July 23, 2025

Small cap value still the best , bonds and 2 funds for life Q&A

54 minutes

In this episode, Paul Merriman shares insights into upcoming events, including his presentation at the Garrett Planning Network Retreat, as well as his reflections on asset allocation, government bond strategies, and the benefits of various portfolios for different life stages.

Tune in for a deep dive into how different funds and asset classes perform over the long term, and how to optimize your investment strategy, regardless of age or risk tolerance.

Key Topics Covered:

1. Long-Term Returns Comparison

Paul compares two small-cap value funds: the Vanguard Small Cap Value Fund (VSIAX) and the DFA Small Cap Value Fund (DFFVX). To find long-term returns for these funds, Paul uses Morningstar’s chart function, which allows users to view the maximum (MAX) historical data for any given fund, helping to compare the performance of these funds since their inception

2. Best Asset Allocation for Retirees

The best asset allocation for retirees typically depends on individual factors, such as risk tolerance and life expectancy. Generally, Paul suggests a moderate equity allocation of 40-60% in stocks, with the rest in fixed income, for retirees who have enough saved up to comfortably fund their retirement .

3. Asset Allocation for an 83-Year-Old Retiree

For an 83-year-old retiree, Paul discusses a more conservative portfolio with two-thirds in bonds and one-third in equities. This conservative approach, which mirrors the allocation in Vanguard’s target-date funds, aligns well with retirees who are less reliant on aggressive growth but still need some equity exposure to combat inflation .

4. Why Use Three Government Bond Funds?

Paul advocates for a diversified bond strategy that includes TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities), short-term government bonds, and intermediate-term government bonds. This combination offers a balance of safety, growth potential, and reduced volatility compared to using just one bond fund, and provides a more stable return over time.

5. How the Worldwide 4 Fund Portfolio Works

The Worldwide 4 Fund Portfolio is structured with 25% in large-cap blend (U.S), 25% in large-cap value (INTL), 25% in small-cap blend (INTL), and 25% in small-cap value (U.S.), giving you a diversified mix of U.S. and international equities. This approach optimizes for both size and value, ensuring a balanced exposure to market growth, volatility, and global investment opportunities.

6. Should a 26-Year-Old Use the 2 Funds for Life Portfolio

Yes, a 26-year-old could benefit from the 2 Funds for Life Portfolio, which typically includes the A TARGET DATE FUND and a small-cap value fund. This strategy allows young investors to focus on equity growth, benefiting from the long-term appreciation potential of small-cap value stocks while minimizing risks associated with bonds at an early stage

7. Managing the 2 Funds for Life Portfolio with S&P 500 & Small-Cap Value

For someone using only the S&P 500 and small-cap value fund, Paul suggests a flexible allocation approach. You might start with a 50/50 split, or adjust according to your risk tolerance. The small-cap value fund tends to be more volatile but offers higher returns over time, while the S&P 500 provides more stability with lower volatility .

8. Can There Be a 3 Funds for Life Portfolio?

Yes, a 3 Funds for Life portfolio could include the S&P 500, large-cap value, and small-cap value. Paul suggests mixing these three equity asset classes to achieve a balanced portfolio that offers growth potential without overexposing yourself to risk.
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Resources:

1928-2024 Quilt Chart (K1a)⁠
⁠Sound Investing Table (H2a)⁠
Chris Pedersen’s 2 Funds for Life Table: For more detailed insights, visit ⁠Chris Pedersen’s 2 Funds for Life table⁠.

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By Paul Merriman

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