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By Adam Schwab and Adir Shiffman
5
22 ratings
The podcast currently has 242 episodes available.
The most played episodes among Podcast App listeners.

Adam and Adir unpack the strange economics of AI, with OpenAI burning billions, Anthropic claiming explosive growth, and investors still trying to work out where the real profits will come from. They also dig into Temple & Webster’s brutal share price collapse, the limits of its retail model, and why even strong operators can struggle inside a brutally hard business. 00:00 - OpenAI, Anthropic and The AI Money Problem 14:39 - Temple & Webster Gets Whacked Join us on Substack for articles, news and more: https://www.thecontrarianspod.com/

Adam and Adir unpack the growing pressure in Australia’s housing market, with falling prices, sticky inflation and the fallout from the federal budget creating a messy economic picture. They also dig into NVIDIA’s latest AI infrastructure financing play, why CUDA may not be as untouchable as it once looked, and whether the AI boom is starting to look more fragile. Plus, Canva’s valuation gets marked down, SaaS multiples come back to earth, and Blackbird raises another billion dollars. 00:00 - Australia's Housing Crash 10:21 - NVIDIA 24:45 - Canva's Valuation Markdown Join us on Substack for articles, news and more: https://www.thecontrarianspod.com/

Adam and Adir record live from The Commons in Cremorne, covering Australia’s worsening housing and rent crisis, Apple’s rumoured folding iPhone, the company’s pricing power, and whether AI’s frontier model economics can survive customers moving to cheaper alternatives. Chris Judd then joins to talk markets, uncertainty, inflation, US debt, Cogstate, MAAS Group, Firmus, data centres, founder-led investing and why the best returns often come from backing people prepared to think differently. 00:00 - Live From The Commons 03:07 - Australia’s Housing and Rent Crisis 19:02 - Apple’s Folding iPhone 30:30 - AI Models and Data Centres 35:10 - Chris Judd Joins Pod 46:31 - Chris Judd’s Macro View5 8:18 - Cogstate 1:03:37 - MAAS Group and Firmus 1:16:02 - Founder-Led Investing A big thank you to the team at The Commons for hosting our first live episode of the pod (or something like that). You can link to their website here: https://www.thecommons.com.au/ Link to Cerutty Macro Fund: https://ceruttymacrofund.com.au/ Join us on Substack for articles, news and more: https://www.thecontrarianspod.com/

Adam and Adir debate whether founders and senior executives should be allowed to sit on external boards while running a business, before turning to the coming pressure on big law fees as AI starts breaking the traditional leverage model. They also unpack Yo-Chi’s extraordinary rise, its reported billion-dollar-plus valuation, global expansion plans, store economics, and why timing, product and execution can turn a good retail concept into a monster business. 01:05 - The CEO Board Seat Debate 09:26 - AI Comes For Big Law 24:29 - Yo-Chi’s $2bn Valuation 29:54 - Why Yo-Chi Worked 38:55 - Yo-Chi’s Global Upside Join us on Substack for articles, news and more: https://www.thecontrarianspod.com/

Australia’s retail stocks are getting smashed, but Adam and Adir think the sell-off could finally be creating opportunities in businesses like JB Hi-Fi, Kogan and Koala. Meanwhile, Cettire has lost 95% of its value in two years and its latest results raise even more questions about how long the luxury retailer can keep going. 00:00 Australian Retail Stocks Are Getting Smashed12:41 Kogan, Temple & Webster and Koala16:40 Cettire’s Collapse & The Art of Contrarian Investing Join us on Substack for articles, news and more: https://www.thecontrarianspod.com/ Try Braze
The podcast currently has 242 episodes available.

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