Samo Burja is the founder of Bismarck Analysis and a Research Fellow at the Long Now Foundation. Samo writes and speaks about history, institutions, and strategy, and he is the creator of the Great Founder Theory of history.

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Timestamps:

(0:00:00) - Intro

(0:00:17) - Are individuals causally responsible for history?

(0:04:34) - Was Napoleon a great founder?

(0:08:47) - What can great founder theory predict?

(0:11:17) - How many live players are there?

(0:15:40) - Is the market full of live players?

(0:18:37) - How to cozy up to both sides?

(0:22:58) - How do you become an intellectual?

(0:27:34) - Aligning incentives for intellectuals

(0:30:40) - What makes someone a great founder?

(0:39:29) - Why is the centralized internet inevitable?

(0:42:21) - Samo and I debate odds of civilizational collapse

(0:48:17) - Is GDP fake?

(0:56:52) - The world only has 1.5 civilizations

(0:59:32) - Advice to effective altruists

(1:02:30) - Advice to young people

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