our cherished cause, the Father McKenna Center.

The episode takes a deeper dive into tax strategies tailored for substantial assets, providing listeners with the tools to maximize their retirement portfolios. Learn how retirement accounts like IRAs and solo 401(k)s can be leveraged to defer taxes, especially for those enjoying a higher tax bracket. We discuss the benefits of municipal bonds for tax efficiency and highlight the necessity of professional financial advice. Our focus remains on maintaining a balanced mix of investments to ensure growth and stability as you transition into retirement.

Finally, we explore effective strategies for managing portfolio drawdowns and monthly distributions. We introduce Harold Avinsky's bucket strategy and its psychological benefits, drawing inspiration from financial expert Paul Merriman. As we wrap up, we encourage you to reflect on aligning with your personal values and the universe's natural flow, all while enjoying light-hearted exchanges that underscore these financial principles. Join us for an enlightening conversation designed to empower your financial planning journey.

Support the show