Switched On

After years of rapid expansion, the buildout of solar power is starting to slow. Capacity additions are set to dip slightly in 2026, the first decline since BloombergNEF began tracking the market. At the same time, the way solar is built is changing, with developers increasingly pairing projects with batteries to manage curtailment, share grid connections and boost revenues. So what does this new phase mean for solar, and how far can co-location carry the industry? On today’s show, Tom Rowands-Rees is joined by BNEF’s head of solar research, Lara Hayim, and analyst Cosmo van Steenis to discuss findings from the notes “4Q 2025 Global PV Market Outlook: First Ever Dip” and “Co-Located Storage Boosts Solar’s Business Case.”

Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com

Links to research notes from this episode:

4Q 2025 Global PV Market Outlook - First ever dip - https://www.bnef.com/insights/38279

Co-Located Storage Boosts Solar’s Business Case - https://www.bnef.com/insights/38241

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Investment in power grids is rising fast. Worldwide, spending on this critical piece of infrastructure rose 17% last year. Yet higher outlays are not necessarily translating into new capacity on the ground. Aging assets, supply-chain constraints and the rollout of new technologies are slowing delivery, while connection queues for both generation and load are getting longer. With grids under pressure from all sides, what’s really holding expansion back, and what will it take to turn rising investment into real-world capacity? On today’s show, Tom Rowlands-Rees is joined by BloombergNEF’s head of grids research, Peter Wall, to discuss findings from his team’s note “Grid Investment Outlook 2025: Double-Digit Growth – Again.”

Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com

Links to research notes from this episode:

Grid Investment Outlook 2025: Double-Digit Growth - Again - https://www.bnef.com/insights/38127

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Data centers are expanding at an unprecedented rate, and their need for fast, reliable electricity is reshaping power generation plans across the US. Grid bottlenecks and delivery timelines are tipping the balance between gas and renewables. And while clean energy remains central to long-term strategy, speed to power is becoming a decisive factor in short-term plans. As utilities race to serve AI-driven demand, how will the future mix of gas, renewables, and 24/7 clean energy evolve? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling talks with Atin Jain, a specialist from BNEF’s wind team, to discuss his Analyst Reaction “NextEra’s AI-Led Gas Pivot Leaves Space for Renewables.”

Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com

Links to research notes from this episode:

NextEra’s AI-Led Gas Pivot Leaves Space for Renewables: React - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions/t70aepkjh6v400

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Commodity markets are in a period of upheaval. Wars, sanctions and political shifts have already rewired global trade, and a new wave of pressures is coming into focus. A liquefied natural gas glut is looming, China is rapidly expanding its biofuel production, the global copper market is facing a supply crunch, and US military actions in Venezuela have thrown a new wild card into the mix. With so many forces pulling in different directions, which trends are set to define commodity markets in the year ahead? On today’s show, Tom Rowands-Rees is joined by David Doherty, BloombergNEF’s head of natural resources research, and Enrique Gonzalez, head of US gas, to discuss findings from the note “Commodities in 2026: 10 Numbers to Watch From Power to Oil.”

Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com

Links to research notes from this episode:

Commodities in 2026: 10 Numbers to Watch From Power to Oil - https://www.bnef.com/insights/38261

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

What the recent US action in Venezuela means for global oil markets is still an open question. While the prospect of additional oil is drawing interest, high production costs, infrastructure constraints and political risk complicate any near-term jump in Venezuela’s oil output. As markets weigh the scale and speed of a potential comeback, how much could Venezuela really move the needle in a global oil system already facing a glut of crude? On today’s show, Kamala Schelling talks with David Doherty, BNEF’s head of natural resources research, to discuss some of his team’s recent analyst reactions, including “Venezuela’s Oil Market Impact Hinges on Cost Per Barrel” and “Venezuela’s Oil Renaissance Faces Several High Hurdles.”

Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com

Links to research notes from this episode:

Venezuela’s Oil Market Impact Hinges on Cost Per Barrel: React - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions/t8giodkjh6v600

Venezuela’s Oil Renaissance Faces Several High Hurdles: React - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions

Trump’s Venezuela Move Could Shift Crude Flows Back to US: React - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions/t8dsuukk3ny800

US Action in Venezuela and the Commodity Markets - https://www.bnef.com/themes/t8fw2ut96osi00

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The push toward a lower-carbon global economy ran into strong headwinds last year, and 2026 offers little sense of a clean reset. Political uncertainty, uneven policy support and slower progress in some markets continue to complicate the outlook for climate-focused investors and companies. Yet beneath the noise, the energy transition is still advancing, driven by economics, technology and long-term structural change. As global priorities and pathways diverge, what does progress really look like for the energy transition? On today’s show, BNEF’s Deputy CEO Albert Cheung reads his recent note, titled “Progress Despite Fragmentation: Energy Transition to 2030,” in which he explores how the global context has changed, and why the energy transition is set to continue growing through this decade.

Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com

Links to research notes from this episode:

Progress Despite Fragmentation: Energy Transition to 2030 - https://www.bnef.com/insights/38367

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Maritime shipping is a notoriously tricky sector to decarbonize, yet options for a greener industry are slowly emerging. Bio-LNG is helping clean up fuel tanks. New ship-building and navigational techniques, from advanced hull coatings to smarter routing, are making a dent in emissions. And new European rules are pushing ship owners toward cleaner options. Yet with a myriad of competing incentives – and no global consensus – how far can alternative fuels and efficiency gains really take maritime shipping on its long road to decarbonization? On today’s show, Tom Rowlands-Rees speaks with Fauziah Marzuki, BloombergNEF’s global head of gas, and Nikolas Soulopoulos, BNEF’s head of commercial transport. Together they discuss some of their teams’ research, including “Marine Fuel Costs to 2040 – Oil to Biofuels and Beyond” and “Global Shipping’s Net-Zero Framework Delay a Worst Option: React.”

Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com

Links to research notes from this episode:

Marine Fuel Costs to 2040 - Oil to Biofuels and Beyond - https://www.bnef.com/insights/37781

Global Shipping’s Net-Zero Framework Delay a Worst Option: React - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions/t4ac8igoymtc00

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The UK’s latest budget sends mixed consequential signals for electric vehicles. A sharp increase in purchase subsidies is paired with plans for a new pay-per-mile charge, reshaping the economics of EV ownership as adoption accelerates. The changes could affect drivers very differently, depending on mileage, charging access and whether vehicles are privately owned or part of company fleets. As fuel tax revenues fade and public charging costs stay high, the UK is testing what it means to move from encouraging EV uptake to living with electric mobility at scale. On today’s show, Kamala Schelling is joined by Madeleine Brolly from BNEF’s EV charging team and Shananthan Kalaichelvan from BNEF’s EV team, to discuss their Analyst Reaction “UK Makes EVs Cheaper to Buy But More Expensive to Run.”

Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com

Links to research notes from this episode:

UK Makes EVs Cheaper to Buy But More Expensive to Run: React - https://www.bnef.com/analyst-reactions/t6drndt9njlw00

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Global metals markets are shifting faster than anyone expected. Once projected to face widespread shortages, most key energy transition metals now show far more balanced outlooks. Surpluses are pushing battery metal prices down and accelerating the adoption of new chemistries, while demand for steel, copper and aluminum strengthens across clean energy infrastructure. Yet slow mine development, production caps, and rising geopolitical risks are creating new uncertainties. From batteries to transmission lines to electric-vehicle bodies, what do these changing metals dynamics mean for the future of the energy transition? On today’s show, Tom Rowands-Rees is joined by Kwasi Ampofo, BloombergNEF’s head of metals and mining, to discuss findings from the “Transition Metals Outlook 2025.”

Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com

Links to research notes from this episode:

Transition Metals Outlook 2025 - https://www.bnef.com/insights/38151

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Heavy industry faces one of the hardest paths to net zero, yet momentum is starting to build. New decarbonization commitments reached nearly $15 billion by mid-2025. The largest chunk of investment is concentrated in the steel industry, where electric arc furnaces and hydrogen-ready technologies are already pushing down emissions. Other sectors, like aluminum, cement and plastics, are experimenting with recycled materials, electrified heat and bio-based feedstocks. Policy is also proving decisive, with Europe, Australia and Asia pushing carbon border tariffs, retrofit funds and industrial carbon markets. So is heavy industry finally turning a corner on its path to decarbonization? On today’s show, Kobad Bhavnagri is joined by Allen Tom Abraham, BloombergNEF’s head of sustainable materials, to walk through his team’s note “Industrial Decarbonization Market Outlook 2H 2025.”

Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com

Links to research notes from this episode:

Industrial Decarbonization Market Outlook 2H 2025 - https://www.bnef.com/insights/38051/view

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.