Science Friday

Should We Trust Election Forecasting, COVID Dreams. Oct 23, 2020, Part 1


Listen Later

The first “scientific” election poll was conducted in 1936 by George Gallup, who correctly predicted that Franklin D. Roosevelt would win the presidential election. Since Gallup, our appetite for polls and forecasts has only grown, but watching the needle too closely might have some unintended side effects.

Solomon Messing, chief scientist at ACRONYM, a political digital strategy nonprofit, tells us about a study he co-authored that found people are often confused by what forecast numbers mean, and that their confidence in an election’s outcome might depress voter turnout. Sunshine Hillygus, professor of political science and public policy at Duke University, also joins to tell us about the history of polling in the United States.

Next up, say you're standing in a crowded room and realizing nobody is wearing a mask. Or a family dog that has passed away protectively guarding grandkids. Maybe having a pleasant get-together with someone you haven’t thought of in years, then suddenly realizing everyone is a little too close, and a little too sick.

Do any of these instances sound familiar? A few weeks ago, we asked Science Friday listeners if their dreams have changed since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. We heard from many listeners who said yes, their dreams have become more vivid, with elements of the pandemic included.

A change in dreams due to a crisis is very common, says Deirdre Barrett, a dream researcher and assistant professor of psychology at Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts. When we’re in a dream state, the brain is processing the same things we think about during the day. But when we’re asleep, the parts of our brain that handle logic and speech are damped down. The parts that handle visuals, however, are ramped up.

Barrett has been collecting dreams from people all over the world since the start of the pandemic. She says common dream themes range from actually getting the virus, natural disasters and bug attacks. Healthcare workers have regularly reported the highest level of stressful COVID-19 dreams, according to her data.

“The typical dream from the healthcare workers is really a full-on nightmare,” Barrett says. “Just as bad as you’d see in war zones.”

Barrett joins SciFri producer Kathleen Davis to talk about her research into crisis dreams, and what people can do if they want to experience stressful dreams less often.

And, search engine giant Google was served an antitrust lawsuit by the Justice Department this week, which alleges the company abuses its near-monopoly status to harm consumers and competitors. This is the first such action against the company, which, over the last couple decades, has grown into one of the more powerful tech companies in history. 

Meanwhile, early data from New York City schools shows a promising picture of what back-to-school in the age of COVID means. Out of more than 16,000 randomly tested students and staff members, only 28 positive results came back—20 from staff members, and eight from students. While COVID-19 cases in K-12 schools across the country are not zero, low rates are the norm so far. 

Joining Ira to talk about these stories and other news from the week is Nsikan Akpan, a science editor at National Geographic in Washington, D.C.

 

Subscribe to this podcast. Follow our show on Instagram, TikTok, Facebook, and Bluesky @scifri and sign up for our newsletters. Got a science question that’s keeping you up at night? Call us: 877-4-SCIFRI

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Science FridayBy Science Friday and WNYC Studios

  • 4.4
  • 4.4
  • 4.4
  • 4.4
  • 4.4

4.4

6,020 ratings


More shows like Science Friday

View all
This American Life by This American Life

This American Life

91,297 Listeners

TED Radio Hour by NPR

TED Radio Hour

21,954 Listeners

Radiolab by WNYC Studios

Radiolab

43,837 Listeners

Freakonomics Radio by Freakonomics Radio + Stitcher

Freakonomics Radio

32,246 Listeners

Fresh Air by NPR

Fresh Air

38,430 Listeners

Planet Money by NPR

Planet Money

30,609 Listeners

Hidden Brain by Hidden Brain, Shankar Vedantam

Hidden Brain

43,687 Listeners

Wait Wait... Don't Tell Me! by NPR

Wait Wait... Don't Tell Me!

38,950 Listeners

The Brian Lehrer Show by WNYC

The Brian Lehrer Show

1,576 Listeners

All Of It with Alison Stewart by WNYC

All Of It with Alison Stewart

484 Listeners

Big Picture Science by Big Picture Science

Big Picture Science

945 Listeners

2 Dope Queens by WNYC Studios

2 Dope Queens

12,704 Listeners

More Perfect by WNYC Studios

More Perfect

14,450 Listeners

Science Vs by Spotify Studios

Science Vs

12,130 Listeners

Science Magazine Podcast by Science Magazine

Science Magazine Podcast

818 Listeners

Notes from America with Kai Wright by WNYC Studios

Notes from America with Kai Wright

1,542 Listeners

Sooo Many White Guys by WNYC Studios

Sooo Many White Guys

3,506 Listeners

Nancy by WNYC Studios

Nancy

2,800 Listeners

A Piece of Work by MoMA, WNYC Studios

A Piece of Work

1,405 Listeners

The Indicator from Planet Money by NPR

The Indicator from Planet Money

9,556 Listeners

Late Night Whenever by WNYC Studios

Late Night Whenever

1,196 Listeners

Trump, Inc. by WNYC Studios

Trump, Inc.

5,569 Listeners

American Fiasco by WNYC Studios

American Fiasco

5,767 Listeners

Aftereffect by WNYC Studios

Aftereffect

421 Listeners

Throughline by NPR

Throughline

16,512 Listeners

Short Wave by NPR

Short Wave

6,592 Listeners

Brian Lehrer: A Daily Politics Podcast by WNYC Studios

Brian Lehrer: A Daily Politics Podcast

670 Listeners

The Experiment by The Atlantic and WNYC Studios

The Experiment

2,821 Listeners

Unexplainable by Vox

Unexplainable

2,303 Listeners

Blindspot by The HISTORY® Channel and WNYC Studios

Blindspot

644 Listeners

Dead End: Crime and Politics by WNYC, Nancy Solomon

Dead End: Crime and Politics

1,965 Listeners

NYC NOW by WNYC

NYC NOW

82 Listeners

Classical Music Happy Hour by WNYC, WQXR

Classical Music Happy Hour

246 Listeners

Radio Rookies Podcast by

Radio Rookies Podcast

20 Listeners