Craig Kaplan has been thinking about superintelligence longer than most. He bought the URL superintelligence.com back in 2006, and many years before that, in the late 1980s, he co-authored a series of papers with one of the founding fathers of AI, Herbert Simon.

Craig started his career as a scientist with IBM, and later founded and ran a venture-backed company called PredictWallStreet that brought the wisdom of the crowd to Wall Street, and improved the performance of leading hedge funds. He sold that company in 2020, and now spends his time working out how to make the first superintelligence safe. As he puts it, he wants to reduce P(Doom) and increase P(Zoom).

Selected follow-ups:

• iQ Company
• Herbert A. Simon - Wikipedia
• Amara’s Law and Its Place in the Future of Tech - Pohan Lin
• Predict Wall Street
• The Society of Mind - book by Marvin Minsky
• AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton warns of dangers as he quits Google - BBC News
• Statement on AI Risk - Center for AI Safety
• I’ve Spent My Life Measuring Risk. AI Rings Every One of My Alarm Bells - Paul Tudor Jones
• Secrets of Software Quality: 40 Innovations from IBM - book by Craig Kaplan
• London Futurists Podcast episode featuring David Brin
• Reason in human affairs - book by Herbert Simon
• US and China will intervene to halt ‘suicide race’ of AGI – Max Tegmark
• If Anybody Builds It, Everyone Dies - book by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares
• AGI-25 - conference in Reykjavik
• The First Global Brain Workshop - Brussels 2001
• Center for Integrated Cognition
• Paul S. Rosenbloom
• Tatiana Shavrina, Meta
• Henry Minsky launches AI startup inspired by father’s MIT research

Music: Spike Protein, by Koi Discovery, available under CC0 1.0 Public Domain Declaration

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