Apartment properties and the commercial real estate market as a whole have historically been secure investment options during inflationary periods like the one we are currently facing, and while multifamily sales volumes may be reduced due to rising interest rates, properties in more competitive, low-cap-rate markets may be more sensitive to these changes than those in other markets. Reports published this week outline the long-term decline in cap rates in previous years, but the current rising cost of debt could run counter to this decline, at least in the near-term.

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As prices continue to rise throughout the economy, the Biden administration has announced plans to address the rising cost of housing specifically, and while these plans have not yet been implemented, they reflect a growing amount of public attention on housing affordability. While much of this attention is centered around the affordable housing space, the issues and policies associated with affordable housing affect the housing market as a whole, including market-rate multifamily properties.

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Apartment investors are seeing a re-pricing of assets off the extreme low cap rates driven by low interest rates and enticing bridge and debt fund financing that has fueled the historic price growth seen since the start of the pandemic.

At the same time, several reports published this week find that multifamily assets themselves continue relatively stable growth as rents continue to rise and occupancy is tight, a sharp contrast from the enormous volatility in the stock market.

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The recent .5% rate increase from the Federal Reserve may have been expected, but the effects of these rising rates are more open-ended. Jerome Powell acknowledged the difficulty in managing inflation without precipitating an economic downturn, but he also noted that our strong job market makes an economic crisis less likely. In the near term, rising mortgage rates are moving home buyers into the rental market, but these rate increases are leading some multifamily investors to look beyond popular Sunbelt markets where low cap rates have made investment projects less feasible.

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The multifamily market has continued its strong performance, even as recent ups and downs in the stock market, high inflation, rising interest rates, and growing recession worries impact the economy more broadly. Employment and demographic trends point to continued apartment rent growth and elevated demand, especially in markets with robust and growing local economies.

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DISCLAIMERS: This podcast does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. The opportunities referenced in this podcast do not represent an offer to invest.

Recession expectations continue unabated, but along with the benefit of having long-term horizons beyond 2022 or 2023, commercial real estate investors continue to see growing returns. While a purely long-term perspective may not be helpful as it relates to the rapid interest rate increases we’ve seen in the past few months, being able to filter out the day-to-day noise can allow investors to take note and react quickly when an inflection point approaches.  

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DISCLAIMERS: This podcast does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This podcast is not an offer to invest.

The strength of the apartment market and the continued increase in inflation is currently at odds with the potential for reduced demand that has arisen from the Fed's plans for rate hikes, but the high levels of economic activity recorded in recent reports are expected to cool given the Fed's hawkish stance. While strong employment and retail sales numbers could be lagging indicators that will soon show the impact of the Fed's previous rate hikes, it remains to be seen whether these signs of economic strength will serve to cushion the blow of interest rate increases or compel more aggressive interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve.

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DISCLAIMERS: This podcast does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. The opportunities referenced in this podcast do not represent an offer to invest.

The multifamily market is in great shape right now, but that makes it even more important for investors to attend to the possible direction of the economy as a whole and the best actions to take in a rising interest rate environment. Despite strong jobs numbers, there are growing concerns about inflation, higher interest rates, and the ongoing war in Ukraine that have many worried about a recession. Amidst this uncertainty, the strength of the apartment market continues to attract investors in pursuit of assets with proven stability during periods of economic volatility.

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DISCLAIMERS: This podcast does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only; please consult a licensed financial advisor. Opportunities described in this podcast do not represent an offer to invest and are open to accredited investors only.

For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, check out the Gray Report website: https://www.grayreport.com/ 

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DISCLAIMER: This podcast does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only.

Last week's announcement of rising interest rates from the Federal Reserve bank has led to some anxious speculation in the economy, and in this episode of the Gray Report, the Gray Capital team explains the potential impacts for multifamily investors.  

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DISCLAIMER: This video does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only.